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Jagdish Khattar, CEO, MUL: 115
reasons to worry |
How
much is too much for a piece of India's biggest car-maker? For some
in Investor India, it is Rs 115-which, not incidentally, is the
floor price of Maruti Udyog's maiden float (face value: Rs 5). Here's
why: At the offer price, Maruti's price-to-earnings multiple works
out to a staggering 22.7 for 2003, according to a report by CLSA
Emerging Market. Compare that to the PE of international car-makers:
Hyundai Motor's and Kia Motors' is 5.1, and Malaysia's Proton's,
3.8.
Besides, as Arun Kejriwal, a Mumbai-based investment
advisor points out, the IPO, whose purchase deadline is June 19,
entails a lock in of around 20 days, since the stock doesn't list
until the first week of July. According to Kejriwal, the cost of
opportunity, given the current uptrend on Dalal Street, may be too
high to justify such a lock in. Others like Abhay Aima, Country
Head (Private Banking), HDFC Bank, feel Maruti's future earnings
may be impacted by the growing competition in domestic and international
markets. "I am not bullish on the Maruti IPO," says Aima.
The only parties not complaining, it would appear, are the two partners
(Suzuki Motors and the government of India) and institutional investors,
who can buy as much as 60 per cent of what's on offer - a quarter
is available to retail investors, and the rest to non-institutional
investors.
Suzuki is not complaining because it paid Rs
160 apiece (for a Rs 5 share), or Rs 1,000 crore, as a premium to
gain control of the company. Ergo, the Rs 115 that it is asking
for now, is much less than what it paid. The government of India
is smug because the issue has been underwritten by the Japanese
parent at Rs 115 a share. Last year was a good year for Maruti.
CEO Jagdish Khattar's cost cutting efforts helped it turn in a tidy
profit of Rs 146.4 crore. Is that enough?
-Swati Prasad
CONCOCTION
Stimulating Stuff
The importance of Wipro's C-biz
Coffeehouses and reading have always
mixed well. No surprises then that Delhi's top afternoon newspaper
Today and coffee-chain Barista are stirring things up with a new
four-page newspaper, Brew Print, offered at the chain's 49 stores
in and around Delhi. "It adds to the Barista experience of re-charge
and unwind," says Barista's head of marketing Basav Mukherjee of
the weekly newspaper, which comes wrapped with Today and features
interactive elements that let readers complete a story, pen a poem,
even pick up guitar-playing tips. The newspaper is free to Barista
customers, and will eventually be available across its 130-odd outlets.
Says Kallie Purie, Today's publisher: "For us it is a perfect brand
fit in terms of customer profile." Your favourite cuppa just got
a lot more interesting.
-Shailesh Dobhal
SELF WORTH
Banker Without A Bank
Ramesh Gelli doesn't have a bank he can call
his own today.
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Ramesh Gelli: The consummate
banker at rest |
At
56, Ramesh Gelli, looks pretty much like he did in his glory-days
in the mid-1990s, maybe a few pounds lighter. In 1994, when the
gold-medallist from the Asian Institute of Management, Manila founded
Global Trust Bank, it seemed the logical next-step for someone counted
among the best bankers in the country-Gelli had been chairman of
Vysya Bank, the best private bank in India in the early 1990s. Great
things were expected of the man and the new bank and until the turn
of the century it looked like nothing could go wrong; then, everything
that could, did. In 2001, as another stockmarket scam surfaced,
the bank's exposure to the markets came under scrutiny; an attempted
merger with UTI Bank that would have created the country's largest
private bank failed amidst controversy surrounding an alleged price-rigging
of GTB shares, in collusion with broker Ketan Parekh, the main accused
in the scam; and Gelli's own integrity was questioned over the alleged
sale of some the shares.
Like any self-respecting individual would have
done, Gelli resigned as the bank's chairman and managing director
in April, 2001 and quit the board two months later, but the taint
refuses to go away. A Securities and Exchange Board of India investigation
remains work-in-progress and just recently, the agency barred Gelli
and his co-promoters from any market transactions in GTB shares.
And the bank itself has lost much of its sheen: from a peak of Rs
120 in November 2000, its scrip now inhabits the more rational Rs
20 level. Total income for the nine months ended December 31, 2002
fell to Rs 592 crore from Rs 740 crore in the corresponding period
in 2001; the Capital Adequacy Ratio (a measure of a bank's health),
from 14.68 per cent to 10.54 per cent in the same period. And in
September 2002, the central banker stepped in and asked GTB to halve
its dividend from 10 per cent. No reasons were given, but the move
may have been prompted by the bank's use of some Rs 250 crore of
reserves to write off non-performing assets. Today, the bank has
estimated NPAs of over Rs 1,000 crore and a clean up is underway.
"Every new person at the top (there have been two heads and
one interim committee since he quit) wants to begin with a clean
up; it's the normal tendency," rationalises the professorial-looking
Gelli who believes "GTB still commands a lot of respect ".
Gelli considers himself retired now-still,
his mobile phone rang incessantly during this writer's meeting with
him-and moves about, not in the blue Mercedes sedan he used in his
GTB days, but in a modest Opel Astra. Although reluctant to discuss
the past, he denies that the promoters sold 1.31 crore shares to
entities owned or controlled by Ketan Parekh, and defends the bank's
capital-markets-funding business. "Why all this happened is
a good question to ask, and seems logical when the going is bad,"
he philosophises. "At times, similar attributes and actions
are judged as smart behaviour if you are successful." Gelli
has had time to refine his philosophy: on a typical day he is up
at six, takes a long walk, does some yoga exercises, feeds the birds,
prays for anything between 20 minutes and 45 minutes, reads (he
has just finished Welch's Straight From the Gut), and meets with
some old friends. He isn't interested in heading a bank anymore
and says "I am leading a retired life and trying to help friends
in need," but Gelli does plan to return to the mainstream with
a "turnaround fund" for companies that have good projects,
but suffer from lack of money. Gelli Redux?
-E. Kumar Sharma
DASH BOARD
A+
He won't say, but our guess is one reason for Bharti Chairman Sunil
Mittal to eye a listing in the US is the poor performance of the
Bharti Televentures scrip in India. Telecom may be a long-term play
and Bharti's fundamentals, strong, but try telling that to people
worried about earnings per share. As a purely "I'll show them"
gesture this merits an A+
B-
This should have actually been a C, but his superior sense of balance
fetches Union Labour Minister Sahib Singh Verma a higher grade.
Face it, how many people can answer calls to reduce Employee Provident
Fund rates, by doing so, yet not doing so? Go ahead, work that out
for yourself.
The
Beauty Parade
Quality is an underground industry in India.
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Another beauty pageant: Quality
certifications are as easy |
Psssst, want an ISO certificate?
It's easy to get one certifying that your company complies with
the standards laid down in ISO 9000 or ISO 14001 without lifting
a finger to change any of its processes, even creating reams of
false documentation. How? Simply pay Rs 5,000 to Rs 25,000 to any
of the 30-odd certifying bodies. None of these is accredited with
global certifiers such as DNV or with the Quality Council of India
(QCI), but that shouldn't matter to you. "If you wish to, you
too can start an ISO 9000/14001 certifying agency, start issuing
certificates, and earn anything between Rs 10,000 and Rs 50,000
depending on your negotiating skills," says Captain N.S. Singhal,
a "real' auditor of quality and environmental management who
has, by his own admission, now embarked on a "save ISO mission".
As former Commerce Minister Rajiv Pratap Rudy recently stated in
parliament, "activities of Indian and foreign certifying agencies
aren't being monitored because ISO certification is voluntary, not
mandatory". And so, some unscrupulous certifying agencies continue
to vend paper and even some of the regular ones "forget"
to carry out annual re-audits. Worse, with the government reimbursing
small-scale units with ISO certifications Rs 75,000 or 75 per cent
of total expenses incurred while obtaining the certificate, some
Rs 23 crore has been burnt. If this continues, warns Singhal India-issued
ISO certificates will soon be discounted in the international market.
Much like Venezuelan beauty queens.
-Ashish Gupta
FACELIFT
MJ's Nose?
It isn't really
in the same league, but Hindustan Motors has embarked on an exercise
to change its identity. Fortunately, this effort doesn't take the
route of merely giving the 50-year old Ambassador yet another facelift.
Instead, HM got Bangalore-based design firm Ray+Keshavan to create
a new logo for it-not that its existing one was dated; it was introduced
as recently as 1994. Accompanying the image overhaul are free service
checks and a programme that is targeted at informing existing Ambassador
owners about the changes the car has undergone. For the record,
the car is now available with power steering, moulded roof, a new
gear-box, and in attractive colours. The logo will be unveiled in
July-as a sideshow, the company will launch a new edition of the
Ambassador to mark the occasion. "We thought the HM logo was
slightly dated. The new logo is more contemporary and we feel customers
will like it," says a company spokesperson. Now, if only logos
could sell cars.
-Swati Prasad
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