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FOR TRACTION
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» Banked
heavily on product superiority
But has widened market approach since
» Offered only
high premium products
But has acquired mid-market brands
» Was content
with low volumes
But is looking for numbers now
» Had insufficient
distribution coverage
But has spanned out since then
» Offered no
reason for upgradation
But intends to communicate better
» Failed to
gain upgrade market traction
But could start reshaping attitudes |
It
seems premature, but the bourses have already signalled their general
approval, even as Zubair Ahmed, 49, Managing Director, Gillette
India Limited (GIL), has confounded his critics. The company has
seen its stock go stratospheric, rising from Rs 264 in mid-January
to Rs 417 in mid-April, and quoting now at a three-digit price-earnings
(PE) ratio. In the best Occam tradition of minimising assumptions
to the strictly essential, stock analysts seem to have gone bullish
on a simple factoid: infusion of funds from the US. GIL recently
got $20 million (Rs 96 crore).
By any stretch, the broad figures could not
have excited investors. Net sales for 2001 were down 4 per cent
to Rs 495 crore, while the net bottomline went red (a result of
an extraordinary Duracell plant write-off of Rs 61 crore, though).
Operating profit, while positive, has dipped slightly. And just
a year ago, GIL was under attack for its merger policies, as it
integrated Wilkinson Sword and Duracell into the firm on terms so
generous that GIL shareholders were left fuming.
A closer look at GIL's operations, however,
provides better justification for the stock buoyancy. Its plush
new office in Gurgaon, on the outskirts of Delhi, presents a picture
of complete outward calm. But the storm within is palpable to anyone
with a sense of numbers. The entire value-chain has been squeezed
for efficiency, with costs ripped out, the salesforce streamlined
and inventories halved-all within just one year. Working capital
requirement has crashed to Rs 54 crore. Facial hair is not the only
kind of vestigial outgrowth that GIL is razing, evidently, to the
satisfaction of the $9-billion Gillette, based in Boston, US, which
embarked on a similar exercise globally under its new chief, James
M. Kilts.
Sounds like a good start. But Ahmed knows only
too well that plenty still needs to be done to tackle the fundamental
problems nagging it. ''The challenge,'' he says, ''is to get the
consumer on to the upgrade curve.'' This is so in all its markets-male
and female grooming, batteries, toothbrushes, and small appliances-but
more so in shaving systems. What Intel does with processors, Gillette
does with blades. It uses planned self-obsolescence-from Sensor
to Sensor Excel to Mach3-to impart dynamism to the market.
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Zubair Ahmed, Managing Director, Gillette
India: In search of a mega-success campaign |
But here, GIL is operating in a stubbornly conservative
market; just 3 per cent of blades sold in India, for instance, are
cartridge type. Upgradations would have to be hard won. Is GIL up
to it?
The company has the money. Apart from that,
the company has the advantage of American technology coupled with
local sensitivity. Now, what has begun as an internal slash-the-trash
initiative could well turn out to be a high-impact movement in the
wider market. If it gets the rest of its turnaround plan right,
that is.
Missing Traction
GIL's past errors have been instructive. When
Indian Shaving Products Ltd (ISPL), as it was called then, first
gained access to Gillette's high-end shavers in the early 1990s,
it sort-of assumed a natural ride over the double-edged blades sold
by the House of Malhotra, which nearly monopolised the market.
That didn't happen. GIL's prices were too high,
the consumer tradition-bound, and the distribution system sparse.
Young first-time shavers were the ideal target, but here too, ISPL
had to redesign its plastic disposable razor, Presto (giving it
a heavier, more serious appearance and grip), before making headway.
Several of those problems have been tackled
since. Most importantly, GIL has come to terms with the 'Indian
reality'. Distribution has been widened, new markets have been entered
and mid-market brands have been acquired in the quest for volumes.
The idea was to deploy a dual-brand strategy to straddle at least
two price segments in every product category. So, Gillette got itself
Wilkinson (apart from ol' faithful 7 O' Clock), Duracell got Geep
and Oral-B grabbed Prudent.
Yet, progress has been slow, with Gillette
remaining restricted to the market's top-end. Yes, marketshares
have risen over the past few years, but only just. GIL faces high-volume
rivals at every turn: Malhotra in blades, Eveready in batteries
and Colgate-Palmolive in toothbrushes. ''It is clear that Gillette
cannot play the volumes game in any of its categories in India.
The potential for value growth is huge, however, because both market
potential and products exist,'' says Nirav Seth, an FMCG analyst
with SSKI, a stock brokerage firm.
DE-CHARGING
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It is when international
marketers play with a low-value market that they discover hard
facts,'' says Roshan L. Joseph, Director, Eveready Industries,
a Gillette rival. The hardest fact: even after years of trying
to convert the 1.8 billion unit low-priced zinc battery market
to high-performance, high-price alkaline, Duracell and archrival
Energizer have been unable to. Alkaline batteries account for
just 1 per cent of all batteries sold in India. No wonder GIL
has shut its Duracell plant at Manesar, Haryana, opting for
imports instead.
India is a country of low-drain battery usage (flashlights
rather than laptops), which makes it hard for alkaline batteries
to beat the price-value equation offered by zinc batteries.
Yet, GIL presses on. ''It's the first 4-5 per cent conversion
that's the stumbling block,'' says Vipul Sabharwal, Regional
Business Director (Batteries), Gillette India. Duracell also
faces rivalry from new entrant Kodak, some 30 per cent cheaper.
Could it be a repeat of the global price-drubbing it got from
rivals last year?
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That GIL has an enviable product portfolio is
beyond doubt. In razors and blades, the company straddles three
segments: the price-fighter brand Wilkinson Sword, mid-priced 7
O' Clock and its premium Gillette range, available in Sensor, SensorExcel,
and Mach3 variants. But even after nearly a decade in India, the
Gillette brand touches just about 4 per cent of GIL's estimated
male grooming customer base of 16 million.
The FMCG slowdown hasn't helped. Admittedly,
Gillette's Mach3 is indeed catching the fancy of Yuppies, but just
one-third of Sensor's consumer franchise has upgraded to it. Meanwhile,
7 O'Clock has been hit-with its premium double-edged blades being
substituted by millions for cheaper Malhotra alternatives.
The story in other categories is not any better.
In batteries, its workhorse brand Geep grew by 10 per cent in 2001,
but its high-value alkaline brand, Duracell, actually declined by
4 per cent. Analysts are concerned that Duracell, Geep, Braun, Oral-B
and Prudent are proving a drag on profitability.
Fresh Lather
For all that, Ahmed has sufficient reason for
optimism. The thinking: the past is prologue. It's never too late
to start making waves, and what's of relevance now is GIL's renewed
thrust forward. With its internal systems now in shape, the company
can finally mount a growth-securing market offensive.
GIL has already brought its 7 O'Clock range
under the Gillette aegis, more than quadrupling the flagship brand's
distribution in one move. This is not mere ''brand rationalisation'',
according to Manoj Kumar, Regional Business Director (Grooming &
Personal Care), India & South Asia, Gillette. At twice the price
of most regular blades, 7 O'Clock needed some brand reinforcement.
In addition, emphasis is being placed on gaining
trials through low-priced packs and throw-in sampling exercises
(examples: a Rs 5 gel in a sachet, a Rs 50 foam can and single-unit
blade packs of Sensor, even shortly for Mach3). ''Sometimes,'' adds
Kumar, ''the cash ring can make a difference. And free sampling
gets your own consumers to try and upgrade.'' The betting is that
the grooming-conscious youngster would savour the fresh experience
of a gel-given lather, followed by a shave of utmost safety, smoothness,
and chin-sensitivity. It helps that HLL's Close-Up toothpaste has
already equated 'gel' with the affirmative confidence of 'freshness',
in consumer mindspace. Eventually, though, GIL will have to do some
attitude-shaping of its own. If psychographic researchers are right,
then a crucial mid-market challenge is to raze the myth of masculinity
being represented by a 'tough beard'; the truth is that a scraping
sound indicates poor blade quality, not testosterone.
Similarly, in other markets too, GIL needs
to nudge the consumer up the sophistication ascent. In small appliances,
for example, Braun is banking on its hand-blenders as a beachhead
product to penetrate India, starting with the top 30 cities. Among
other new launches is Braun's Silk-Epil EverSoft, an epilator aimed
at the wax-happy Indian woman. In oral-care, GIL sells just brushes,
no paste. ''We have to reconcile with the fact that our competitors
advertise toothpaste and gain sales in toothbrushes,'' says R. Parthasarathy,
Regional Business Director (Braun & Oral Care). Example: HLL,
with Close-Up and Pepsodent, has nearly a quarter of the Rs 393-crore
toothbrush market, with just the rub-off of their paste campaigns
to thank.
All said, GIL is aware that it needs a mega-success
campaign in at least one product category. Ahmed speaks of bumping
up ad budgets across all brands by 10-20 per cent this year (up
from a total of Rs 32 crore in 2001). This could include going high-decibel
with a single message for a single brand.
Shareholders have put the merger agony behind
them, and are willing to treat 'corporate structure' issues as worthless
vestiges of a troubled past (after all, it took so long for ISPL
to assume its real name in India). What matters, ultimately, is
whether it has a clear hold on the market's future.
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