Core Issues, Did
You Say?
Come
to think of it, is there anything wrong with what the general from across
the border is saying? That Kashmir is the core issue in Indo-Pakistan
relations. That there's no point talking about confidence-building
measures on the nuclear issue, trade, or the free movement of artistes, so
long as this issue is unresolved. Hasn't Kashmir been the single biggest
irritant in Indo-Pakistan ties for the past 12 years? Mention that to our
politicians (across the ideological spectrum) and our diplomats, and your
very patriotism will be questioned. Why?
Because while the peacock may be our
national bird, it's the ostrich that is the icon of our netas and babus.
It isn't just Kashmir. This stubborn refusal to face facts is on ample
display even in economic policy.
Take Enron. US Assistant Secretary of State
Christina B. Rocca couldn't have put it better when she said that India's
problems relating to foreign investment can be summed up in one
five-letter word: Enron. It is the topic on which every business
delegation going abroad is grilled. Today, Enron is the core issue-not
just for the power sector, but also for India as an investment
destination. But sundry ministers and bureaucrats will never admit that.
It's only one project, they say airily. And there's little urgency in
efforts to solve the vexed issue.
While on the subject of foreign direct
investment (FDI), let's look at another core issue. The attitude of the
bureaucracy. India has a fairly liberal FDI policy-investment in most
sectors is through the automatic route, foreign investment has been
allowed in several new areas like defence and real estate, and sectoral
caps have also been raised. Yet, FDI inflows hover around just the $2
billion mark. An at Kearney survey shows that investors view the
bureaucracy as the biggest obstacle to FDI. But when a hapless foreign
investor dared to say this to finance minister Yashwant Sinha (himself a
former bureaucrat), at the World Economic Forum in November 2000, he was
roundly ticked off. So was at Kearney, (this time by a serving bureaucrat)
when it unveiled its survey last fortnight.
Look also at the mess in the financial
sector today, with banks and financial institutions (FIS) reeling under Rs
60,000 crore of non-performing assets (NPAS). A majority of these NPAS
belongs to the public sector banks and term lending institutions. The
government is grappling with all kinds of solutions-amendment of the Sick
Industries Companies Act, setting up debt recovery tribunals, evolving a
system of corporate debt restructuring, speeding up liquidation, and
winding up procedures. But what is the core issue? Government ownership
and control of banks. Few decisions are taken on commercial lines, most
lending is directed, and action cannot be taken against influential
defaulters. Yes, this government has tabled a Bill to reduce government
ownership in banks to 33 per cent. But it also says that the public sector
character of the banks will not change. The core issue is left unresolved
once again.
We've been talking about stockmarket
reforms since the days of Harshad Mehta. Sure, a lot has been done.
There's a market watchdog (not very powerful, but somewhat effective),
demat has been allowed, futures and options are in place, rolling
settlement has been introduced. But the core issue-of whether stock
exchanges should be run by brokers-has not been tackled. It's only now
that there's even talk about corporatising the stock exchanges.
Finally, look at the disinvestment drama.
The government has now revived the Disinvestment Commission. The new
commission will advise the government on disinvestment-related issues, and
will take into account things like employee interest when making its
recommendations. But how will it tackle the core issue that is holding up
disinvestment-the refusal of politicians and bureaucrats to give up
control over public sector undertakings? That's not on the agenda at all.
Somebody should tell the general. Don't
push for the recognition of core issues. It doesn't happen in India.
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