JUNE 9, 2002
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China's India Inc.
The low cost of doing business and the vast Chinese domestic market have proved an irresistible lure for Indian companies. From Reliance to Infosys; Aurobindo to Essel; and Satyam to DRL, several Indian companies have set up (or are setting up) operations in China. India Inc. rocks in Red China.


Tete-A-Tete With James Hall
He is Accenture's Managing Partner for Technology Business Solutions, and just back from a weeklong trip to China, where he checked out outsourcing opportunities. In India soon after, James Hall spoke to BT's Vinod Mahanta on global outsourcing trends and how India and China stack up.

More Net Specials
Business Today, May 26, 2002
 
 
The Instrument
 
Ketan Sheth: The Bond Dealer
Ketan Sheth: The behind-the-scenes brain

No one had heard of him before his name hit the headlines, and Ketan Sheth, the 40-something, shadowy figure from the not-so-known world of bonds, would have liked it that way. For sometime he was based in Pune, even possessed a card on Pune Stock Exchange, but he moved to Mumbai in 1992. This was after the Harshad Mehta scam and he hit the big time by filling the void in government securities trading created by the trouble in which several brokerages found themselves. As it now emerges, Sheth gradually extended his sphere of influence to Gujarat and established contact with several co-operative banks. He thrived by selling G-secs to provident funds and co-op banks; his bids were between 50 and 75 basis points lower than those offered by rivals; and he preferred short-term securities that would mature in seven-to-eight months (their actual delivery wasn't required).

The boom in the gilt and bond markets in 2001, proved Sheth's undoing. Highly politicised co-op banks with rudimentary risk management systems were enamoured with gilts; the money they invested could have, some reckon, found their way into the stockmarkets that tanked in 2001. Meanwhile, the prices of gilts kept increasing; and having never purchased the gilts Sheth couldn't deliver them.

All this apart, he is also rumoured to have called the shots at Home Trade (he was a director). Indeed, one Maharashtra-based co-op bank says it extended a loan to the portal only because it was ''introduced'' by Sheth, ''a valued customer''. As this article goes to press, Sheth has admitted to siphoning off Rs 70 crore from the Seaman's Provident Fund, and routing it to fund some G-sec purchases. He has been charged under sections 409 (criminal breach of trust), 420 (cheating), and 418 (corruption) of the Indian Penal Code.

Government securities may have been the instrument of the Home Trade scam, but the unanimous opinion among trading circles is that it must have taken uncommon chutzpah and a fair amount of venality (plus a definite eye on the short-term, but then that's true of all scams) to engineer the heist. In Agarwal, Sheth, and Kedar, the ingredients came together.

It all started 18 months ago when interest rates started falling. Now the relationship between interest rates and G-secs (which are akin to bonds) is inverse-when rates do down, the return on G-secs increases.

Over the past two years banks of all hues, nationalised, private, and co-operative, made pots of money on treasury operations, largely on account of G-secs. "In the last 24 months the yield on G-secs has fallen 250 basis points, providing attractive trading opportunities in government securities," explains Dhawal Dalal, Fund Manager (Fixed Income), DSP Merrill Lynch Investment Managers.

Trading in G-secs is an inter-treasury operation: the treasury of company A will trade with the treasury of company B. Brokers, who had access to several treasuries, saw the demand for their services increase with co-op banks and small provident funds co-opting them in their search for the right securities (the big guys could do it on their own).

Nothing wrong with that, only, NDCCB and other cooperative banks blindly paid money to their broker (Home Trade or one of the other accused firms) to buy securities for them and didn't bother following up on the physical delivery. The p d of G-secs (this forms a small portion of the debt market as the bulk of the transactions are done in DEMAT form) takes not more than a month; three weeks is more like it.

The co-op banks now in trouble didn't call for help till several months after the transaction. Usually, when a broker sends securities (in physical form) to RBI for transfer, the central bank issues a receipt (Form 47 A) listing details of the securities, the buyer, and the seller. Brokers normally hand this over to the buyer and walk away with their commission.

In this case, the banks didn't have a receipt simply because Home Trade hadn't applied for a transfer at all. All they had were letters from Home Trade to the effect that the securities were being transferred. As allegations against Sunil Kedar, the Chairman of NDCCB show, the co-op banks had reason not to follow up.

A G-SEC PRIMER
What is it?
Government securities or G-secs are certificates issued by the Government of India through the Reserve Bank of India confirming money received from an individual or institution in the form of debt. They bear a fixed interest rate. A G-sec is known by its interest rate and year of maturity. For instance, a 12 per cent GoI 2008 would refer to a security bearing a coupon rate of 12 per cent (payable half-yearly) maturing in 2008.
How is return on a G-sec measured?
The yield-to-maturity (YTM) method is used to calculate return on G-secs. The price of a G-sec is inversely related to its yield.
What is the role of brokers in G-sec trading?
Deals in G-sec trading can be wholesale or retail. The former are those with a transaction value higher than Rs 5 crore. Most wholesale deals are conducted through brokers who bring the two parties together. However, the broker isn't involved in settling transactions. This is done through what is called a DVP system (delivery-versus-payment), which ensured simultaneous credit and debit of securities and the amounts involved in the books of RBI.
Why did co-operative banks get into G-secs?
RBI advised urban co-op banks to maintain a certain statutory liquidity ratio. The banks achieved this by investing in G-secs. That apart, most banks were awash with funds with few takers. These were diverted to G-secs that held the promise of high returns.
How does a clean G-sec transaction work?
One, the co-op bank tells a broker to buy G-secs from the open market and makes out a cheque in the name of the seller. Two, the broker buys the required G-secs and sends it to RBI for transfer. Three, the broker takes his commission from the buyer. The securities are directly despatched by RBI in the name of the buyer in three-four weeks.
What lies at the root of the Home Trade fiasco is the fact that the co-op bank involved failed to follow RBI regulations

A Sheep Among Instruments

If the scam surprised many in the financial community it was because of the choice of the instrument. With RBI spelling out settlement norms for G-secs-between buyers and sellers with the brokers playing no role in the actual transaction-"there is no scope for murkiness," says Arun Kaul, Managing Director, PNB Gilts.

Monish Tahilramani, Head (Interest Rates, Treasury & Capital Markets), HSBC, agrees.

"The delivery-versus-payment mechanism eliminates all settlement risks as the transactions are concurrent." In the current instance they weren't. In hindsight, making it mandatory for all co-op bank trading in G-secs to be in DEMAT form would have prevented the scam.

What has happened with Home Trade and a clutch of co-op banks, then, is essentially the result of the failure of the latter to follow RBI regulations. "If the regulations of RBI are complied with, the chances of any scam are completely ruled out," explains Kaul.

Doing away with brokers, as some financial brains have suggested, may not be such a good idea. At any given point in time, the G-sec market has about 12-15 actively traded securities, and at least 70 participants; brokers facilitate the trading process.

The co-op banks embroiled in the G-sec controversy bought securities directly from brokers in contravention of RBI regulations. They also overlooked the stipulation about banks not buying more than 5 per cent of their G-sec holdings through one broker. NDCCB broke this rule. Some of the others may have too.

The way out? "RBI has barred co-operative banks from entering into deals with brokers," says Kaul. Now, they can only trade with primary dealers or banks. And it has instituted an online trading system that leaves no rooms for delivery-shenanigans of the kind Home Trade pulled. "In the new system the buyer, the seller, and the regulator (RBI) will be linked," says Milind Nandurkar, Fund Manager (Debt Segment), Sun F&C Mutual Fund.

The immediacy (and transparency) of an online system will help.

As will efforts by RBI to educate smaller banks and provident funds about the finer aspects of trading in G-secs-it is a rather technical area and does require some expertise.

The co-operative banking system in the country, though, remains a black hole. Co-operative banks played a central role in last year's equities scam.

Now, they are at once victims of and accessories in an unlikely government securities one. Expect a repeat, in one form or the other next year-unless the regulator imposes punitive measures that check greed of the unscrupulous variety. The usual variety of greed, as Gekko said, is good.

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