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      MARKETING 
      Hamara Bajaj?
      Bajaj Auto is driving into the most
      crucial period in its 36-year-long existence. 
      By    
      Roop Karnani 
      The buzz in the street is becoming a drone
      for the country's largest two-wheeler manufacturer: can you beat a Bajaj?
      The answer, unthinkable for the 36 years that Bajaj Auto has undisputedly
      led the two- and three-wheeler industry, is: 'perhaps', 'maybe', and
      'yes'. As declining sales in its key segment of two-wheelers becomes more
      and more apparent, a spluttering Bajaj is now desperately searching for
      ideas and products to fire up the image-and sales-of a once-undisputed
      market leader. 
      Danger is around the corner-in 1999-2000,
      Bajaj's two-wheeler sales did not grow at all. Arch-rival Hero Honda's
      actually grew by a hefty 40 per cent. If this trend continues-in April and
      May 2000, Hero Honda's sales shot up by 55 per cent, while Bajaj's grew by
      barely 10 per cent-Hero Honda should end up with sales of 1.1 million
      units against Bajaj's 1.3 million. Confirms Atul Sobti, 46, Senior
      Vice-President (Sales & Marketing), Hero Honda: ''Our target in the
      current year is to comfortably exceed the 1 million mark and from there on
      grow at least 25 per cent per annum.'' And with Honda and Piaggio waiting
      in the wings, Bajaj is now under threat in its mainstay business. 
      But it all began with motorcycles. In the
      last 10 years, the two-wheeler market has undergone a drastic change:
      motorcycles now account for 43 per cent of total two-wheeler sales, while
      scooters take up only 29 per cent. Bajaj-traditionally, a large scooter
      manufacturer-completely drove around this trend. It entered the segment as
      late as 1992-93, seven years after the three Japanese giants-Honda,
      Yamaha, and Suzuki-had already proved there is a market for sleek,
      fuel-efficient bikes in India. In fact, till 1996-97, Bajaj's bikes raked
      in barely 10 per cent of its total two-wheeler sales. 
      Something Rajiv Bajaj, President, Bajaj
      admits readily: ''Till then, we never really focused on motorcycles.''
      Interestingly, even today Bajaj refuses to believe that motorcycles will
      continue to outsell scooters. Says Bajaj: ''In markets like Europe and USA
      scooters even today outsell motorcycles by 2:1.'' Well, Honda, the top
      two-wheeler maker in the world, sells more motorcycles than scooters. Says
      Sulajja Firodia Motwani, 29, CEO, Kinetic Motor Company: ''There is a
      clear shift in the market in favour of motorcycles. That's why we too are
      entering the motorcycle market.''Agrees Venu Srinivasan, 45, CEO,
      TVS-Suzuki: ''I don't think the swing in favour of motorcycles is a
      temporary phenomenon.'' 
      The motorcycle strategy 
      Till last year, Bajaj had two four-stroke
      models-the 4S Champion (Rs 45,300) and the Caliber (Rs 47,800). This
      miscued pricing strategy pushed up Caliber's sales at the cost of 4s
      Champion's. It was only last year that Bajaj began redefining its
      motorcycle strategy. It launched a four-stroke bike, Boxer at, priced at
      Rs 36,000. The Boxer at was a hit, notching up sales of 71,108 units in
      the last nine months of 1999-2000. And, in the first two months of the
      current fiscal, Bajaj saw its motorcycle sales shoot up by 50 per cent. 
      '''We are now able to sell 28,500 motorcycles
      per month,'' says R.L. Ravichandran, 50, Vice-President (Business &
      Product Development), Bajaj. ''However, with these models we can at best
      sell 35,000 units a month, after which it becomes difficult to push
      further.'' Hero Honda leads the market with sales of 81,000 motorcycles a
      month. The No. 2 player, TVS Suzuki, sells much less at 29,500 per month. 
      Bajaj is now concentrating on the price range
      between its mainstay bikes, the Boxer at and the Caliber. ''There is room
      for one more model in between these two'', says Rajiv. So, Bajaj is
      revamping the 4S Champion into a more sleeker, fuel-efficient bike. Dubbed
      the Acer, this model will be launched in October, 2000. Bajaj also plans
      to launch two more models this year. The two-stroke, 175cc, Eliminator
      will take on Hero Honda CBZ. And the 175cc Pulsar, a four-stroke bike,
      '''is more a statement of technology from Bajaj. We expect the real
      volumes to come from the Acer, and to some extent from the Eliminator''
      says Rajiv. Basically, Bajaj will try to straddle all segments of the
      motorcycle space. 
      The scooter strategy 
      The scooter market still forms two-thirds of
      Bajaj's two-wheeler sales. Not only is the market shrinking, Bajaj is
      steadily losing marketshare. However, even though the overall scooter
      market shrank by about 10 per cent-Bajaj and LML paid the price-both
      Kinetic Motor Co. and TVS Suzuki, which sell ungeared automatic
      transmission scooters with an electric push-button start, grew by 25 per
      cent. Says Sulajja Firodia Motwani: ''The current trend proves my point:
      consumers now want greater convenience.'' Agrees Venu Srinivasan: ''People
      are fed up of buying the old-looking scooter with gears and kick-start.
      They are looking for something more convenient and stylish.'' 
      Bajaj has just 15 per cent of the
      scooterettes market. Recognising this, Bajaj is launching the 60-CC Sunny
      Spice. And it has already test-launched the Saffire, a 92-CC four-stroke
      scooter with auto-transmission and push-button start. Priced at Rs 33,000,
      it is expected to take on the Kinetic DX100 Y2K and Kinetic Marvel, which
      costs Rs 42,000. The launch will be in August. Rajiv himself doesn't
      expect the Saffire to set the markets on fire. He insists that there is
      hope for geared scooters. ''If we can design a scooter which is priced
      below Rs 30,000 and has a fuel-efficiency of 70 km per litre, we can get
      our customers back.'' 
      A four-stroke model of the warhorse Chetak,
      which is slated for launch in the next three months, is Bajaj's weapon.
      Then there's fusion, ''an entirely new scooter'', which will be launched
      this year. Of course, Bajaj has a vested interest in milking the geared
      scooter market-but its attractive finance schemes will hit margins. 
      Then, Bajaj will also launch a four-stroke
      version of the step-thru-bike M80. At the same time, it is under pressure
      in the three-wheeler segment, thanks to Piaggio. Predicts Anupam Thareja,
      29, Assistant Director (Research), ABN AMRO Asia Equities: ''I believe
      that in motorcycles, Bajaj will be the fastest-growing company in the
      current year. However, I expect Bajaj's sales of geared scooters to fall
      by 6 per cent.'' While Bajaj fights back, one thing's for sure: a
      36-year-long party's over.
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