| WIRED WISDOM
 Asia's F2F Hurdle
 It's not just low net penetration or
      technology illiteracy that's holding up e-commerce in Asia. It's the
      inter-personal way business is done here: Face-To-Face or F2F. We believe that all forms of
      e-business will grow rapidly in Asia, just as in the rest of the world,
      during the next several years. Even b2c commerce, which many feel has died
      a quick death, is destined to grow from regional revenue of $17.5 billion
      (2001 estimated) to over $81 billion by 2004. However, the utilisation of
      the net for commerce is beset by a number of unique challenges in the
      Asian continent. 
        
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          | Bob Hayward,
            President (Research & Business Development), Gartner
            Asia-Pacific | Kingshuk
            Hazra, Research Analyst, Gartner G2, India
 |  Asians are tech-savvy... Asia has many things going for it in the
      uptake of new technology and for future growth. It boasts a rapid rate of
      growth in people, wealth, and economies. The net is more widely available
      (especially through mobile devices) and access costs are falling. Anyone who has travelled through Asia can
      also testify to the desire by the middle class to possess the latest
      brands and tech gizmos. In addition, many Asian governments have invested
      huge sums in technology infrastructure. There are cities and regions in
      Asia that can boast world-beating levels of broadband use, or mobile net
      access. Most important, the merchant- and
      trading-culture that is pervasive across Asia means the region has several
      technology clusters actively involved in the global supply chain of it
      products and services. Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and Singapore are all major
      producers of technology hardware, while India is emerging as a global
      force in the provision of software and services. And looming on the
      horizon as a major player is China. But, here's the catch Asia is yet to see much in the way of
      businesses using the internet to improve procurement, partake in global
      e-marketplaces or automate supply chains. Most of the attention around the
      use of the web in Asia has been focused on mobile applications, or the
      incredible roll out of broadband to homes (in Korea). Even in these
      situations, actual sale of traditional products and services over these
      networks has been slow to take off with applications such as games, dating
      and location-assistance services being the main drivers of usage. There
      are many reasons why the use of the web in Asia does not follow the same
      pattern observed in the US or other developed economies. Regional disparities: There is more
      polarity in race, religion, language, wealth, political systems, history,
      weather, topography and culture within Asia than in any other part of the
      world. Consequently, while we get excited about wireless in Taiwan, or
      broadband in Singapore, hundreds of millions of people in Asia cannot read
      or write, have never made a phone call, and are nowhere near a point of
      internet access. Teledensity: There are islands of high
      teledensity (access to telecom services of various types) within Asia, but
      these are surrounded by vast oceans of extremely low teledensity. Monitoring: Many Asian countries have
      constraints in how they might use the web for government control and
      harassment. More than 2,000 cyber cafes were closed down across China in
      early July alone. Business size: The electronics
      industry in Taiwan consists of over 14,000 companies, which are small and
      medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). And like the rest of the world, the
      ability of SMEs to transform themselves to use the web is far less
      compared to the larger trading companies or multinationals. It has become
      a huge challenge throughout Asia to educate these companies and provide
      them with mentoring services to help them make the necessary adjustments. To compound the dilemma, large trading
      companies as well as SMEs rarely have a recognisable brand, outside that
      of a particular niche industry or small national market. As commerce
      becomes more globalised, global brands will continue to dominate at the
      expense of local companies and products. Lifestyle: A large number of people
      live in dense urban locations, where the concept of personal shopping is
      more prevalent. In fact, there is no catalogue culture to tap in Asia. Meanwhile, many regional banks have been very
      slow to support b2c merchants or enable b2b payment systems, and the level
      of credit card penetration across all of Asia is still very low. Enter F2F Commerce Fundamentally, there is one major difference
      between Asian and Western culture. Asians are hesitant to adopt the
      concept of b2b commerce. Business and commerce in Asia is conducted on a
      far more personal level. It is based on Face-To-Face commerce (F2F)! Consumers buy from the same local shops their
      parents bought from. They buy from people they know and trust. They are
      not easily going to abandon these practices for some online service. In any business, commerce is also conducted
      across a region on the basis of long-standing relationships. These
      relationships may be due to a common heritage (all emigrants are from the
      same region of China), common education or military service, membership of
      the same extended family or because of common links to a holding company,
      or bank. There is nothing wrong with any of these
      factors, but organisations need to understand them. Indeed, many Asian
      companies could leverage these differences to gain global advantage. For example, the long train commutes that the
      Japanese suffer have opened up major opportunities for mobile-commerce.
      And the low level of credit card penetration in Asia has forced companies
      to explore novel ways of handling e-payments-most notably through the use
      of the telecom/mobile carriers' billing system. 'Pay for a coke from a
      vending machine in Tokyo using your mobile phone, get $1 added to your
      phone bill'-nothing could be simpler. This model has many advantages over
      the credit card system used elsewhere in the world. In India, localised innovations such as
      mobile billing systems or those that attempt to sell offline leverage a
      VSAT-based order-supply system and the good-old cash-on-delivery model,
      will work. As Asia continues to grow, and the next
      web-literate generation takes its place in the management suite, the
      changes it will need to cope with will not just be radical, but also very
      different from the rest of the world. 
 Reader's views, comments, and
      experiences are welcome at gartnermktg@ggindia.com.
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