TECHNOLOGY
Fear
Over The City
They're carting away the coke machines.
The cafeterias no longer serve tom yum soup if there are cafeterias left
at all. This is an age of pink slips and cutbacks. The fallout of Silicon
Valley's nuclear winter has reached Bangalore, but it isn't something most
of the wary whiz kids want to talk about. Are they in denial? Or can they
cope?
A Venkatesha
Babu
I feel
distinctly vulturine as I set out. my editor's instructions were clear:
''I want a fear-and-loathing-in-Bangalore kinda piece,'' said the
prematurely-old voice (that's what he was to me, a voice, nothing more).
''That shouldn't be difficult in this tech-autumn.''
I didn't quite agree with the man but didn't
say anything. I knew several companies that feared the tech-slump would
herald their end. I also knew they would loath me if I questioned them
about their troubles. So much for gonzo journalism. Well, I didn't become
a journalist to win popularity contests.
To continue with the trend of using
animal-adjectives, S. Ramakrishnan's behaviour is distinctly struthionine
(ostrich-like). The President of Savantech, a company that contributed the
word d-commerce-it stands for digital content commerce and never mind if
you haven't heard of it; it hasn't caught on-to the local technology
lexicon, would have everyone believe that things aren't that bad.
IS
THIS HAPPENING IN
YOUR OFFICE?
Warning signs that your company has
been buffeted by the tech maelstrom. |
There's Trouble
Ahead If...
» That swank
American-style Coke machine stops working.
» The
cafeteria stops the Tom Yum soup, and offers only idlis.
»
Your increment
whistles down to 15% from 50%
»
The bi-monthly
visit to the San Francisco office is cancelled
»
The company
vehicle offered to you is a CBZ, not a Zen
»
Instead of a cell
phone, you get a Rs 500 phone allowance
»
The HR manager
calls for a "reorientation' meeting
It's Time To Move Out When...
»
The Coke machine
is carted away and this time, it isn't for maintenance
»
The cafeteria is
closed down and the staff fired
»
You don't get an
increment at all
»
The San Francisco
office is closed down
»
The company
suggests you move closer-or stay at home
»
You r phone is
abruptly disconnected
»
The HR
vice-president is sacked |
''We are exploring certain projects that are
at the preliminary stage.'' My mind flips to the conversation I had with a
rather unimpressive security man who doubles up as the front office of
Savantech.
The receptionist, said the uniform, had been
asked to go. ''Do you think the company will survive? I am worried about
my job.'' Ramakrishnan, sipping Diet Coke from a can, now takes the high
ground.
''We are surprised a publication of your
stature is more interested in spreading the bad news instead of helping
us.'' That's difficult when the world isn't buying into d-commerce.
''The entire sector is suffering. Yes, we
have economised on several things,'' says Ramakrishnan. ''After the
initial investment of half-a-million dollars we haven't been able to raise
anything.''
That could explain the air of somnolence
about the company's 6,000-square feet office. I remember having passed a
few employees playing Solitaire desultorily on my way to Ramakrishnan's
room. But that's no measure of how the company is doing-heck, I get in a
quick game or two of Doom at work everyday.
By now Ramakrishnan has decided that what
this writer needs is an iron hand; he hints darkly at lawsuits. Actually,
the Diet Coke sort of fits in with these lean, mean days. ''Initially it
was free Coke and pizzas for all, and TGIF bashes,'' reminisces a former
executive of Savantech. ''Then reality set in.''
That, it did, in not just Savantech, but tens
of other tech hotshops in Bangalore. The draught beer is flat. The Coke
dispensers are gone. Free pizzas (or idlis) are a happy memory. And the
tech dream has withered greatly. Walk through the streets of Bangalore and
you will witness a summer of corruption.
See that building on the way to the airport.
That's where Purple Yogi had its offices. The company sacked several
people recently.
Remember that tall building on the road
leading to the airport. Aditi/Talisma is located there. That's right, this
is the company founded by Pradeep Singh, formerly of McKinsey and
Microsoft. It denies having laid off anyone, but there has been some ''rationalisation
of employees''.
And if you are more an anecdotes-not a
fact-flotsam-person, read on:
Employees at one of the many tech-hopefuls
promoted by the Microland Group come into work one morning to discover
that the Coke machine in the cafeteria is gone. Then lunch, normally an
elaborate affair with employees picking from three cuisines-Thai, Chinese,
and Indian-is cancelled. A poker-faced HR exec holds a meeting of
employees to tell them that the cafeteria staff, and some employees from
the marketing, public relations, and software departments are being
''released''. The next morning, this harbinger of freedom discovers that
the company wants him to go too.
At another hotshop, which set out to change
the network paradigm, the brass had to sell off and lease part of their
chrome-and-glass offices just to free up cash and pay employees. Anyway,
there aren't many employees to be paid. Most of them have either been
sacked or have left in search of greener pastures.
Living with the malaise: what malaise?
So far, I had come across some fear, no
loathing, and lots of denial. I was seeing tech CEOs in an entirely new
light. Yes, things were bad. But, no, their companies were not in trouble;
it was only the competition that was hanging on for dear life. The word
''layoff'' was a red flag of sorts. One CEO, Anand Sudarshan of Planetasia,
wants an exact definition of the term before commenting on his company's
downsizing.
Another, Jyotirmoy Bose of Purple Yogi India,
admits that people have been asked to leave but adds that ''this was
purely on the basis of performance''.
Trigyn Technologies, builder of ''application
integration services'' admits-the only listed company to do so publicly,
so let's give it credit-that it has asked 10 per cent of its 700-strong
workforce to go. But some of the people laid off insist the figure is
closer to 30-35 per cent.
It isn't surprising to encounter this wave of
denial.
What did I expect CEOs to say? Yes, we are
doing badly. No, it's not because of market dynamics but because we hyped
things up. Of course, we are laying people off.
What is surprising is the profile of
companies being affected. No one, it would appear, is safe: from the rare
makers of packaged software to the ubiquitous pure-play software services
companies, everyone has been burnt by the tech flameout.
It's a pity this had to happen in my town.
Bangalore didn't go the dotcom way like Mumbai or even neighbouring
Chennai; it went tech with a vengeance. The entrepreneurial wave that
started in 1998, revolved around technology, not content, and certainly
not communities.
But, as these start-ups are discovering, a
great technological USP and an impressive pedigree of defection capital
means little when the hype comes crashing down. Srini Rajam, the former
CEO of Texas Instruments' Indian ops, and the man behind Ittiam Systems, a
high-end Digital Signal Processing solutions company, admits things are
tough: ''From both a financial and a marketing point of view the scenario
is bleak. But this is a great opportunity for the men to distinguish
themselves from the boys.''
Vinay Sanjay URS who runs a search firm,
Plakon, recommends that all claims by companies about how ingeniously they
are handling the tech squeeze be taken with a barrel of salt: ''Companies
like Cisco, Nortel, and Intel are cutting jobs by the thousands. How can
Indian software companies whose main market lies in the US, expect not to
be hurt in the resulting melee? The larger companies with several clients
spread across continents may till be able to get away, but the smaller
companies will find the going very tough.'' Phew!
Surviving the trough of disillusionment
There's no denying the fact that most
companies and venture capitalists are in the trough, a neat phrase
constructed by consulting firm Gartner in 1998, to explain the evolution
of new technologies. It all begins with the highs of a peak of inflated
expectations, the lows of the trough of disillusionment, and continues on
the upward gradient of a slope of enlightenment to the destination, a
plateau of productivity.
''Venture capitalists have swung from one
extreme of issuing blank cheques to the other of demanding cash flows even
when the project hasn't taken off,'' rues G. Mohan, the CEO of Ionic
Systems, builders of home gateways for broadband access. Mohan's company
didn't have any problem with its first round of funding, but it must now
brace for its second-round in a distinctly tightfisted market.
It doesn't take a management consultant to
figure out what companies need to do: increase revenues and reduce costs.
The first is well nigh impossible in a depressed market; the second is in
the realm of the achievable. Workforce can be pruned; salaries, cut; and
travel budgets, frozen.
The emphasis on slashing unnecessary costs
will help introduce some form of austerity into work practices that were
starting to look almost Bacchanalian. The days of almost-free, or free,
Tom Yum soup at company kitchens are coming to a close.
Still, incrementalism can only take a company
that far. The real thrust will come from a radically new business model.
That's what Unimobile-formerly Gray Cell, which gave India its first
boom-time poster boy, Rajesh Reddy-has done. The company abruptly
terminated its free two-way SMS (Short Messaging Service), which lets
users communicate with each other through PCs, mobile phones, and Personal
Digital Assistants (PDAs). ''This is in line with our decision to focus on
enterprise customers like telecom carriers,'' says Unimobile's CEO Vas
Bhandarkar. The million-odd users who used the service were the ideal
consumer community on which the company tested its offering, but they
added nothing to Unimobile's revenue streams.
Plain-vanilla tech companies will find it
difficult to scale Gartner's slope of enlightenment. For them, the trough
of disillusionment could well be a pit of despair. References to Dante
apart, only those companies that build a unique differential, clubbing
technology and service into a compelling bundle, can hope to succeed.
Should we mourn for the tens of failed
ventures that already dot the Bangalore landscape? Or should we hold our
grief for the hundred other ventures that will surely fail? Grieving would
be out of place.
The casualties aren't significant: some tens
of millions of squandered capital; a few hundred bruised egos; a small but
perceptible dip in the demand for khakis, mobile phones, and canned
drinks; and the end of a glorious period of irrational exuberance.
The companies that survive the trough will
emerge stronger. Those that don't will engender several start-ups. And
these survivors will be managed by men wise in the ways of venture
capitalists, technology cycles, and the world at large. Already, Nirmal
Ranka, the promoter of Cybertech Software, a systems integrator that went
belly-up in March 2001, is talking about his next venture, a company in
the networking and wireless domain space.
And yes, this time around, he promises to be
more circumspect with the Coke.
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