1991: The Industrial Policy did away with licensing
for all but 18 industries, allowed foreign investment up to 51 per
cent in high-priority industries, and reduced the number of sectors
reserved for public sector from 12 to eight.
1991: Two reform packages allowed tradable
import benefits against exports, pruned the canalised-imports list,
and scrapped actual-user norms on several categories
1991:
The MRTP Act was amended to let companies expand without government
permission.
1991: The Automobile Policy opened up the auto sector to
foreign manufacturers.
1991: The new power policy, 1991, allowed private participation
in power generation.
1992: The disinvestment process was kicked off with the sale
of 20 million shares of IPCL.
1992: The SEBI Act was amended to make SEBI a statutory body;
and new-issue pricing was made market-determined.
1992: Cellular services were opened up to private players.
1994: The National Highways Authority of India Act was amended to
allow toll-collection and private-sector participation in the road
sector.
2000:
The Insurance Regulation and Development Act was passed, opening
up the industry to the private sector.
India
And World Trade
The Second Five-Year
Plan's emphasis on industrialisation necessitated imports of capital
equipment. India didn't have the exports to balance this, and its
trade policy became isolationist (big on import substitution). Its
share in world trade declined from 2 per cent in the 1950s to 0.6
per cent in the 1990s. The first real signs of change came in 1985
with V.P. Singh's efforts at rationalising import tariffs. This
was the time the Uruguay Round of negotiations was launched. The
round was a bargaining disaster and lies at the root of the uneasy
relationship between India and the WTO. Only recently has India
learnt that the WTO can be used to its advantage. The process of
full-scale integration with the world economy began in 1991. The
share of external trade in GDP has increased to 21 per cent from
around 10 per cent a decade back.
-T.R. Vivek
Crown Jewels Or Bleeding
Ulcers?
|
A typical asset-
heavy PSu |
The seeds of the
mammoth public sector were sown way back in 1951, when the first
Five-Year Plan said: ''the State has a special responsibility for
developing key industries like iron and steel, heavy chemicals,
manufacturing of electrical equipment and the like.'' The Industrial
Policy Resolution, 1956-and later the Second Five-Year Plan-reinforced
this point, saying that ''the State will progressively assume predominance
and direct responsibility for setting up new industrial undertakings
and for developing transport facilities''. The two main objectives
of the public sector-which Jawaharlal Nehru envisaged as occupying
the commanding heights of the economy-were to help in rapid economic
and industrial growth and create the necessary infrastructure, and
to earn return on investment and generate resources for development.
There were sundry other objectives as well, including redistribution
of income and wealth, employment generation and balanced regional
development.
However, the public sector seems to have succeeded
only in employment generation (the wages: net sales ratio in manufacturing
sector PSUs hovered around 10 per cent through the 1990s against
an average of 8.1 per cent in the private sector). The infrastructure
for economic development is still inadequate and, far from generating
resources for development, the 236 public sector undertakings have
only drained the nation's resources. Between 1968-69 and 1999-2000,
PSUs never earned post-tax profits that exceeded 5.5 per cent of
the capital employed. And the government is required to keep investing
more and more money into them. Between 1990 and 1999, an extra Rs
61,211 crore was pumped into the public sector. No wonder, disinvestment
minister Arun Shourie often asks whether the PSUs are crown jewels
or bleeding ulcers.
-Seetha
BUDGETS
THAT MATTERED
It's
hard to think of a time when Union budgets did not generate the
kind of excitement they do now. But as long as the five-year plans
set the economy's direction, budgets were mere accounting exercises.
|
Manmohan Singh, 1991
|
|
P. Chidam- baram, 1996
|
|
Yashwant Sinha, 1998
|
The first milestone budget was T.T. Krishnamachari's
Budget:1957. Responsible for finding the money to finance the second
Plan, TTK. raised taxes and even introduced new ones. That set the
tone for a taxation system that continued till 1985.
Indira Gandhi's one and only budget-Budget:1970-will
be remembered for laying the foundations of the socialist policies.
It was finally left to Rajiv Gandhi to undo the harm that her policies
did. His finance minister, V.P. Singh, was the first to talk about
the need for structural changes in the economy in Budget:1985. He
proposed some amount of industrial delicencing and reduced the maximum
marginal rate of personal income tax from 61.8 per cent to 50 per
cent.
The paradigm shift in India's economic management
came with Manmohan Singh's first budget in 1991-92. Direct and indirect
taxes were cut, export and fertiliser subsidies reduced and social
sector expenditure pruned. Significantly, Singh spoke of the need
for Indian industry to get ready for global competition.
The second dream budget in 1997-98 was authored
by P. Chidambaram. Kicking off tax reforms, he brought down the
peak income tax rate down to 30 per cent, the peak rate of customs,
to 40 per cent.
Yashwant Sinha's Budget: 2001 was similar to
Budget: 1991 in the canvas it tried to cover. Sinha carried forward
the task of tax rationalisation, attempted to widen the tax net,
cut subsidies and promised a slew of second generation reforms.
Unfortunately, he hasn't been able to deliver on these promises.
-Seetha
Plans that Mattered
From directing
the course of the Indian economy to merely deciding on allocations
for ministries and state governments, it's been a quite a decline
for the Planning Commission. When it was set up in 1951 (prompting
the then finance minister John Mathai to resign), the Planning Commission
was charged with the task of formulating Soviet Union-style five-year
plans for the ''most effective and balanced utilitisation of the
country's resources'' and determine how these were to be implemented.
But only two qualify as watershed plans whose effects on the economy
are being felt even today.
The Second Plan (1956-61)-also known as the
Mahalanobis Plan after its author, the eminent economist P.C. Mahalanobis-really
set the tone for the model of development India was to follow. It
spoke of ''rapid industrialisation, with particular emphasis on
the development of basic and heavy industries'' as being the core
of development. Saying absorption of labour was ''an important objective
in itself'', it also emphasised the use of labour-intensive modes
of production. That really laid the foundations of an economy that,
economist D.K. Srivastava says, ''nurtured inefficiency in the system.''
The Fifth Plan (1974-79) came against the backdrop
of runaway inflation (which soared 31.8 per cent between 1973 and
September 1974), a balance of payments problem because of the steep
rise in global oil prices and the severe drought conditions in 1972-73.
Poverty alleviation and self-reliance became its avowed objectives,
to achieve which it decided to concentrate on agriculture and energy
and on employment generation. From this sprung various employment
generation and anti-poverty programmes, which now account for nearly
10 per cent of total central government expenditure.
The beginning of the end of the Plan as an
instrument of economic management came in 1985 when V.P. Singh's
budget marked the first break with the country's socialist past.
-Seetha
INFRA-INITIATIVES
POWER: The GoI invites private participation
in generation in 1991. In 1998, it announces the Mega Power Policy,
aimed at promoting select projects; creates Power Trading Corporation,
and opens up transmission. In 1998, it also creates the central
electricity regulatory commission. The GoI has now tabled the Electricity
Bill, 2001, in Parliament delicensing power generation, allowing
access in transmission, and trading.
ROADS: In 1994, the GoI invites the
private sector into the roads sector and amends the National Highways
Authority of India Act to provide for the collection of tolls (hitherto
not allowed). Status today: model concession agreements for BOT
projects have been finalised, a Re 1 cess on diesel and petrol has
been levied, proceeds of which will go straight into a dedicated
Central Road Fund.
PORTS: The private sector is allowed
into the ports sector on a build-operate-transfer basis in 1996,
and in a significant move, P&O leases two berths at the Jawaharlal
Nehru Port Trust. In 2000, the government also clears amendments
to the Indian Port Trust Act to allow corporatisation of the 12
major ports, paving the way for the improvement and modernisation
of the country's shipping infrastructure.
TELECOM: In 1992, the government allows
private participation in e-mail, voice mail, and cellular services.
In 1994, the New Telecom Policy allows private participation in
basic services. The New Telecom Policy, 1999, allows cellular operators
move to a revenue-sharing regime. In 2000, the government announces
unrestricted entry into basic and domestic long distance telephony.
THE
RUPEE'S PROGRESS
|
The rupee has not been too volatilite
over the years. But that doesn't mean it hasn't depreciated
to the dollar. It has fallen from Rs 4.76 in 1950-51 to Rs
47.84 on December 7, 2001-a plunge in excess of 1,000 per
cent. Now, see this in the light of the fact that the past
50 years have seen a mere two 'devaluations' (in June 1966
and July 1991) and it is evident that the rupee has continually
adjusted its value. In 1991, the RBI partially freed the rupee
through the Liberalised exchange rate mechanism (LERMs) in
1991. Subsequently in 1993, the central bank scrapped LERMs
and made the rupee 'free' on the trade account. And in 1993,
the RBI made the rupee fully convertible on the current account
to boost foreign capital inflows.
-Roshni Jayakar
|
India & foreign investment
Before 1991, foreign
direct investment (FDI) in companies was allowed only up to 40 per
cent, with the finance ministry giving approval on a case-to-case
basis. Portfolio investments were a strict no-no. The Industrial
Policy, 1991, permitted FDI up to 51 per cent in high-priority industries.
But FDI applications had to go through a three-tier approval process-the
Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) set up in 1993, and located
in the Prime Minister's Office, an empowered committee headed by
the finance minister and the cabinet committee on economic affairs
(CCEA). In order to speed up the approval process, the FIPB was
shifted to the industry ministry in 1996, the empowered committee
was scrapped and only proposals for projects above Rs 600 crore
were required to get the CCEA's approval. The FDI regime has been
progressively liberalised since then, with investment allowed in
all but five sectors, FIPB permission required only in 16 sectors
and investment ceilings being raised little by little. Clearances
under FIPB are also faster, from between three and four months two
years back to around 30 days now. However, red tape and infrastructure
bottlenecks have resulted in the FDI realisation rate (inflows as
against approvals) hovering around a mere 40 per cent.
Portfolio investments were first allowed in
September 1992. During 2001, net inflows tot up close to $2.8 billion,
could well end up coming close to twice the figure in the boom years
of 1999 and 2000, and might just break the 1996 record of $3.05
billion.
-Seetha
|