What
is the ultimate act, and proof, of leadership? When the CEO or
Chairman brings his (or her) organisation to a point where it
no longer misses him. Weak and visionless leaders have no trouble
doing this, but when the helmsman is powerful, respected, and
an organisation builder, doing so becomes extremely difficult,
if not impossible. That, then, is the sort of challenge some of
India's best-known corporate leaders face. People like K.V. Kamath,
Deepak Parekh, and Ratan Tata are men who've transformed their
corporations; what they have today in terms of businesses is very
different from what they inherited years ago. As these men, and
other corporate leaders like them, approach an age where they
need to pass on the baton to the next generation, they are confronted
with issues more complex than what their own predecessors had
to face while making a similar decision.
The reasons are not hard to seek. The business
environment in which the new generation of leaders must operate
is very different from the one that has existed so far. To put
it simply, globalisation is the new corporate mantra, and the
new leaders must suddenly figure out how to manage organisations
that span different countries, cultures, and regulatory frameworks.
Not an easy job. So, what sort of leadership qualities or characteristics
should the GenNext leaders have? Three or four broad characteristics:
One, performance-orientation. The successor must have a consistent
track record of delivering on his goals and targets. Two, learnability.
The CEO of tomorrow must be able to learn and acquire new skills
on the fly, since there may not be a second chance in the new
business environment. Three, global-mindedness. While the CEO
of India's new MNCs may be based in India, he will, for all effective
purposes, need to think and act like a global citizen.
Suprisingly, or perhaps not, these characteristics
aren't very different from what has always been required of leaders,
except for the fourth one: team builder. More than ever, the new
CEO will need to build leaders across organisational levels. As
corporations become larger, and more diverse and complex, it will
not be possible for one man to spot all the opportunities or make
all the decisions. In the nano-second 21st century, decisions
will need to be made locally and minute-by-minute. Creating this
tier-two leadership, then, will be the biggest challenge for the
GenNext leader, since traditionally companies haven't focussed
on developing empowered middle-level managers. Therefore, the
CEO aspirant of today must be a person who can build competent
and energetic teams around himself. It is this last act that will
determine his legacy within the corporation.
Dearer Oil Riddle
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Higher oil bill: It's the
system that hurts |
Finance
minister P. Chidambaram's recent lament at the World Economic
forum (WEF) that the prevailing high oil price has shaved off
the country's economic growth (GDP) by as much as 1 per cent is
understandable. Since we import nearly 70 per cent of our needs,
there is evidently transfer of income to not only oil producing
countries but also traders who fuel speculation. Agreed, speculation
definitely needs to be curbed, although it is intrinsic to market
play. That said, a good part of this problem of a higher oil bill
has been created by the very class of people Chidambaram belongs
to-politicians. Here's why.
While increased economic activity has spurred
global prices, the lack of efficiency in oil use has blunted growth.
The latter is entirely due to the price controls set out by the
government as a measure of populism on mass consumption petroleum
products-petrol, diesel, kerosene and LPG-that accounts for as
much as 60 per cent of total oil consumption by the country.
With price controls insulating retail prices
from market signals, growth in consumption remains unfettered.
Not surprisingly, we consume two-and-a-half times as much oil
per unit of GDP as developed countries. Interestingly, while the
country is recording over 25 per cent growth in motor vehicle
population, the growth in diesel, which accounts for around 30
per cent of oil consumed in the country, still remains in single
digits. In fact, last fiscal, growth in diesel demand was a minuscule
1.6 per cent, while growth during April-October period this year
is at an 'improved' 6.3 per cent. Clearly, this points to a lack
of data integrity in the government machinery to assess growth
in demand. Importantly, this also points to loss of precious revenue
to the exchequer-currently, a quarter of the government's revenues
is from the oil sector.
While demand side measures require to be
implemented at a political as well as administrative level, fact
remains that the best way to insulate the economy from oil shocks
is to find oil in the country itself. Recent oil finds by Cairn
Energy have boosted the oil prospectivity in the country-especially
since they found oil in a block abandoned by oil major Shell.
However, the government needs to monetise this momentum. The objective
is a simple one-government's rent from oil leases should be in
line with the risk of finding oil. Evidently, blaming global prices
is akin to blaming the weather!
India Everywhere, But...
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India Economic Summit: Flavour
of the season |
One
of the reasons why Chinese president Hu Jintao visited India recently,
the media was told, was all the press the country has been getting
over the recent past. Hu wanted to see for himself what the fuzz
was all about. Earlier, the Boston Consulting Group held its first
partner meeting outside of the US in Delhi also for the same reason.
And Hu's visit was followed by the three-day India Economic Summit,
which brought together more than 600 business, political and civil
society leaders. At the World Economic Forum in Davos early this
year, India began with an "India Everywhere" theme and
as we near the end of the year, there's no sign that global investors
are beginning to tire of the country.
Just look at both the foreign institutional
and direct investment numbers. Commerce minister Kamal Nath is
talking of $12 billion (Rs 54,000 crore) in foreign direct investment
in 2006-07, compared to $7.7 billion (Rs 35,420 crore) the previous
year. The stock markets continue to be buoyant thanks to foreign
investors. According to the Reserve Bank of India, October witnessed
the highest FII inflows so far this fiscal at $1.55 billion (Rs
6,975 crore). In the second quarter, the net FII investment was
$2.7 billion (Rs 12,150 crore). By now, we know all the reasons
why India excites foreign investors: A growing domestic market,
where the consumers, apparently, are in need of everything-from
cars to houses to footwear to mobile phones. Also, a lot of FDI
is coming in for outsourced manufacturing. Capital goods, automobiles
and auto components, and electronic and electrical hardware are
all industries where this is evident.
There's a simple problem with such hype,
though: Delivery. Investors are putting money on the table because
they expect corporate earnings to continue soaring. The ones setting
up factories are doing so because they expect India's competitive
advantage in terms of labour to hold up for at least the next
decade or so. Worryingly enough, the country doesn't seem to be
doing enough about solving some fundamental problems. The infrastructure
story is moving along-if not stuck altogether-at a vastly slower
pace than what industry needs; human development continues to
be hobbled by inadequate resources and poor delivery systems.
As a result, labour costs are already rising. How long before
all these problems pull the curtain down on the India story? Maybe
not the next year or even the one after that. But if things don't
improve fast enough, the inevitable may not take long to happen.
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