|
Emaar-MGF's Gupta: The joint
venture has placed the biggest realty bet in the form of the
largest FDI in the country |
Globally,
capital for real estate has never been as plentiful as it has
been in the last year or so. Real estate firms are raising record
amounts from institutional investors such as pension funds that
are seeking higher returns than stocks and bonds. And the party
is likely to continue. According to a study by PricewaterhouseCoopers,
the fund flow is likely to strengthen in 2007.
But it is not just an India-specific phenomenon.
Funds have been flowing into the Asia-Pacific region in the property
sector by the planeloads. Some of the factors dictating these
fund flows are purely global dynamics-the high realty prices in
the US and Europe and correspondingly lower yields. Moreover,
as all asset class prices have risen, international property funds
over the last few years have found it useful to increase the real
estate weightage in their portfolios.
In India specifically, the investment market
received quite a fillip in early 2005 when the rules for foreign
investment in Indian real estate were partly relaxed. There are
significant clamps though that make speculation on land difficult.
Foreign funds cannot invest directly in land and neither can they
invest in existing properties. But market fundamentals make Indian
real estate hot property for many cross-border investors and developers
(see It's Raining Funds).
Though the number of actual deals may be
fewer, the results have been immediately apparent. Foreign direct
investment in the sector increased from 2.7 per cent of the total
FDI flowing into the country in 2003-04 to 16 per cent in 2005-06.
It is expected to rise to a quarter of the total flows in current
year, according to assocham. "There is a lot of money waiting
to be invested in the Indian market. Last when I spoke to overseas
investors, this amount was pegged at $15 billion," says Ravi
Ramu, Director, Puravankara Projects.
These fund flows come at an opportune time
for the Indian developers. Rising interest rates coupled with
RBI restrictions on funding land acquisition are creating a huge
demand for raising funds through equity route (see Turning Dust
to Gold on page 168). This is likely to continue. As India's economic
growth sustains at over 8 per cent, the growth plans of the Indian
developers are also becoming bigger. "Banks are insisting
on lower debt-equity ratio while funding projects, and that will
also create need for raising capital through the equity route,"
says Harsh Neotia, Managing Director, Ambuja Realty.
|
Retail boom: And Tesco,
Wal-Mart and Carrefour are not yet here |
In line with the Asia Pacific trends, most
of the funds aimed at Indian real estate are coming from both
multinational developers and financial institutions or venture
capitalists. Pure play financial investors (largely us and European)
are investing as strategic investors in projects or companies
via private equity or real estate funds. Consider Morgan Stanley,
which invested $68 million in Bangalore-based Mantri Developers
and another $65 million in Delhi-based Alpha G:Corp Development.
Multinational developers (largely from South East and Central
Asia), on the other hand, are finding it convenient to invest
through joint ventures or joint development agreements with Indian
developers. For instance, there is Singapore Realty, a JV between
Singapore-based Lee Kim Tah Enterprises and an Indian partner,
BP Ventures. Occasionally there are investors such as Vancouver-based
Royal Raj International Corp., which is said to be mulling a massive
township in Bangalore at a cost of $8.9 billion, as a wholly-owned
subsidiary.
Giving the foreign funds stiff competition
are local players. "They can offer heavyweight competition
to foreign funds in any number of ways: their experience in getting
deals done in cultures that are quite alien to the newly-arrived
westerners, their ability to assess and defray risk in their own
markets, their political and commercial connections..." says
the PwC report. For these reasons, perhaps, foreign investors
are much more comfortable sharing risks with Indian partners,
according to E&Y's Ganesh Raj. Availability of land, viable
pricing, and clarity of land title are some of the key constraints
for foreign funds. And these are areas where local funds have
an edge. "Partner selection is very important in an emerging
market like India, since we like to do projects in multiple locations
with the same developer," says Rak Chugh of Trikona Capital
However, this abundance of riches has made
deals difficult, especially in prime locations. "Quite often
there may be a valuation mismatch, with the present valuations
not matching the kind of returns that foreign funds are seeking,"
says Vivek Mehra, Executive Director, PwC. Although, as ICICI
Ventures' Kishore Gotety assures, "The deals that we are
able to pursue, we are able to close despite competition. In another
two-three years, the market will become more sensible."
Given the attractiveness of the sector, both
foreign and domestic investors are looking at project internal
rate of returns (IRRs) between 20 and 30 per cent. Are they being
ambitious? "Not at all," assures Kurt Roeloffs, Head,
RREEF Asia Pacific-the real estate arm of Deutsche Bank. "Escalating
land prices do mean that future speculation is more risky. We
hope some of the hot money will recognise that and step away from
the market. Nevertheless, we think the current prices permit acceptable
return on equity for those participants who have good execution
skills." Shishir Baijal of Kshitij Investment Advisory Co.,
which is targeting 30 per cent-plus IRRs, also believes that the
returns "look quite achievable at this point".
While money is surely a reason why Indian
builders are shaking hands with foreign investors, it is not the
only thing. As PwC's Mehra points out, the foreign funds also
bring development experience to the table. That may well be one
of the most critical assets in the next few years as India gets
built up.
|