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    CORPORATE FRONT: M&A 
    Must Centurion Bank on TCFC?No, despite Chairman Dev Ahuja's desire, if the finance
    company will prove only to be a liability. 
    By Roshni Jayakar 
     It may have outlived its
    nomenclature. Since there are barely 28 months to the end of the 20th Century, Davendra
    Ahuja, the 60-year-old CEO of the Mumbai-based 20th Century Group (1997-98 income: Rs
    2,500 crore), says that he has, obviously, at least one good reason to wind up his
    flagship, 20th Century Finance Corporation (TCFC).  
    Sure, there's more to his decision to sell TCFC's leasing and
    hire-purchase businesses to the Centurion Bank, which is also part of his group, although
    it isn't obvious. Not only is the proposed deal complex, it is also clever-like Ahuja
    himself.  
    First, TCFC will spin off Rs 70 crore of its strategic
    investments into a new company that will, probably, be christened TCFC Investments. That
    will include:  
      - A Rs 13.65-crore investment in the equity of Centurion Bank.
 
     
    
      - A Rs 1.29-crore investment in the equity of 20th Century Asset
        Management Co..
 
     
    
      - A Rs 19.60-crore investment in the equity of gmac-20th Century
        Finance Corp..
 
     
    
      - And investments of Rs 26.60 crore in the equity of 3
        subsidiaries-20th Century Securities, TCFC Holdings, and TCFC Finance-among others. 
 
     
    Then, TCFC's shareholders-only 37.30 per cent of its Rs
    17.50-crore equity is held by Ahuja (who controls 80 per cent of the promoters' holdings),
    V.S. Srinivasan (who used to work with Ahuja at Citibank), and S.S. Kulkarni-will be
    issued shares in the new company in the same proportion as in the old.  
    That will leave the rump TCFC with its operating businesses,
    comprising leasing (which contributed 36 per cent to TCFC's turnover) and hire-purchase
    (including consumer- and truck-finance, this contributed 38 per cent to TCFC's turnover in
    1997-98). All of which will be acquired lock, stock, and liabilities by the Centurion Bank
    (No. 16 on The BT Best Banks '98 Scoreboard). And, based on the recommendations of two
    independent audit firms, N.M. Raiji & Co. and Ratan Mama & Co., the bank will pay
    the shareholders of TCFC in cash, bonds, or shares, or a combination of all three.  
    In the process, TCFC will cease to exist. Sums up Ahuja: ''If
    this proposal is approved by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), my dream will come true.''
    Which was always to convert TCFC into a bank. However, the laws in 1993 did not permit
    commercial banks to have leasing and hire-purchase operations; they now do, and the RBI
    is, therefore, likely to clear Ahuja's proposal too.  
    Ironically, the bank that Ahuja floated to fulfil his dream
    of being a private banker is now bailing out the NBFC that funded it. Undoubtedly, the
    industrial downturn has hurt TCFC. While its disbursements in the year ended December, 31,
    1997, remained at the previous year's level of Rs 312.54 crore, at Rs 17.88 crore in 1997,
    TCFC's net profits were 17.83 per cent lower than the Rs 21.76 crore in 1996.  
    In fact, it not been for the receipt of a non-recurring,
    non-operational income of Rs 32 crore from the $178.17-billion General Motors Acceptance
    Corp.-with which it has floated a auto-finance joint venture, gmac-20th Century Finance
    Corp.-as a non-competing fee, TCFC would have made a net loss of Rs 14 crore that year.
    Axiomatically, TCFC's only profitable business also disappeared into the joint venture.
    Thus, this deal presents Ahuja with the perfect escape-route. Ask him if this is nothing
    but a bailout for TCFC-and he retorts: ''We are only moving with the times.''  
    That begs the key issue of whether the Centurion Bank will
    become stronger because of this strategy. Everything depends on the quality of TCFC's
    lease- and hire-purchase assets, which were valued at Rs 601.06 crore in 1997. While the
    lack of disaggregated data makes it difficult to pinpoint the proportion of them that is
    non-performing, TCFC's balance-sheet for the year ended December 31, 1997, shows that its
    provisions for Non-Performing Assets (NPAs) and debts written off rose from Rs 2.64 crore
    in 1996-97 to Rs 8.24 crore in 1997-98.  
    Warns Sankar Raman, 36, Senior Vice-President, L&T
    Finance: ''In today's economic conditions, even the npas of reasonably-run companies are
    in the range of 5 to 10 per cent.'' Worse, in August, 1998, the Credit Rating Investment
    Services of India downgraded its rating of TCFC's fixed-deposit programme from faa+ to
    fa+, citing that the lower ''rating reflects the decline in disbursements in corporate-
    and truck-financing business, difficult business conditions, and consequent pressures on
    TCFC's profitability.''  
    So, the Centurion Bank could be being forced to take TCFC's
    troubles onto its books. However, since both are part of the same group, this valuation
    exercise will be under close scrutiny. Warns Sanjay Jain, 29, Analyst, HSBC James Capel:
    ''Proper pricing, and the ability to recognise loss-making assets will be crucial.''
    Counters Ahuja: ''We will not be passing on dead wood to the bank. Centurion Bank will
    inherit assets priced at their Net Asset Values derived after taking NPAs into account.''  
    On the other hand, transferring these assets to the bank will
    allow the promoters to lower the amount required to be set aside for TCFC's bad debts.
    Explains Mahesh Thakkar, 40, the Executive Director of the Association of Leasing &
    Financial Service Companies: ''For npas over 12 months old, a bank's provisioning
    requirements are much lower than those of an NBFC.''  
    Still, the Centurion Bank will have to cope with the higher
    cost of TCFC's funds. For instance, its fixed deposits of Rs 296.17 crore cost TCFC 13 per
    cent per annum-higher than the bank's 8-10 per cent. However, Ahuja does have a way of
    countering this. ''If the RBI permits, we will give our depositors the option of
    withdrawing their deposits at the time of the acquisition. Those who want to continue will
    have to renew them at the rate that the bank offers,'' he says. While that sounds safe for
    the bank, the RBI may not agree, particularly as it could pose contractual problems.  
    Of course, the Centurion Bank does stand to gain in some ways
    from the acquisition of TCFC. Argues D.N. Ghosh, 65, Chairman, Centurion Bank: ''We are in
    favour of the Narasimham Committee's recommendations on consolidation for stability.
    That's why both companies are looking at synergising their operations while opening up new
    vistas of opportunity for the bank.''  
    Indeed, the Centurion Bank's access to low-cost funds,
    coupled with the potential for growth in the retail financing business, does provide a
    firmer foundation for a consolidated operation. Adds Ahuja: ''This will strengthen the
    business-mix of the bank, reduce its cost of funds, achieve economies of scale, and, at a
    single stroke, establish an all-India presence for the bank.''  
    He's right-mostly. Sure, the takeover will enrich the bank's
    portfolio, which consists mainly of corporate- and trade-finance products, besides asset
    management, today. Moreover, once the auto-finance business picks up, it should provide
    cover to the bank's priority-sector financing requirements. And the Centurion Bank's
    32-branch, 29-atm network will definitely benefit from TCFC's 54-location grid, of which 6
    are in semi-urban areas.  
    That's why Ahuja is eagerly awaiting the RBI's approval even
    as predators-he confesses that GE Capital Services has already approached him-circle
    around. If he pulls it off, not only will Ahuja be able to protect his investments in his
    companies, he will also delight TCFC's shareholders. Given the potential gains, therefore,
    the 20th Century merger could turn out to be the deal of the 20th Century.   |