It's
a paradox that's good enough to bamboozle the most earnest of
market watchers: The Chinese economy is three times India's, the
export market's eight times larger, and foreign direct investment
is nearly 12 times what India attracts. Yet, India attracts a
little over two and a half times what China does in portfolio
investments in its stockmarkets. Over the past three years (till
November), the world's fastest growing economy has pulled in $10
billion (Rs 45,000 crore) from foreign institutional investors
(FIIs). The corresponding figure for India is close to $26 billion
(Rs 1,17,000 crore). As on September 2006, the average turnover
recorded on the Chinese stock exchange stood at 314.2 yuan (Rs
1,781.5 crore), which is not even one-fifth of the total average
recorded by the Indian bourses (the combined average turnover
of NSE and BSE stood at Rs 10,283.4 crore).
"Government restrictions is the reason
for low inflows," says Jing Ulrich, Chairman (China Equities),
JP Morgan, who however expects a relaxation in investment norms
soon. For instance, 40 of the 48 qualified FIIs (or QFIIs) in
China have a combined investment quota of $8.05 billion (Rs 36,225
crore). As per industry sources, the largest FII operating in
India, HSBC, is estimated to have an exposure of $7.5 billion
(Rs 33,750 crore) to Indian equities. This is followed by JP Morgan
($6.5 billion or Rs 29,250 crore) and Fidelity ($5.5 billion or
Rs 24,750 crore). Interestingly JP Morgan, which manages $6.5
billion in India, has investments of just around $150 million
(Rs 675 crore) in China, so far.
That the Chinese markets are illiquid and
highly-regulated would have contributed to subdued interest. Chinese
markets are also considered a high-risk proposition, with rumour
ruling the roost. Also, two-thirds of the 1,400-odd listed stocks
are government-owned and illiquid. Yet, Chinese equities haven't
done too badly for themselves, clocking a 64 per cent run-up so
far in 2006 (the Sensex till November 10 had gained 42 per cent).
Valuations too look more reasonable in China (see A Tale of Two
Markets). If the government does further liberalise its stockmarkets,
FIIs may well place larger bets more closely at Chinese equities.
As of today, though, the foreign investing tribe clearly prefers
India.
-Mahesh Nayak
Single,
and Paid to Mingle
Can dating allowances be hazardous to existing
liaisons?
It
services major Wipro Technologies is used to making the headlines,
but last fortnight was one time it wished it hadn't. That's when
reports began flying thick and fast that an employee's wife was
threatening legal action against Chairman Azim Premji, and a Wipro
Vice President. Reason? The good wife was reportedly upset that
her husband had left her, seduced in no small measure by the company's
'dating allowance.'
When Business Today contacted Wipro's head
office in Bangalore, an official spokesperson denied the fact
that Wipro ever had a dating allowance. "Never in the history
of the company have we had such an allowance, so there is no question
of us reacting to the allegations. Besides, we have not received
any communication from the courts," the spokesperson said.
Wipro may not have such an allowance, but
it isn't uncommon in the Indian IT sector. One it company that
does have a dating allowance since 1991 is NIIT Technologies,
the aim being to participate in the lives of its employees and
also encourage marriages within the company.
"The average age of a person here is
26-27 and we understand what is important in their lives, so this
is a gesture in that direction," says Vijay Thadani, CEO,
NIIT Technologies, adding that the dating allowance for married
employees is meant to be "spent on the spouse." That
part may need to be highlighted henceforth.
-Shivani Lath
High
Hopes on Hybrid
To increase rice output, India needs more
hybrid cultivation.
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Taking stock of Indian agriculture: The
future is hybrid
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From
just 10,000 hectares in 1995, hybrid rice is today cultivated
over a million hectares (hybrids are produced by crossing two
varieties of a crop). The quantity of seeds produced has risen
to 20,000 tonnes from just 4,000 tonnes in 2003. And some 30 companies,
90 per cent of them in the private sector, are registering robust
growth-along with a market that's expected to become as large
as 50,000 tonnes (expected requirement for hybrid seeds) by 2010.
If that appears big, consider China, which has 15 million hectares
under hybrid rice-which makes up nearly half of its total area
under cultivation.
The China perspective is encouraging from
the point of the potential that exists for Indian producers of
hybrid rice. One of the main drivers for future growth is sheer
demand for rice itself. "Hybrid rice is an option that could
come handy at a time when (in keeping with the population growth
trends) India will have to increase rice production by at least
2 million tonnes (mt) per year if it has to get to 106 mt by 2011-12
(current production is 88 mt over 42 million hectares),"
says B.C. Viraktamath, Project Director at the Directorate of
Rice Research, located in Hyderabad. That's where the China example
comes handy, as the hybrid route played a big role in helping
that country achieve food security. But then, China began in 1964;
India began hybrid rice cultivation only in end-1989.
Yet, India is only the second country in
the world to develop and commercialise hybrid rice (after China).
Since then, a clutch of companies, including Bayer Crop Science
group company Proagro Seed, Maharashtra Hybrid Seed Co (Mahyco),
DuPont subsidiary Pioneer Hi-Bred, United Phosphorus (through
Advanta India), DCM Shriram's Shriram Bioseed Genetics India,
and JK Agri-Genetics, has been doing its bit to increase the share
of hybrid cultivation in overall rice output. But it is all not
quite rosy. One of the problems facing the spread of hybrid rice
market is its lower acceptability in some regions of south India,
due to issues like stickiness and aroma. (To deal with this, Proagro,
for instance, is working on new varieties to suit local taste.
Its latest version '6129 hybrid' is believed to be closest to
the popular 'Sona Masuri'.) Then, the yield advantage in some
hybrids is marginal and believed to be inconsistent across regions.
The high cost of seeds (and fresh purchases each season) is yet
another dampener. But, as M. Ilyas Ahmed, Principal Scientist
at the Directorate of Rice Research, points out, China has delivered
on the hybrid rice front and, if India has to deliver on the targets
set for rice output, hybrid rice is an option that cannot be ignored.
-E. Kumar Sharma
Walking
into a Buyout
PE funds roping in industry pros for management
bandwidth.
In
the west, a private equity (PE) fund and a buyout fund are easily
interchangeable. With good reason. Close to 62 per cent of the
funds raised in 2005 in the US were for buyouts (venture funds
were the second largest category at 17 per cent). In Europe, 80
per cent of the funds are dedicated to buyouts. Indeed, the big
global PE funds like Kolberg Kravis Roberts & Co. (KKR), Blackstone,
Newbridge and Carlyle are now all in India, but buyouts haven't
quite followed. Most transactions are for minority stakes in companies,
for cash that goes into growing the business, without tinkering
with management control. Such expansion capital deals account
for over 90 per cent of all PE transactions in India.
Yet, there seem to be signs of the emergence
of a nascent buyout market in India. A slew of small to medium
sized buyout deals have been announced recently. The home grown
ICICI Ventures, UK-based Actis and Malaysian fund Navis Capital
together have closed a total of 10 small to medium sized deals
amounting to over Rs 1,000 crore over the last couple of years.
GAP and OakHill's buyout of GE's BPO Genpact in 2004 and KKR's
buyout of Flextronics in 2006 have been the only two big ticket
buyouts (see A Beginning for Buyouts).
What is driving this gradual but sure shift?
One key reason, say fund managers, is companies today are looking
to exit businesses they don't consider core any more. "All
the buyouts we have done are great businesses but ones that do
not fit in with the company's future strategy," says Renuka
Ramnath, MD and CEO of ICICI Venture Funds Management Company,
which has closed four buyout deals so far-Tata Infomedia, acc
Refractories, Ranbaxy Fine Chemicals and VA Tech WABAG India for
a total of Rs 500 crore.
As a logical evolution in the market, PE
funds are now looking out for managers from industry who can help
in creating buyout opportunities and attract the right team. While
some funds hire professionals, others work with an advisory panel
of industry experts to leverage their network. Sanjeev Sharma,
former MD of Nokia India, for instance, was roped in by Actis
to head Phoenix Lamps, which the fund acquired earlier this year.
"We identify people in sectors we want to do management buy-ins
and then go about looking for deals. This ensures that the person
who will head the company has a thorough knowledge of the business
before he gets into the hot seat," says Actis Partner J.M.
Trivedi, who also has in the fund's network former Diageo India
head Deepak Roy to help in the foods and beverages space.
Just as Sharma's presence enabled Actis to
walk into Phoenix Lamps with management expertise in tow, other
PE funds too are hiring industry professionals. Former Wipro Technologies
CEO Vivek Paul is now with the Texas Pacific Group; Mohit Bhatnagar
moved from Bharti Airtel into Sequoia Capital India; and Akshaya
Bhargava moved from Infosys' BPO Progeon to 3i as did Euro RSCG's
head honcho Ishan Raina. "As entrepreneur in residence I
will, along with 3i, identify projects in the media space and
make investments to the tune of $20-40 million (Rs 90-180 crore),"
Raina told Business Today after he moved to 3i.
Such career shifts appear to be win-win situations
for all. While the professional gets an opportunity to become
entrepreneur, it is a shot in the arm for a fund looking to do
buyouts. "For us, nothing is more valuable than experienced
human capital. They help create value," says Ramnath, adding
that, "In three of the buyouts, barring Infomedia, we have
retained the original management. We look at diversification,
growth opportunities, and bringing in other partners, rather than
getting into operational duties." For the moment, though,
as the likes of Blackstone, Carlyle Buyout Fund and Newbridge
will testify, finding industry professionals could well prove
a bit easier than finding large-size buyout deals. They can take
heart from Korea's experience, which transformed from being a
development capital market in 1998 into a buyouts market by 2005.
Of course, the South East Asian crisis was the main reason for
the transformation. The buyout funds in India must be hoping for
something less dramatic as a catalyst for change.
-Shivani Lath
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