There is a time in the affairs of men,
Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune;
Omitted, all the voyage of their life
Is bound in shallows and in miseries.
William Shakespeare in Julius Caesar
Statisticians
call it an inflection point; others call it a cusp. The precise
nomenclature is irrelevant. What's important is that future economists
will probably identify 2005 as the year when India's economic
jigsaw puzzle finally started taking coherent shape. Pundits of
every hue are near unanimous that the country is-and will remain-on
a high growth trajectory over the foreseeable future. And it is
this upturn in the growth curve that promises to pull India's
260 million below-the-poverty-line citizens out of their misery.
The task ahead is daunting: we will have to clock a 10 per cent
GDP (gross domestic product) growth rate every year for a decade
and more to achieve the target. But the country has made a good
beginning. The numbers say it all: GDP has grown 8.1 per cent
in the first half of the current fiscal. The Reserve Bank of India
projects the full year growth rate at 7-7.5 per cent. Finance
Minister P. Chidambaram is more bullish-he expects the figure
to cross the 8 per cent mark. Water, energy, education, infrastructure
and employment generation, among others, are feeding this growth
even while remaining critically dependent on it. But some chapters
in the growth story are causing concern. It is now almost certain
that agriculture will not grow at the projected rate of 4 per
cent. This is just one of the many imponderables that makes the
journey so fraught with tension.
We've identified five themes for the overall
growth story-and 25 challenges within them-that need to be addressed,
pronto. We must find answers to the questions involved. They cover
a broad spectrum of issues-from the economic to the aspirational-and
include challenges relating to delivery, to our quality of life
and, indeed, to the very basic issues of development themselves.
As Arun Maira, Chairman of Boston Consulting
Group, says in his article on What Will It Take To Create A Market
Out Of India's Poor?, creation of incomes is essential for the
creation of markets. Taking this analogy further, the creation
of markets is sine qua non for a vibrant economy. But our policy
planners often seem to lose sight of this tautology. But we were
pleasantly surprised to learn in the course of our research into
the subject that lots of companies in India are targeting the
bottom of the country's pyramid, and many of them, in fact, are
being generously rewarded for their labours. An untapped market
of 600 million consumers-albeit small and even marginal ones-is
too big to be sneezed at.
Similarly, Anand Mahindra, Vice Chairman
and Managing Director of Mahindra & Mahindra, makes out a
compelling case for more FDI: since India's savings rate will
not support the rate of investment needed to grow at 8 per cent,
the deficit has to be made good with foreign investment.
All our contributors bring their own unique
understanding of the Indian economy into play. Kumar Mangalam
Birla, Chairman of the Aditya Birla Group, breaks down India's
journey to economic superpower status into five discrete components
and proceeds to take the issue forward from there.
But away from the boardrooms and the thrust
and parry of the corporate world, there's another universe whose
needs are just as important. Our children need education to prepare
them for the road ahead, our ailing need easier and better access
to healthcare, our farmers, who still make up two-thirds of our
population, need to find a voice, and our citizens deserve a far
better quality of life than is currently available.
From eradicating poverty, fighting corruption,
overcoming aids, and bridging the digital divide to winning a
Nobel Prize and an individual Olympic gold medal... we've addressed
them all. Our stellar team of 25 guest contributors has laid out
the roadmap. We've already attained critical mass to move into
the next orbit. We must break the shackles that are still holding
us back.
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