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    TRIMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT:
    UNIVERSALISATION 
    The New Age GlobalisationBy Anand G. Mahindra 
     I
    wish we could annihilate the word global-isation with one stroke of the 'delete' key. It
    has been one of the most used and abused words of the pre-Millennium decade, and will,
    probably, meet the same fate as most overused words: it will begin to mean everything and
    nothing at the same time.  
    Why, indeed, do we concern ourselves so much with the
    destruction of national boundaries, and the prospect of a global village? Is it, simply, a
    natural human urge to extend geographical freedom and resist the erection of barriers?
    Will globalisation be welcomed, therefore, with emotions identical to those that greeted
    the dismantling of the Berlin Wall?  
    Not quite. I believe that the process of globalisation
    engages everyone's attention because the majority of us actually have very ambivalent
    feelings about it. Anthropologists do not believe we have departed too greatly from the
    behavioural characteristics of our ancestors, and tend to depend on-and derive our
    identities from-our social groupings. In a volatile, rapidly transforming world, our
    dependence on our local communities has only increased. Despite global mobility,
    communalism, sectarianism, and nationalism have not diminished  
    It is not my contention that the phenomenon of globalisation
    will be reversed in this millennium. On the contrary, it is inevitable. Our planet is a
    small place, and every day witnesses the birth of more people who lay claim to finite
    resources. Most countries acknowledge that only collaborative solutions can answer the
    challenges posed by a world bursting at the seams.  
    Still, I believe globalisation will not happen as
    instantaneously as the demolition of the Berlin Wall. The fact that more people will
    compete for the same quantum of resources will make people more protective of their
    possessions, and, so, the voices of the futurists and would-be-collaborators will,
    initially, be matched by the noise created by those resisting globalisation.  
    I believe a globalised world will emerge only after long
    years of arduous labour. The tug-of-war between the advocates of globalisation and the
    dissidents will be only too evident, and will provide much drama in the early part of this
    millennium.  
    The powerful logic of economics suggests that the world of
    commerce should move rapidly towards globalisation. There are few arguments that can be
    put forth against the proposition that a seamless world without barriers will send
    international trade volumes into overdrive. But, given the parallel trend of increasing
    regionalism, the stage is set for an epic battle. The principal arena for this battle will
    be the World Trade Organisation (WTO) negotiations. At first, it may appear that there are
    clear winners and losers, but I believe that, eventually, anyone with even a small stake
    in international trade will emerge victorious as long as the negotiations result in
    barriers being lowered by both East and West, and for both goods and services.  
    This is not to say that developing countries, including
    India, will plunge into the negotiations without a vigorous defence of their local
    interests. But even those local interests can, at best, be served only through a temporary
    reprieve. If local companies complain-and justifiably in most cases-that they need the
    time to build competencies, governments may oblige but, at some point, governments will
    realise that openness will, by itself, ensure the survival of the hardiest corporate
    species and catalyse the growth of locally bred transnationals. An open market will also
    ensure that new, dynamic, local businesses align themselves to the nation's comparative
    and competitive advantage instead of basing their business-models on the distorted logic
    of protectionism.  
    At first glance, the Indian economy seems vulnerable to any
    move to integrate with the global economy. It is only reasonable to fear that widespread
    unemployment and unrest would be the natural corollary of unfettered liberalisation.
    Happily, however, the experience of the last nine-odd years since the first reforms has
    showcased the extraordinary resilience and the learning capacity of the Indian corporate
    sector, both public and private. There has also been an incredible flowering of
    entrepreneurship in the 1990s. Tomorrow's model tycoon will embrace new technology and
    leverage new service opportunities to build competitive advantage at Internet-speed. This
    entrepreneur will favour intangible assets over conventional brick and mortar assets.  
    The objective will no longer be the ownership of a large
    proportion of equity, but the creation of wealth through market capitalisation. And
    corporate governance will continue to occupy centre-stage as it becomes apparent that
    market capitalisation is umbilically linked to the level of transparency in a company's
    operations.  
    This emerging picture of the Indian entrepreneur is not very
    different from that of successful businessmen in Silicon Valley. Not coincidentally, a
    large percentage of New Age entrepreneurs in the Valley are of Indian origin. What I am
    trying to prove with this comparison is that no analysis of the future of the Indian
    economy will be complete without accounting for the extraordinary quality of our
    resources. At a conference in London, the chairman of one of the world's most powerful
    financial firms remarked to me that he was constantly puzzled by one fact: in his own
    ground, he was surrounded by highly intelligent and resourceful Indians, but the Indian
    economy itself continued to be in an appalling state.  
    The solution to this
    puzzle is staggeringly simple. Indians have never thrived in a constricted and controlled
    environment, and never will. India will never witness the bizarre experience of common
    people celebrating the establishment of a military dictatorship, as happened not too far
    from us recently. If the agenda of the Indian government in the new millennium is simply
    to let entrepreneurship thrive, India Inc. is well-placed to derive benefits from a
    globalising world.  
    Our comparative advantage and our native competencies will
    lend themselves fluently to New Age technologies, where capital and economies of scale are
    not key drivers. Our domestic market will slowly, but surely, grow and engage the
    attention of the world. That increased attention will lead to a greater diplomatic
    influence which, in turn, will lead to greater investment. Thus, we will, finally, be able
    to set in motion the virtuous cycle that China did so adeptly in the mid-1980s.  
    These notions are, perhaps, ambitious, but certainly not
    beyond the realm of possibility. Should the average Indian, then, be excited at the
    prospect of globalisation? Unhesitatingly, I say: yes. 
    Anand G. Mahindra is the CEO of
    Mahindra & Mahindra  |