TRIMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT:
RESEARCH
Knowledge as the advantageBy Ashok Ganguly
The economic evolution in developed countries was, for most part of
the previous century, marked by a significant shift of labour from agriculture to
manufacturing. But, towards the end of the 20th Century, these countries began to usher in
a new phase of economic evolution, triggered by the rise of the services industries, and
driven by the new knowledge revolution. Countries under foreign dominance did not enjoy
the fruits of the industrial (manufacturing) revolution; India was no exception. However,
the emergence of the New Knowledge Era provides unique opportunities to developing
countries. India can be a key player in the Knowledge Economy in this millennium provided
it seeks world-class performance in knowledge-driven industries.
The fundamental changes in R&D and technology which
will dominate at least the first half of this millennium are already visible. R&D in 2
key areas of technology marks the flagstones of the revolution. These 2 technologies are
infotech and gene technology. No industry, agricultural activity, or service will survive
and thrive competitively without the help of either, or both these technologies. This
Knowledge Revolution differs from the Industrial Revolution.
The Industrial Revolution was labour- and
capital-intensive; the Knowledge Revolution is education- and human-intelligence
intensive. Countries and corporates, which are able to master the skills and competencies
required to bring about this paradigm shift to create intellectual capital, will dominate
trade and commerce in this millennium. The shift to knowledge-based industries and
services is already visible in the US, Europe, and Japan. Now, it will spread rapidly
across the rest of the world.
The changes triggered off by the advances in gene
technology will be most visible in the pharmaceuticals industry. The empirical nature of
new drug discovery has become progressively more complex and expensive. The high costs and
risk of pharmaceutical R&D have already led to a spate of M&As among the big
players. This is expected to make the complexity and cost of R&D in pharmaceuticals
more manageable. The traditional method of drug-discovery is also being helped by
infotech-driven techniques.
Forecasts say that, in the first decade of this millennium,
almost 80 per cent of the global pharmaceutical businesses will be dominated by no more
than 8 or 10 corporations. The other force which will drive the move towards this
consolidation is progress in the human genome project. The knowledge-driven nature of drug
discovery based on the information from the human genome project has already begun to
demonstrate the predictability and cost-benefits that are likely to be several-fold
superior in magnitude when compared to empirical drug-discovery. Thus, partnerships
between pharmaceutical companies and gene R&D boutiques are growing rapidly in the US,
and will be replicated in other parts of the world.
There are 2 indicators of which Indian companies will
survive in this millennium. Investment in R&D is one. In a supply-dominated
environment, investment in R&D was rarely used as a tool by companies seeking a
competitive advantage in India. Instead, the key drivers then were technology imports,
partnerships with foreign companies, and reverse-engineering. Some of these activities
were erroneously classified as R&D. Now, more and more companies have begun investing
in genuine business- and market-relevant R&D. But the rate and quality of investments
in industrial R&D is still poor.
What role do governments and universities have to play in this process? Let us consider
the role of the government first. Irrespective of which country one is speaking about,
governments are most comfortable when it comes to controlling labour and capital, but a
little overwhelmed by the complexity of issues arising from the knowledge revolution and
the growing importance of intellectual capital in wealth-creation.
The Government of India too is threatened by the
distributive nature, the complexity, and self-empowering character of the knowledge
paradigm. We are witness to the government's attempts to usurp regulatory powers even in
the new and emerging areas such as infotech. But, due to the very nature of these
industries, the ability of regulators and politicians to interfere in them is restricted.
It is because of the borderless quality of knowledge enterprises that India's historic
preoccupation with control and restrictions has had only a limited impact on the
proliferation of new enterprises and the spread of Indian knowledge-workers across the
world.
India's universities and research institutions represent
one of the world's biggest repositories for nurturing and producing the human resources
required in the knowledge era. This will continue to be, India's biggest asset in its
search for leadership in the Knowledge Economy this millennium. Besides generating an
annual stream of world-class human resources, several Indian universities and research
institutions function as important knowledge-generating centres. Because of the rapid
advances in infotech and e-Commerce, it is now possible to assemble, dis-assemble, and
re-assemble task-specific knowledge networks linking appropriate institutions with
individual firms, wherever in the world they may be located.
The other contribution of India's academic asset-base is
that it is the prime source of knowledge workers for knowledge enterprises around the
world. Although India, as a country, does not have a brand image in the world of infotech,
an Indian as a knowledge-worker is already a highly-regarded global brand. There is a new
world-class industry in network-generation and exploitation waiting to be born in India.
The most exciting prospect is India's as-yet untapped wealth of institutions of higher
learning and research. These will generate intellectual and economic capital at an
unprecedented rate.
If the Government of India wishes to enhance the process of
knowledge-driven economic development, it should concentrate its energies on promoting the
massification of primary and secondary education. It will be in the knowledge industry's
interest to be the prime source of funding for higher education and research in the
country. It is well within the realm of reality to create a grand alliance between the
government, academia, and industry, and, thus, transform India into a key global player,
and an economic power in the New Age Of Knowledge.
Ashok Ganguly is the CEO of Technology
Network
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