TRIMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT:
    RESEARCH 
    Knowledge as the advantageBy Ashok Ganguly 
     The economic evolution in developed countries was, for most part of
    the previous century, marked by a significant shift of labour from agriculture to
    manufacturing. But, towards the end of the 20th Century, these countries began to usher in
    a new phase of economic evolution, triggered by the rise of the services industries, and
    driven by the new knowledge revolution. Countries under foreign dominance did not enjoy
    the fruits of the industrial (manufacturing) revolution; India was no exception. However,
    the emergence of the New Knowledge Era provides unique opportunities to developing
    countries. India can be a key player in the Knowledge Economy in this millennium provided
    it seeks world-class performance in knowledge-driven industries. 
    The fundamental changes in R&D and technology which
    will dominate at least the first half of this millennium are already visible. R&D in 2
    key areas of technology marks the flagstones of the revolution. These 2 technologies are
    infotech and gene technology. No industry, agricultural activity, or service will survive
    and thrive competitively without the help of either, or both these technologies. This
    Knowledge Revolution differs from the Industrial Revolution. 
    The Industrial Revolution was labour- and
    capital-intensive; the Knowledge Revolution is education- and human-intelligence
    intensive. Countries and corporates, which are able to master the skills and competencies
    required to bring about this paradigm shift to create intellectual capital, will dominate
    trade and commerce in this millennium. The shift to knowledge-based industries and
    services is already visible in the US, Europe, and Japan. Now, it will spread rapidly
    across the rest of the world. 
    The changes triggered off by the advances in gene
    technology will be most visible in the pharmaceuticals industry. The empirical nature of
    new drug discovery has become progressively more complex and expensive. The high costs and
    risk of pharmaceutical R&D have already led to a spate of M&As among the big
    players. This is expected to make the complexity and cost of R&D in pharmaceuticals
    more manageable. The traditional method of drug-discovery is also being helped by
    infotech-driven techniques. 
    Forecasts say that, in the first decade of this millennium,
    almost 80 per cent of the global pharmaceutical businesses will be dominated by no more
    than 8 or 10 corporations. The other force which will drive the move towards this
    consolidation is progress in the human genome project. The knowledge-driven nature of drug
    discovery based on the information from the human genome project has already begun to
    demonstrate the predictability and cost-benefits that are likely to be several-fold
    superior in magnitude when compared to empirical drug-discovery. Thus, partnerships
    between pharmaceutical companies and gene R&D boutiques are growing rapidly in the US,
    and will be replicated in other parts of the world. 
    There are 2 indicators of which Indian companies will
    survive in this millennium. Investment in R&D is one. In a supply-dominated
    environment, investment in R&D was rarely used as a tool by companies seeking a
    competitive advantage in India. Instead, the key drivers then were technology imports,
    partnerships with foreign companies, and reverse-engineering. Some of these activities
    were erroneously classified as R&D. Now, more and more companies have begun investing
    in genuine business- and market-relevant R&D. But the rate and quality of investments
    in industrial R&D is still poor. 
    What role do governments and universities have to play in this process? Let us consider
    the role of the government first. Irrespective of which country one is speaking about,
    governments are most comfortable when it comes to controlling labour and capital, but a
    little overwhelmed by the complexity of issues arising from the knowledge revolution and
    the growing importance of intellectual capital in wealth-creation. 
    The Government of India too is threatened by the
    distributive nature, the complexity, and self-empowering character of the knowledge
    paradigm. We are witness to the government's attempts to usurp regulatory powers even in
    the new and emerging areas such as infotech. But, due to the very nature of these
    industries, the ability of regulators and politicians to interfere in them is restricted.
    It is because of the borderless quality of knowledge enterprises that India's historic
    preoccupation with control and restrictions has had only a limited impact on the
    proliferation of new enterprises and the spread of Indian knowledge-workers across the
    world. 
    India's universities and research institutions represent
    one of the world's biggest repositories for nurturing and producing the human resources
    required in the knowledge era. This will continue to be, India's biggest asset in its
    search for leadership in the Knowledge Economy this millennium. Besides generating an
    annual stream of world-class human resources, several Indian universities and research
    institutions function as important knowledge-generating centres. Because of the rapid
    advances in infotech and e-Commerce, it is now possible to assemble, dis-assemble, and
    re-assemble task-specific knowledge networks linking appropriate institutions with
    individual firms, wherever in the world they may be located. 
    The other contribution of India's academic asset-base is
    that it is the prime source of knowledge workers for knowledge enterprises around the
    world. Although India, as a country, does not have a brand image in the world of infotech,
    an Indian as a knowledge-worker is already a highly-regarded global brand. There is a new
    world-class industry in network-generation and exploitation waiting to be born in India.
    The most exciting prospect is India's as-yet untapped wealth of institutions of higher
    learning and research. These will generate intellectual and economic capital at an
    unprecedented rate. 
    If the Government of India wishes to enhance the process of
    knowledge-driven economic development, it should concentrate its energies on promoting the
    massification of primary and secondary education. It will be in the knowledge industry's
    interest to be the prime source of funding for higher education and research in the
    country. It is well within the realm of reality to create a grand alliance between the
    government, academia, and industry, and, thus, transform India into a key global player,
    and an economic power in the New Age Of Knowledge. 
    Ashok Ganguly is the CEO of Technology
    Network 
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