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CASE STUDY
Dealing with Deconglomeration"I am proud of the conglomerate that I have managed to create. Half a
century old, generating Rs 3,650 crore in sales, embracing four businesses, Alpha--the
company that my father founded--would not have grown into a giant without inherent
strengths. But, as the corporation keeps stretching, it strains--and the weaknesses are
suddenly visible. My belief in diversified businesses has been shattered with the collapse
of the chaebol in South Korea, which is largely ascribed to the unproductive use of
capital. I wonder whether Alpha is wasting both financial and managerial resources in its
pursuit of growth without creating shareholder value. Amidst my obsession with size, I
have even failed to benchmark my divisions against their competition. Now I find that my
core business, steel, is becoming uncompetitive because of the group's multiple business
interests. Its survival may well hinge on my getting out of the peripheral
businesses" For ceo Vinayak Chowdhury, a smaller, sharply-focused company meant
changing the way he managed the organisation. RPG Enterprises' V.S. Krishnan, Price
Waterhouse Associates' Shakti Saran, and Videocon's V.N. Dhoot investigate Alpha's options
and assess its future. A BT Case Study.
Chairman's Meeting, Alpha Steel Ltd (Alpha)
DATE: April 22, 1998
TIME: 4.00 p.m.
VENUE: Alpha House, Mumbai
PRESENT: Vinayak Chowdhury, ceo; Rakesh Pandey, Nominee Director, idbfci;
Ashutosh Dey, President (Steel Division); Girish Rao, President (Telecom Division);
Manohar Mantri, President (Power Division); Bhaskar Pradhan, President (Planning &
Control); Raj Sharma, President (Finance)
AGENDA: Deconglomeration
Vinayak Chowdhury: Good evening, gentlemen.
Our agenda is to finalise the annual results of our company for the year ended March 31,
1998, which were made available to us by our auditors yesterday. I want to utilise this
opportunity to discuss how we should prune our debt, which stands at a crushing Rs 5,050
crore. While the turnover of the company--comprising the steel, power, aluminium, and
energy divisions--has risen by 4 per cent to Rs 3,650 crore in 1997-98, its net profits
have fallen by 16 per cent to Rs 129 crore. Interest costs continue to be a source of
concern for us. The net margins of our core steel business have dipped to an abysmally-low
level of 0.40 per cent of turnover. It is true that all the steel majors, both local and
global, have been going through a bad patch, characterised by three trends prevalent since
the first quarter of 1995: a slump in steel prices, a glut in supplies, and the lack of
demand due to a recession in user-industries like white goods. We also face the additional
problem of dumping by foreign steel-manufacturers. Locally, the industry is growing at a
paltry 5 per cent per annum. Although end-prices have begun to rise slowly, I see no
indications of a revival in demand unless there is a surge of investment in
infrastructure. But we need to examine the basis of allocating overheads to our business
divisions. The steel division bears the brunt of our interest costs because interest is
allocated on the basis of divisional turnover. I am sure there are similar cost-allocation
anomalies across the organisation. To get our focus on costs and revenues right, I feel we
must treat each division as an independent profit-centre
Ashutosh Dey: Precisely. We face a paradox
as far as the cost-revenue profile of steel is concerned. We are among the world's
lowest-cost producers of steel. This stems from two factors: state-of-the-art technology,
and high labour productivity. But our cost-leadership does not extend beyond the
conversion stage. At $260 (Rs 10,400) per tonne, our conversion costs compare favourably
with the global benchmark of $280 (Rs 11,200). The conversion cost of US Steel, for
example, is $313 (Rs 12,520), and that of Nippon Steel, $300 (Rs 12,000). Our gross
margins per tonne, at $170 (Rs 6,800), work out to 39 per cent, which compares favourably
with tisco (20 per cent) and the Steel Authority of India (11 per cent). But add
interest--and the final cost per tonne of steel shoots up to $341 (Rs 13,640), making
Alpha a loser.
Clearly, the advantage of one of the best gross margins in
steel is negated by the high cost of capital employed. Our Return On Capital Employed, at
2.70 per cent, is less than half the risk-free rate of return. It is only when we can get
a grip on the interest costs--of around $81 (Rs 3,240) per tonne of steel--that we can
become truly cost-competitive. So, the immediate priority should be to bring down the
debt, and reduce our interest costs. Unless we do that, we will flounder. But how do we
proceed?
Rakesh Pandey: This issue came up at a
meeting of our consortium of lenders last week, which was concerned about your
debt-burden. Already, you have had to reschedule your loan-repayments twice. The flagship
business has been used as an investment-vehicle for setting up projects in power and oil.
Its resources have been drained not only because you have expanded into capital-intensive
areas in quick succession, but because the execution of projects has been hampered by
time- and-cost overruns. It is true that the company has diversified into segments which
will grow, and offer an assured market for all its products. But, according to the
consortium, you are running the risk of diffused management focus. Which can be addressed
only by sticking to what you are good at, and divesting businesses that are peripheral to
the core business of steel. Your operational efficiency in steel is, no doubt, comparable
to the best in the world, but the profitability--and the survival--of the company depends
on how quickly you can reduce the debt-burden.
We examined two specific measures that Alpha has initiated.
One of them is to raise low-cost, long-term debt to pay off its high-cost, short-term
borrowings. You have completed a $135-million (Rs 540 crore) export-advance at 1
percentage point over the London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (LIBOR) for three years. You also
plan to issue Rs 350 crore of 14-per- cent convertible debentures to pay off part of the
money Alpha owes in the Inter-Corporate Deposits market. But that merely postpones the
problem. The question of deconglomeration came up as an alternative, but it did not find
favour with the members of the consortium. As you are all aware, us financial institutions
put great store by the size of a business. We feel safe in diversity because we believe
that the losses in some businesses can be made up by the gains in others. Of course, my
view is different. I feel that Alpha should spin off all its non-steel businesses into
independent companies, and allocate the debt to them. That would reduce its financial
burden--and, hence, interest costs--making your steel business profitable
Chowdhury: Interesting, that the opinion of
Rakesh, who has had several years of association with us, is personal, and does not
represent the view of the financial institutions. I was talking to a group of equity
analysts recently. We were discussing the steps that we could take to reduce our debt.
Their verdict was unanimous: break up Alpha by spinning off its peripheral businesses into
independent companies, and then, release its stake in the subsidiaries to make it
profitable. Evidently, fund-managers hold a view quite different from those of
institutional lenders. They prefer focused companies to a conglomerate as it is easier to
track pure plays. Diversified businesses are difficult to monitor because they defy
sectoral classification
Bhaskar Pradhan: I am surprised that equity
analysts and fund-managers are so limited in their quantitative skills that they cannot
effectively value a multi-sector company. It is obvious that they have been getting our
value wrong, and have failed to recognise the true potential of a company with a
diversified business portfolio. If the valuation is done properly, there is no reason why
conglomerates should be trading at p-e (price-to-earnings) multiples below those of
comparable pure plays
Pandey: There is a conglomerate discount at
work as far as fund-managers are concerned just as you have a conglomerate premium as far
as lenders are concerned. Viewed in that light, I feel that the stockmarket has been
getting it right all through by providing for that discount
Girish Rao: We have to look at our options
in the light of the depressed capital markets in the country. I am not sure if the
convertible debenture issue will sail through. Our merchant bankers are still not
confident that the issue will be fully subscribed to. Our shareholders are concerned about
the decline in Alpha's market capitalisation. They are unlikely to view last year's
results with favour. Our share prices have dipped from a peak of Rs 120 in September,
1994, to Rs 14--the lowest in our history--today
Pandey: This issue of shareholder value came
up during my interaction with the analysts. I asked them what Alpha should do to raise its
stock-price. They looked at the disparate portfolio, and said: "Break up." In
fact, worldwide, the main reason behind a break-up is the need to boost your share-prices.
A break-up induces the stockmarket to value a share fairly. But let us look at the flip
side of deconglomeration also
Chowdhury: All right, suppose we float a
subsidiary for each of our businesses, which will be 100 per cent-owned by Alpha to start
with and, gradually, is spun off into a focused business. A sharply-focused business has
the potential to attract buyers. Our power unit, which produces 515 mw of power, might
interest a larger power utility. A pure play is more likely to invite a takeover bid,
which may be good for shareholders--such acquisitions always occur at premiums to market
prices--but bad for the management because it reflects its inability to deliver value to
shareholders
Manohar Mantri: If we break up, the company
would shrink in size, and be deprived of the strength of a large balance-sheet. And growth
opportunities for managers would shrink. But the over-riding rationale against a break-up
is the need for a balanced portfolio. We are good at steel, but the future lies in sunrise
sectors, like energy. So, we should be in energy too. At a fundamental level, it is
important to remember that our shareholders invested in us because we are
well-diversified. I don't think we should be concerned about focus because that is not the
reason why investors came to us in the first place
Chowdhury: What is the upside of it all?
Pandey: Well, we will be able to raise
money, which will help us bring down our debt to a reasonable level. It will reduce
interest costs, and make our steel operations profitable. A break-up also eliminates the
executive influence of the corporate office, which does not understand the nuances of
every business and, often, second-guesses operating managers. Once we break up, the
corporate office--which costs us 1 per cent of sales approximately--could devote its time
not to interfering with the day-to-day business of the divisions, but to developing senior
managers ready to take on global responsibilities
Chowdhury: Yes, we have, as you are aware,
made bids for steel plants in the CIS and the Far East, for which we need managers. The
corporate office must help us prepare for tomorrow. It could also focus on managing
external relationships, creating a common corporate culture, providing business vision,
and playing the role of a catalyst throughout the organisation. In fact, as an extension
of the financial restructuring, we could form joint ventures in the satellite businesses
that provide inputs for manufacturing steel. For instance, Oxygen International PLC of the
UK is keen on taking over our oxygen plant. We would be guaranteed an assured supply of
oxygen for a fee lower than our operating costs. The joint venture would also distribute
surplus oxygen and industrial gases. That would release an immediate cash inflow of Rs 100
crore. Similarly, we can transfer our iron-pelletisation plant to a separate subsidiary,
which would rake in about Rs 300 crore
Mantri: If the rationale for breaking up our
conglomerate is to reduce costs, we must remember that it comes at a price. For instance,
once the power unit becomes an independent company, I see no reason why I should sell
power to the steel business at the present subsidised price of Rs 2.70 per unit; I would
do so at a rate closer to the market price of Rs 4.10
Chowdhury: These issues need to be discussed
in detail. Let us first turn to the audited results
Is deconglomeration an effective way of reducing the debt of
the company? Does it lead to an improvement in the competitiveness and profitability of
individual businesses? How can Alpha control its interest costs? Is its debt-burden really
the most critical issue? Or is the company's top management focusing on an immediate
problem, and losing sight of strategically compelling issues? Is there a valid reason for
deconglomeration? What are the flip-sides of a break-up? Will Chowdhury be able to
convince his managers of the need to shrink? Can he change the mindset of an organisation
that has become used to size? Will small really prove to be beautiful for Alpha?
SOLUTION A |
SOLUTION B | SOLUTION
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