TURNAROUND
The Smoke Clears
VST has shed its loss-making businesses
and turned the corner. But investors don't seem impressed.
By E.
Kumar Sharma
Every time
Raymond Stephen Noronha takes his occasional walk around VST Industries'
factory in Hyderabad, he can't help but recall how bad things were barely
two years ago when he took over as the tobacco company's managing
director. The factory's neglected gardens would be dotted with workers
idling around during production hours. It was as if they were waiting for
the inevitable to happen: the closure of the 70-year-old company.
Back then, VST had racked up losses of Rs
88 crore (1997-98), marketshare was slipping, and investors had pummelled
its stock to the sub-100 range compared to the early '90s' peak of Rs 650.
As VST's Chairman Abhijit Basu recently told shareholders, that was ''the
darkest period in (VST's) history''.
Thanks to the 50-year-old Noronha and his
A-team, the gloom is lifting. In the first quarter of this fiscal (half
year results were not available when BT went to press), VST's net profit
jumped to Rs 5.21 crore compared to a net profit of Rs 2.86 crore in the
same period last year. The company's topline is rising and its flagship
brands-Charms and Charminar-are actually seeing a growth in sales. ''It
has been an uphill climb in the past two years,'' notes Noronha.
It's a vastly nimble VST that its
shareholders-the single-largest among them being the London-based British
American Tobacco (BAT) which owns 32.2 per cent of the company's
equity-get to see today. The stock market boom-induced diversifications of
the early '90s have been lopped off. For instance, two finance companies-VST
Investment and Tobacco Diversified Investment-that lost a total of Rs
35.87 crore, have been closed down. A six-year-old, loss-making agro
exports subsidiary, VST Natural Products, was sold late last year to
Global Green, a Ballarpur Group company. That apart, VST has offloaded
surplus real estate, raking in Rs 22 crore over the past two years.
The underlying idea was to shore up the
core business of cigarettes. Already, VST's workforce has been slashed
from 1,600 to 1,150 through a voluntary retirement scheme. There also are
plans to shift its factory from Hyderabad to Guntur to reduce costs. Says
S. Thirumalai, 52, Deputy Managing Director and part of the core
turnaround team: ''We will be able to add nearly Rs 14 crore to our
reserves every year, and restore VST's fiscal health.''
Moving Up The Value Chain
VST's biggest problem has been the annual
increase in the Excise duty on cigarettes. For instance, in plain
cigarettes, which account for 52 per cent of its revenues, the Excise has
risen from Rs 250 per thousand sticks to Rs 390 in just six years. Says
Ajit Sahgal, 54, General Manager, Philip Morris Services India: ''The
market has been stagnant for the last four years, mainly due to the
increase in Excise duties and new taxes.''
That also has widened the price gap between
plain cigarettes and bidis. And that's a big blow for VST, considering
that its low-priced brands like Charminar Standard and Charms Standard
(priced at Rs 3 for a pack of 10) are under tremendous pressure to stay
profitable.
The company has been working furiously on
reducing its dependence on plains, and succeeded. Four years ago,
two-thirds of its cigarette sales were plains. Today, it's about one-half.
In comparison, the proportion of revenue from filter cigarettes (priced
around Rs 10 for a pack of 10) has jumped from 34 per cent to 48 per cent.
Noronha expects their share to soar to 70 per cent by 2003.
Image, however, could prove a problem for
the mass-market player. Some analysts fear that its attempt to move up the
price segment may result in a loss of its existing customers without any
fresh gains. Admits Noronha: ''Our major weakness is that all the
brand-health indicators for our filter brands are weak relative to
competition. Our first task is to change this.''
Repackaging Brands
Based on a market research exercise, the
Charms brand was repackaged last year. Charminar, too, was put through
what Noronha calls a 'pack rationalisation', entailing changes in pack
graphics and style to make it more contemporary. Apparently, the
repackaging is working. Charms and Charminar sales between April and
September, 2000, were 12 per cent higher compared to same period last
year. Over the next three years, the company plans to invest Rs 15 crore
in new machinery that will make hinge-lid packaging possible. And it
already has enough machines to increase the filter cigarette share in the
portfolio to 70 per cent.
VST's best bet, then, is to target the
filter market, whose share in the overall market has grown from 60 per
cent to 70 per cent in the past five years. Its sister company ITC, for
instance, derives 77 per cent of its revenues from filter cigarettes. To
slash manufacturing costs, Noronha plans to begin sourcing cigarettes from
plants located in the North-Eastern states, all of which levy no tax on
cigarette manufacturing.
But surviving in an industry that is being
persecuted globally may not be easy. And investors seem to agree, since
the VST stock hasn't gained much from the company's turnaround. Perhaps,
good things at VST are happening a little too late.
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