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Q U A L I T Y  A W A R D S

A Case Of Doublespeak

Hot Sectors Of 2001

Flying Low

The New Consumers
Now, A Movie Doctor
CEO SURFING
Philip G. Spender
Q&A: Drive

Early this month, the Mumbai-based Indian Merchants' Chamber announced winners of its annual national quality awards. The IMC Ramkrishna Bajaj National Quality Award in the manufacturing category went to Thai Acrylic Fibre, an A.V. Birla group company. The one for services went to Infosys, and the Juran Quality Medal 2000, was bestowed on F.C. Kohli, the former Vice-Chairman of Tata Consultancy Services.

Considering that such awards are only conferred after rigorous scrutiny of the applicant's quality practices, and that they bestow considerable prestige to the winner, one would imagine Indian companies falling over each other for quality awards. The truth, however, is far from that.

But first, the good news. As much as 80 per cent of the 89 senior executives surveyed by BT and the IMC this year acknowledged that they had heard of the IMC Ramkrishna Award. But just 20 had actually tried to apply for any kind of quality certification. A staggering 49 others said they had not even made the effort to do so, and another 20 couldn't specify why they had chosen not to look at quality certification.

Q&A 
Drive!

Talk cars, shall we?
I could break into a soliloquy on men and their machines, but, hey, there's no denying that cars and technology inspire passion. Already, in some cars, you have embedded micro-controllers governing ignition, transmission, suspension, anti-lock brakes, and so on. The biggest developments are in cars with automatic transmissions: chips match the car's performance to road conditions and driving styles. Then, there are 'forewarn' systems in production, to alert school bus drivers, for instance, to the presence of children in their blind spots; or a side-detection system for heavy-duty trucks. Another example: Cadillac's Forewarn System uses radar to monitor the field around.

There's more, of course.
The changes will be evident in six years or so. Then, individual cars will be fitted with an onboard Mayday system that uses GPS and a voice-activated cellular phone to help drivers in distress. Onboard computers will make cars safer and more reliable. Features like electro-magnetically controlled suspensions will let riders float over bumps; electronic-motor controls will reduce fuel consumption and emissions. The current electrical systems will be changed too. Ford, for instance, is planning to integrate the starter and alternator into a new machine. One day, fully-automated vehicles may ask drivers to yield control to onboard computers and an automated highway management system. That's one road I won't be taking. 

-Sunit Arora

More worrying, as the survey reveals, are the reasons for not applying. Almost half of those who had not applied for a certification couldn't say why. A fifth of those said that quality certification was of no relevance to their industry, and another 14 per cent didn't expect quality certification to help in any significant way.

Awareness about quality or certification doesn't seem to be a problem, though. For example, 61 per cent of the respondents agreed that quality certification would mean ''the company takes full care of its customers''. A good 49 per cent (the question had multiple responses) said that such a certification would imply the company markets high-quality products and services. What's more, corporate chieftains agreed that quality in the new millennium would primarily mean customer delight.

So what explains the corporate double-speak? One reason could be the fear of getting exposed by rigorous quality audits. For instance, the IMC Ramkrishna Award gives maximum weightage of 400 points to business results, and 140 points to process management. Leadership and hr are allotted 100 points each. Again, all these parameters are broken down into detailed sub-parameters. And unless companies have documented proof of quality initiatives, the audit will not give them points.

Another reason could be that most Indian companies are busy fire-fighting day-to-day quality problems, and are unable to commit people and resources for any long-term quality programme. Notes P.K. Banerjee, Quality Advisor, IMC Quality Cell: ''Quality systems like Total Quality Management are long haul programmes. It could take as much as 10 years before any significant results show up.''

Ironically, 89 per cent of the respondents also felt that targeting a quality award helped internally motivate employees. Companies like Sundaram Clayton, Vikram Cements, and Sundram Fasteners have successfully used awards as a means of marshalling their workforce towards global quality.

What the survey, then, points to is the growing quality divide in corporate India. In some industries, like automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and software, there is a clear premium on quality. But in some others like chemicals or home appliances, quality is not really an issue. Yet, the message is clear: companies that want to survive in these industries will have to match up with their global peers in terms of cost, product quality, delivery, and customer service.

And while a quality award per se may not guarantee survival, it will at the least force companies to shake off their strategic ennui. In the long quality journey, that often is the first key step.


S T O C K M A R K E T S
Hot Sectors Of 2001

Ask anybody on Dalal Street. The thing next hardest to telling how long you are going to live is trying to figure out what sectors (and among them what stocks) will do well in the short run.

That's why most stockbroking companies hire armies of analysts to peer through the stockmarket haze, and zero down on the winning sectors. BT spoke to some such analysts to find out where you should be putting your money in 2001. Here are the eight sectors that these analysts and experts hard-sold to BT's Shilpa Nayak. And here's what these experts had to say:

"Pharmaceuticals companies should announce relatively good growth figures," Rajat Jain, CIO and Fund Manager, IDBI Principal

"A rediscovery of PSU stocks will come about. Divestment plans should unlock value," 
Chandresh Nigam, Fund Manager, Zurich India

"Technology companies are performing in line with market expectations. Top-tier companies that are backed by sound managements should give good returns," 
Suhas Naik, Fund Manager, ILFS

Eight Hot Sectors Of 2001

Sectors Why it's hot PE (2000) PE (2001)*
Software
  (large cap)
Global markets, sizzling growth rates, and 50% return on 2000 levels expected 75 90
Software 
(mid cap)
Strong growth, 100% returns on 2000 levels
expected
20 40
Media/ Entertainment Dominated by large players, growing
industry; looks
over-valued though
45 50
Pharmaceuticals  Gaining global 
acceptance, getting
re-rated on back
of strong earnings
20 25
FMCG  Strong demand & investment, and increased purchases 30 40
Cement/Steel  Currently undervalued, 
could gain from rise in infrastructure
spending next year
15 20
PSU Refineries  Consolidation/sale
of companies; will perk up investor interest
N.A N.A
Agrichem  New products and better yields could boost earnings 10 20
* Expected multiples for 2001 
N.A.: Not Available

A I R  I N D I A
Flying Low

CEO SURFING
Philip G. Spender


Philip G. Spender

When he was barely 17, he designed, built and raced a Formula Ford Racing Car in the National Championship in New Zealand. And when he turned 21, he joined the company whose cars he had been racing. That's Phil Spender for you. CEO of Ford India and the industry's very own josh man. As the head of Blue Oval's India operations, Spender (who's a football and tennis player, and currently learning to play golf) has been responsible for launching the company's turnaround vehicle, the Ikon. Here are his five favourite websites:

www.smh.com.au: Can't do without my daily dose of the Sydney Morning Herald.

www.autosport.com: It keeps me in touch with all that's happening in the motoring sport world.

www.indya.com: It is a site with an attitude. Besides, it gives you news about India.

www.cybersteering.com: Just to keep up with the goings-on in the Indian car market.

www.india.ford.com: I have to mention this, simply because it takes up so much of my time!

Try booking yourself a ticket to London or New York this time of the year. ''Sorry, sir, all flights are booked,'' you would be told. That's good news for all airlines, except one: Air India. Saddled with an ageing fleet that has stagnated in numbers, the national carrier watches helplessly as foreign airlines take away international traffic from it. According to the Director General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) figures, Air India and Indian Airlines have just 30.8 per cent of the international traffic flowing into and out of India. Points out Savio Gomes, CEO, Enterprise Value, an aviation consultancy: ''The marketshare is in direct correlation to the fleet strength.''

Indeed, the number of aircraft in Air India's fleet has gone up marginally. It had 18 aircraft in 1982, and it has gone up to 23 now. In contrast, foreign airlines have been ramping up their own capacities. For instance, Swiss Air has doubled capacity in just three years and Northwest Airlines has done so in half that time. That apart, some foreign airlines have started operating out of new destinations in India. Thai Airways, which has started operating from Mumbai, is one of them. United Airlines will start operating 14 services with a capacity of 5,150 seats beginning April 1, 2001. Others, like British Airways, are consolidating their position. Says a British Airways spokesperson: ''We have seen a growth of 7-8 per cent in the recent years, and we see further growth in the market.''

As recently as the 1980s, Air India's marketshare of international traffic to and from India was 48 per cent. It fell to 20 per cent in 1998, and now is at a low of 19 per cent. Executives at the national carrier blame its principal shareholder, the government of India, for the airline's slow death. Points out Jitender Bhargava, Director, Air India: ''The government has long procedures and a say in what we buy. Getting an approval can take as much as five years.''

Meanwhile, to ease the congestion for passengers, the DGCA has asked foreign airlines to operate additional flights. Some of the beneficiaries of the ad hoc ''open sky'' policy are Air France, Singapore Airlines, and British Airways. With the apex travel body, International Air Transport Association projecting a 6.2 per cent increase in outbound traffic, airlines are in for a killing. Unfortunately for Maharaja, he won't be partaking in the feast. 

-Vinod Mahanta


C O N S U M E R  B E H A V I O U R
The New Consumers

Something profound is happening to the consumer profile in India. In almost all consumer durables categories, buyers who've lived on the fringes hitherto are moving to the centrestage. According to the data compiled by Francis Kanoi Marketing Services (FKMS), marketers would do well to target consumers they haven't wooed hard so far.

Take CTV, for example. The penetration of CTVs in sec a and b actually came down in 1999, compared to 1997. Even in the case of relatively new technology items like microwave, it is the smaller towns that are upping purchases. But in other categories like music systems, it's sec a that has a bigger appetite, and in the case of two-wheelers, the driver is sec b.

Explains Francis Xavier, Managing Director, FKMS: ''Most products world over follow the top-down pattern of penetration, whereby top segments get penetrated first and subsequently the other segments. This means that over time you'll see a continuous change in the contribution of the different segments.''

The drivers of change are many. For instance, the last decade has seen an increase in consumerism, partly fuelled by the availability of easy credit. The opening up of markets has brought in new products and greater price competition. Agrees I. Natarajan, Chief Economist, National Council for Applied Economic Research: ''Availability is the key driver of the consumer spend. Besides, more products and brands are offering better quality.''

As long as the overall market keeps expanding, marketers should have little to complain about. 

- Vinod Mahanta


E N T E R T A I N M E N T 
Now, A Movie Doctor

Call it forward integration. In a first-of-its-kind move, ad major Leo Burnett has set up a division that will advice on content and take its shot at promoting entertainment properties like movies. Christened Leo Entertainment, the new division will try to institutionalise a business that's largely run by word-of-mouth and on gut feel. Says Arvind Sharma, Managing Director, Leo Burnett: ''We will advise movie moguls on what kind of content they should have in their movies and how the targeting should be done. It's a vast area before us.''

As a pilot project, the agency has taken up Ajay Devgan's movie-under- production, Raju Chacha. But Sharma isn't telling what specifically his outfit has done to shape the project. Predictably, cynical industry watchers aren't impressed. For instance, they say that the entertainment industry has been trying to professionalise itself for sometime now. Distribution and marketing had, in any case, been in the hands of a few big outfits. But the key objection seems to be a lack of clarity to Leo's objective. Says Amit Khanna, who now heads Reliance Entertainment: ''Providing consultancy in the area of content is a little far-fetched. It is ultimately the writer who makes or breaks a good script. How can a consultant work on that?''

For the time being, though, Sharma isn't letting such criticisms spoil his blockbuster dream. 

-Shamni Pande

 

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