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INVESTMENT 2000: DEBT
MARKET
Can't
go wrong when the name's bondIt's
not for the get-rich-overnight. In fact, it's not even for the modestly
ambitious. But investing in debt is probably the surest way of steering
clear of stockmarket chasms that can swallow even the savviest of
investors.
By Dilip
Maitra
The temptation proved irresistible for
Santosh Nayak. The 41-year-old, a senior clerk in a Mumbai-based consumer
electronics company, never parked his money with anyone other than
government-owned banks. A man of modest means, he put the safety of money
above fat, but risky, returns. But early this year, Nayak made an
exception to his Spartan investing rule. He plonked down Rs 20,000 on two
mutual funds that invested in hi-tech companies. He didn't need a sales
pitch from the funds. Glorious examples of the funds' success sat a few
feet away from him in his own office: his two colleagues, whose Rs 10,000
investment in the equity funds had swollen to Rs 70,000 in less than a
year. ''I never thought that making money could be so easy.''
As Nayak quickly learnt, it isn't. The Net
Asset Value (NAV)-or the market price-of the funds in which Nayak invested
is down to Rs 6 from Rs 10. For Nayak, it means that his Rs 20,000
investment is now worth just Rs 12,000-a loss of Rs 8,000 in four months.
Frustrated, he is now cursing himself for succumbing to ''greed'', and has
vowed never to invest outside a bank-ever.
Across the country, there are thousands of
risk-averse small investors like Nayak who took to equity mutual funds in
the belief that they are relatively safe. Having seen their NAVs plummet
by 30 to 50 per cent, these investors are now realising that an equity
fund is only as safe as the stocks it invests in.
So, what should people like Nayak do? Put
their money in bank fixed deposits and trade peace of mind for piffling
returns? May be not. For, with interest rates headed south, it doesn't
make economic sense to let your money idle away in fixed deposits (FDs). A
six-month FD today fetches a bare 7 per cent return. The rate is 8 per
cent for a one-year FD, 9 per cent for 2 years, and 10 per cent for 3-5
years. Says B. Pramod, 51, General Manager, Syndicate Bank: ''The steady
fall in interest rates has made bank FDs a relatively less attractive
investment option.'' Instead, investors like Nayak should look at several
other fixed-income options available. These investments are as safe as
bank deposits, but offer reasonably high rates of return. Business Today
walks you through some of the investment opportunities in debt and
debt-related instruments, and shows you how to negotiate the risk-return
trade-off involved in each one of them.
Post-office schemes
Believe it or not, despite the 1 percentage
point reduction in the interest rate, the investment schemes offered by
your good old post office are some of the safest and most rewarding. If
you are a tax payer, and need to invest to save tax under Section 88 of
the Income Tax Act (it allows 20 per cent of the money invested to be tax
deductible), then one of the best investment options is the Public
Provident Fund (PPF) of the postal department. PPF is a 15-year scheme and
withdrawals are permitted annually beginning the 7th year. The interest
that is earned from PPF is tax free and exempt from wealth tax.
Under this scheme, in one financial year, one
can invest a maximum of Rs 60,000 (and a minimum of Rs 100) in lumpsum or
in monthly instalments. The investment carries an interest rate of 11 per
cent compounded every year.
Sounds low? Not quite. If you take into
account the tax rebate of Rs 12,000 on an investment of Rs 60,000, the
return works out to as high as 31 per cent in the first year, or close to
15 per cent every year for the seven-year lock-in period. Says M.R.
Madhavan, 30, Head of Fixed Income Research at ICICI Securities and
Finance Company (I-Sec): ''All the savings schemes from the post office
are almost 100 per cent safe, because the Government Of India is the
borrower. Besides, you get very good returns.''
Another good tax-saving scheme from the
snail-mail people goes under the name of the National Savings Certificate
(NSC). Extremely popular for the safety and return it provides, the NSC
has no upper investment limit. Like PPF, only 20 per cent of the money
invested is eligible for tax rebate. And, encashment of the investment is
allowed only after six years. But by the end of the period, the investment
grows by an impressive 90 per cent. In other words, a Rs 10,000 NSC
becomes Rs 19,012, denoting a compound interest rate of 11 per cent and a
simple interest rate of 15 per cent. Since there is a six-year lock-in
period, the interest earned on NSCs is also eligible for tax rebate.
The problem, however, with PPF and NSC is
that these investments are not liquid enough. Besides, they are not
tradeable, and can be encashed only at post offices. But if you are
hard-pressed for cash, you have the option of mortgaging both PPF and NSC
to raise money from banks, who give up to 60 per cent of the face value as
loan.
If you are retired, and need to supplement
your monthly pension with an additional interest income, then you should
consider the post office's monthly income scheme. This allows a person to
deposit a minimum of Rs 6,000 and a maximum of Rs 2.04 lakh in a single
account, or Rs 4.08 lakh in a joint account, for six years. The money
earns monthly returns at the rate of 11 per cent a year. So, if you invest
Rs 2.04 lakh, you will get Rs 1,870 a month. Besides, the deposit earns a
10 per cent bonus at the time of maturity after six years. Therefore, the
actual yield works out to 12.66 per cent. You could cancel the deposit
after one year, but there's a 5 per cent penalty on the principal and the
interest for doing so.
However, if you are patient enough and don't
touch the deposit for at least three years, you can avoid paying the
penalty and, on top of it, pay no income tax. Says J. Rajagopalan, 40,
Director of the Mumbai-based Bluechip Corporate Investment Center, a large
investment advisory for individuals: ''The post office savings schemes
have become so attractive that people are withdrawing their money from
banks to deposit in post offices.'' But the problem with such schemes is
that they are managed by a not-so-efficient staff; the infrastructure
lacks computerisation; and the style of functioning is antique.
The Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC),
the state-owned insurance giant, also has an interesting regular income
scheme that is designed mainly for people on the verge of retirement.
Under the scheme, called Jeevan Akshay, a person 50 years old or more can
deposit in multiples of Rs 1,000 and obtain a fixed monthly pension at the
rate of 12 per cent (Rs 100 per month on a deposit of Rs 10,000) for the
rest of his life. In case of the investor's death, the nominee gets the
entire amount that has been initially invested. The added benefit of this
scheme is that the investment is eligible for a tax rebate under Section
88 and the interest income it generates is tax-free.
Mutual funds
Sure, the schemes offered by the post office
and the LIC are safe, tax-efficient, and some of the best in terms of
returns. But when it comes to liquidity, these schemes are as illiquid as
your mother-in-law. So, if you are somebody who needs to have big money in
rotation, it would be a terrible idea to lock up Rs 10 lakh in, say, NSC.
In addition, you run the risk of being saddled with a falling
interest-rate regime. In developed economies, for instance, interest rates
are wafer-thin at 1 to 2 per cent.
If India goes the western way, interest rates
will change more frequently, compared to the twice-in-a-year change now,
thanks to the Reserve Bank of India's credit policy announcements in April
and October. Says S. Venkateshan, 50, Executive Director (Finance),
Sundaram Finance: ''The days of fixed long-term returns are gone.''
In an uncertain world, it makes sense to rely
on experts to minimise risk. Enter, the friendly neighbourhood debt-fund
manager. Agreed, compared to equity funds, debt funds are easy to build
and manage. But with the variety of instruments in the market growing,
this portfolio management is best done by a professional. Predicts Nilesh
Shah, 32, Chief Investment Officer, Templeton Asset Management:
''Investment in debt instruments is going to get more and more complex in
the future.'' Investors seem to agree. For, in the last three years, they
have poured in Rs 13,667 crore into the 82 debt funds that have come up in
that period.
Any fund manager will tell you that there
are, broadly, three types of debt funds through which mutual funds
channelise investments from individuals and corporates. These are: plain
vanilla bond funds, gilt funds, and liquid funds. Gilt funds are the
safest since they only invest in government securities. Liquid funds buy
short-term instruments like commercial paper, treasury bills, and
certificate of deposits.
Both gilt and liquid funds are of recent
origin and, hence, are relatively small in size. The biggest among debt
funds is the bond fund, which primarily invests in corporate,
institutional and public sector debt papers, popularly known as corporate
bonds. Some of the prominent bond funds in the country are: Birla Income
Plus (asset size: Rs 1,920 crore at the end of 1999-2000) promoted by
Birla Mutual; Prudential ICICI's Income Plan (Rs 1,753 crore); UTI Bond (Rs
1,001 crore), Templeton's India Income fund (Rs 875 crore), and DSP
Merrill Lynch's bond fund (Rs 799 crore). All told, the bond funds boasted
an asset base of Rs 10,400 crore in 1999-2000.
Bond funds
All three funds are open-ended, implying that
an investor can get in and get out at any time he wants. Typically, bond
funds are meant for risk-averse investors, who are looking for returns
better than what the banks offer. These funds, on an average, provide a
rate of return between 11 per cent and 13 per cent.
Of course, in the past, some bond funds have
done better than the average. Take, for example, Birla Income Plus. It has
given a 14.7 per cent return in one year and a 16.3 per cent return in the
last three years. Sun F&C's Money Value Fund (dividend scheme)
declared two dividends of 7.5 per cent each in 1999-2000 taking its total
dividend to 15 per cent. Points out Dileep Madgavkar, 37, Chief Investment
Officer, Prudential-ICICI Mutual funds: ''Our income plan appreciated 14
per cent over the year (in 1999-00) and 13.86 per cent over the (last)
quarter.''
Investing in bond funds is relatively safe,
although there are two kinds of risk involved: credit risk, and market
risk. Bond funds try to reduce the credit risk by spreading their
investment portfolio across a range of offerings. For instance, by
building a portfolio that has private sector corporate bonds, public
sector bonds, institutional bonds, government securities and commercial
papers. Prudential ICICI's Income Plan, for example, has invested 66 per
cent of its asset in corporate bonds, 27 per cent in government
securities, and 4 per cent in commercial paper.
Even when investing in corporate bonds, these
funds mostly stick to debt papers of high credit-worthiness, like that of
AAA-rated companies. In fact, the industry thumbrule requires 80 per cent
of the total fund to be invested in AAA rated papers.
To figure out which companies' bonds to
invest in, mutual funds employ a team of researchers. This team not only
gives the original investment advice, but also monitors the performance of
all the companies in the portfolio. Should the research indicate the
possibility of a downgrade in credit rating, the fund, typically, quickly
gets out of the investment. Says Milind Nandurkar, 32, fund manager in
charge of debt funds, Sun F&C Asset Management: ''We constantly churn
our portfolio to optimise credit risk and maximise the return.'' If you
are wondering why you, as an individual investor, cannot directly invest
in these corporate debt instruments, here's the reason. Almost all of
these bonds are sold in the private placement market, where the marketable
lot is upwards of Rs 5 crore. (Did we hear you choke?)
As for the market risk, it is inversely
related to the movement of interest rates. When interest rates go up, the
price of the existing securities go down in the debt trading market,
resulting in a capital loss to the funds. Exactly the opposite happens
when interest rates go down. Mutual funds try to manage such market risks
by shuffling their portfolio between long-, medium-, and short-term
maturity papers. Points out Madhavan of I-Sec: ''In a volatile interest
rates market, the return from debt funds will depend on the efficiency
with which the funds manage the market risk.''
Making the most
Another big attraction of debt funds is their
tax-efficient returns. For somebody in the high tax bracket, dividends are
an easy way to avoid tax. That's because the tax on dividend is paid by
the issuer, and not the recipient.
However, if you want returns by way of
capital appreciation, then you should stay invested at least for one year
and one day. Why 366 days and not 365? Staying invested for more than a
year allows the investor to take advantage of the provision in long-term
capital gains tax rules. The indexation facility allows capital gains to
be discounted at a rate equivalent to that of the consumer price inflation
index. Explains Nandurkar of Sun F&C: ''Based on the long-term capital
gain tax of 10 per cent, the tax on a 12 per cent yield will be around 1.2
per cent while the effective tax on interest earned from banks or
corporate deposits will be about 4 per cent.''
Yet another advantage of investing in debt
funds is their liquidity. An investor can cash out within three to four
days, by selling out to the fund. The money gets safely credited to the
investor's bank account. Of course, some funds do charge a fee (called the
exit load) when an investor sells out within 6 months or 3 months of the
entry. But the penal fee is low, and varies between 0.3 and 0.5 per cent.
Says N.K. Sharma, 48, Senior Vice-President and Chief Of Business
Development, Birla Mutual: ''The beauty of mutual funds is that you get
the money back when you want it.''
Sharma's taking an obvious dig at the legion
of Non-Banking Finance Companies (NBFCs) and other errant companies, who
have vanished after collecting hundreds of crores from unsuspecting
investors. To make bond funds much more attractive to investors, funds
like Templeton are planning to allow third-party like utility bills-for
investors in its liquid funds.
With mutual funds bending backwards to lure
investors, popular investment vehicles of yore like fixed deposits in
companies and NBFCs, and bonds of financial institutions like the
Industrial Development Bank of India, and ICICI, are going abegging.
Nowadays, companies rarely accept fixed deposits because raising wholesale
money through debentures is much more cost effective and faster.
As for the NBFCs, few today have
investment-grade ratings. And those who do, like Sundaram Finan |