|
"(Generally) car companies are buying
marketshare by sacrificing profits."
Jagdish Khattar, MD, Maruti
Udyog |
In an industry where segments are continuously
evolving, a carmaker has to fill in the blanks. And nobody-not even
the 11-model company, Maruti Udyog-has played the game better than
Hyundai. It came in with a B-class car, entered the C-segment with
Accent and then moved on to the D-segment with Sonata. With all
these cars, it pulled customers from below and above the segments.
Now, having built a nationwide dealership of 110 and 250 service
points, it's filling in the blanks once again.
Getz will sport two engine sizes (the new Santro's
1.1-litre Epsilon engine and 1.5 litre of Accent) and fill the gap
between the 1.1-litre Santro and Accent, and emerge as an answer
to Fiat Palio, which competes in the B-plus segment. It is expected
to be launched in June 2003. Ahead of that in July this year, Hyundai
will launch a five-door Accent, which-the company claims-will create
a new category in the car market known as a semi-notchback. Terracan-a
2.5-litre, four-wheel drive-will follow in September and target
consumers who already own a luxury car, but also want an SUV to
upgrade their lifestyle.
Simultaneously, the company is carrying out
feasibility studies for two C-class cars-Elantra and Matrix-to take
the slot between Accent and Sonata. Grandeur XG, a super-luxury
car, will take on Mercedes-Benz, the only player with offerings
above Rs 18 lakh.
While the option of importing completely built-up
units (CBUs) exists, Hyundai is unlikely to take that route, since
long-term competitiveness will stem only from indigenisation. Already,
the capacity at the Chennai facility is being increased from 1.2
lakh to 1.5 lakh cars a year at a cost of Rs 300 crore. A big chunk
of the investment is going into increasing the assembly line capacity,
although balancing the capacity of other 'shops' (like paint and
press) will be equally important.
|
"Profits don't come easy. (You) have
to work towards that through value engineering and constant
cost reductions.."
K.K. Swamy, Deputy MD, Toyota
Kirloskar Motors |
So, by 2005 just how will Hyundai stack up against
competition? In terms of sheer number of cars in the portfolio,
it will rank only behind Maruti Udyog, which plans to launch one
model each year. But in a market that's growing at just 0.5 per
cent overall (passenger car figures for 2001-02, SIAM), competition
will only get bloodier. Also, some of the MNC carmakers such as
Toyota, General Motors, and Honda-all of whom have made slow progress
so far-will step on the pedal. Toyota, which has its Corolla and
Camry lined up for launch in end 2002 and a new basic (read: small)
car in 2004, has made it known that by 2010 it wants to sell a million
cars in India-roughly a third of all cars that will be sold by then
(See "0 To 33 In 10 Years", BT, October 28, 2001). And
Toyota, alongside Maruti Udyog, may be Hyundai's biggest competitor
in the years to come.
That apart, the global automotive scene is
undergoing consolidation. General Motors already has a 20 per cent
stake each in Suzuki and Fiat, and, as BT went to press, gm's Chairman
Jack Smith was expected to finalise the Daewoo purchase in the third
week of April. A resulting consolidation in India could position
gm as the most powerful carmaker in the country. Similarly, DaimlerChrysler
owns a 10 per cent in Hyundai and 37 per cent in Mitsubishi, and
the trio is already working together on small cars that will compete
globally. Then, Tata Engineering-which makes Indica, No. 3 in the
segment in 2001-is scouting for a partner. If a Hyundai rival happens
to tie the knot, then the Korean major's ride could get a lot rougher.
The Profit Puzzle
The biggest casualty of such a scenario would,
however, be Hyundai's phenomenal profits. As such, rivals view the
company's humongous profits with part suspicion and part envy. It's
easy to see why. In 2000-01 sales rose 30 per cent over the previous
year, but net profits nearly tripled. ''All I know is that in this
business no one is making money," declares Aditya Vij, Managing
Director, General Motors India. Adds Jagdish Khattar, MD, Maruti
Udyog: ''Car companies are buying marketshare by sacrificing profits.''
Some others aren't mincing words. "If a car company breaks
even after one year of operations on a capacity of 1.2 lakh cars
and an investment of $641 million (Rs 3,076.8 crore), then it has
created history," says a rival. "This case should be taught
in the Harvard Business School," he adds sarcastically.
So, just how is Hyundai churning out super-profits
in an industry that's largely bleeding? Some parts of the answer
are obvious. Hyundai has a more integrated facility than other MNC
players, and it sells the most cars after Maruti Udyog. And unlike
its leading rival, has not had any flops in the market. People in
the know point out that the spike in profits in 2000-01 is due to
the launch of Santro's Euro 2 and Zip Drive versions and a jump
in the sale of Accent. In all the three cases Hyundai's realisations
were significantly more than the expenses incurred.
More importantly, Hyundai's parent in Korea
has its heart in the Indian market. Its 64-year-old CEO Chung Mong
Koo came personally to flag off Santro's 1.1-litre Epsilon engine
in March this year, and Vice Chairman Byung Jae Park has already
made two trips to the country in 2002. The parent has backed the
Indian subsidiary with free R&D and product upgradation help.
For example, Suzuki charged its Indian joint venture Rs 156 crore
in royalty and technical fee last year, when Maruti posted a loss
of Rs 269 crore. According to a company official, Maruti pays 3
per cent of its turnover (minus excise) to Suzuki Motors towards
royalty and technical fee. Hyundai in Korea has made no such money
at all. Even Toyota, General Motors, Honda, and Mercedes Benz pay
either royalty or technical fee or both to their parents. ''As a
rule in Japan, a company has to take a technical fee from a subsidiary,''
says K.K. Swamy, Deputy Managing Director, Toyota Kirloskar Motors.
Hyundai also runs a leaner operation. It is
not one of the best paymasters in the industry and, therefore, its
labour costs are low. At Maruti Udyog, labour made up 8-9 per cent
of the total car-making cost in January 2001, while at Hyundai it
is just 4 per cent. In fact, it's not unusual for top executives
like Subbu to fly coach.
Some others feel that a bulging bottomline
could be Hyundai's way of making its planned IPO look attractive.
Says a Mumbai-based analyst: ''2001-02 was a good year for Hyundai,
but don't forget that the company has an IPO in the offing.'' The
public offering was originally planned for in 2000, but poor stockmarket
conditions forced Hyundai to put it on the backburner. According
to Subbu, there are two windows for issue-one in September 2002,
and the other in January, 2003. Talks with merchant bankers are
to start in May. ''There is no direct play available in the stockmarket
in the car industry, therefore, a Hyundai IPO makes sense,'' says
Satish Ramanthan, Vice President (Equity), ICICI Securities.
But why list a company so profitable? One reason
could be the parent's need to unlock some value. The other important
reason is money-Hyundai wants to crank up capacity to 2 lakh cars
per annum as soon as possible and the cost of such an expansion
could be $200 million (Rs 960 crore). Even a $100 million (Rs 480
crore) debt component would entail a big interest burden. ''Besides,''
says Subbu, ''we want to be seen as an Indian company, and having
Indian shareholders will help our brand equity.''
The challenge for Hyundai, however, is to keep
its monstrous money machine humming. And that means having to put
out better cars at more competitive prices year after year. ''Unless
Hyundai innovates, it will be hard-pressed to maintain its value
proposition,'' says Amul Gogna, Executive Director of rating agency,
ICRA. Despite Hyundai's plans of making India a global hub for small
cars, one wrong model will be all needed to set back its exceptionally
smooth run. And even if all the new launches do well, Hyundai will
necessarily have to keep playing its value game.
Let's hope the company's MD-designate, Jae
Il Kim, believes as much in buffet lunches as Yang Soo Kim.
1
2 3
|