|
GENERATION 21x SPEAK: WEALTH CREATION
Baby, You're a Rich ManBy S. Gupta & K. Sahani
There
is a widespread belief that Indian stockmarkets react on the basis of sentiments and
rumours rather than the fundamental strength of companies and the economy. A study of
markets over the last 4 years reveals that they rewarded only companies that created
shareholder value, and punished those that destroyed it.
A company is deemed to have created value for its investors
if it generates returns in excess of its opportunity costs of capital, and destroyed value
if it does not. A good measure of judging the ability of a company to add value is to use
Economic Value Added (EVA) and, to a lesser extent, the Return on Net Worth (RONW) as
assessment tools. EVA represents the value added to shareholders by generating operating
profits in excess of the cost of capital employed. A company's EVA can increase in 3 ways:
- Through improved efficiency whereby, operating profits grow
without the infusion of fresh capital
- Through the infusion of more capital into projects that return
more than the cost of capital and
- Through the withdrawal of capital from projects and ventures
that do not return the cost of capital
In this millennium, EVA is likely to emerge as more than just
an accounting tool or metric. The better companies will use it as a performance management
tool. Indeed, companies can, if they so wish, use EVA as a metric that helps them in the
process of strategy evolution.
There is a simple logic underlying the enhanced use that
companies will find for EVA this century. The basis of EVA is the principle that a company
should be able to generate returns higher than the investments made. This investment is
the cost of capital, or, specifically, the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) which
is, in effect, the cost of equity-funds and the cost of debt-funds.
Given that, the role of EVA as a performance measure is
evident. Departments, even individual employees, can now be appraised on the basis of how
their actions have contributed to the EVA of the company and consequently, to shareholder
value. No longer will it be necessary to expend time and effort in aligning individual and
departmental goals with the larger organisational goal. The discipline of EVA will ensure
that this happens spontaneously.
The link between EVA and strategy isn't that evident.
Strategy, simply put, is nothing but a set of choices. Managers have evolved, over a
period of time, techniques that help them make the right decisions every time. Although
the process is likely to be elaborate, it will be possible for companies and managers to
assess the impact of a decision in terms of its impact on the EVA of the company. The
actual process may involve some element of simulation, but advanced computing techniques
will render it fairly easy-to-use. Thus, managers can choose between options on the basis
of the impact each option will have on the company's EVA. The number of companies doing
this will increase this millennium; soon, EVA is likely to become part of the strategy
process.
At the beginning of the 21st century, companies are realising
that they need to view assets not just from the perspective of investment, but also from
that of returns. These situations, typically, rise in mature industries-and apart from the
software and the pharma sector, most Indian companies find themselves in this stage today.
Most organisations that find themselves at this stage of the
lifecycle are stuck in a vicious cycle. Their margins are low, but their cashflows are
positive. This cashflow is either distributed as dividend or held back as retained
earnings, which are then ploughed back either in the same or similar businesses. The
results are almost always the same: these investments, expectedly, earn below-average
returns. And shareholder value gets destroyed. Having realised this, companies-especially
those that have good corporate governance norms-will either try to adopt a different
business model that causes a significant increase in the quantum of returns, or they will
distribute the most part of their positive cashflow as dividend.
This, however, is at the numerical level. The typical company
has many types of shareholders. In the first part of this millennium, for instance, mutual
funds are likely to become vociferous shareholders. So-if there are any reforms on the
pension-funds front-such companies will have to learn the science and art of managing
different types of shareholders with vastly different expectations.
The software boom
on the stockmarkets in the last decade of the 20th century holds a lesson for millennial
managers: greenfield sectors like software, biotech, and life-sciences will always boast
higher returns. But the risks too are commensurate. Companies using EVA as a performance
measure and a tool in the strategy evolution process would do well to compare themselves
to companies either in the same or related businesses. A company in the software business,
for instance, will, almost always, have a higher EVA than another which is in the business
of manufacturing electric motors. The reasons? Returns are higher, and capital
requirements, lower in the software business. Thus, in the American context, it is
difficult to say which the better company is: GE, Microsoft, or Coca-Cola? Microsoft
requires less capital than the other two. Yet, for most part of the 1990s GE and Coca-Cola
kept pace with the software major's MVA (Market Value Added) although, in terms of EVA,
Microsoft outscored them. Understanding this difference between industries and dealing
with it in a mature fashion is one of the things managers need to do.
As India Inc. begins its march into this millennium, it
should not wait for shareholder-pressure or government intervention to start focusing on
shareholder value. In the wired economy, a company either enhances shareholder value, or
perishes.
S. Gupta & K. Sahani are
second-year MBA student at the ICFAI Business School
|