DEC. 22, 2002
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Q&A: Anshu Jain
The London-based Anshu Jain, Head of Deutsche Bank's Global Markets division and member of the bank's Group Executive Committee, was in Mumbai for a day recently. He spoke to BT about trends in global debt markets, banks' appetite for coprorate risk, derivatives and the implications for India.

Travel Agent Blues
India's big travel agents are feeling the heat. Commissions are getting squeezed, even as big-ticket travel-overseas particularly-is suffering. So, how are the travel biggies coping? Innovations. Ever paid a consultancy fee for your holiday advice? Better get used to it.

More Net Specials
Business Today,  November 24, 2002
 
 
Banks of the future
A KPMG expert take on future trends in banking.

Circa 2007: Aditi is a typical new age banking customer. She transacts mostly through her 'friendly device' that allows her to conduct her bank transactions, trade on the stock exchange, buy her groceries, pay her children's school fees and taxes to the government through a click of a button. She chooses her account, through her 'friendly device', from one of the multiple banks that she has a relationship with for making the payments. While travelling to anywhere within India or overseas, besides her 'friendly device', Aditi also has the option to access her bank(s) or conduct transactions at any of the multiple self-service or serviced outlets that have been setup by her bank(s) or other service providers. With a strong automated payment infrastructure and a nationwide credit bureau in place, banks have invested in sophisticated customer intelligence systems and adopted a combination of in-sourced and outsourced business models, to provide a single-window access to their customers. This enables them to provide 'tailored' services to customers like Aditi to meet their lifestyle requirements, investment management, asset acquisition, financial planning and manage their relationship with the government. Despite all this, Aditi still visits her financial services provider regularly to meet her relationship officer for a conversation on contemporary art, while also understanding how to plan her financials and discuss new investment opportunities. Welcome to banking in 2007.

Important structural changes and major policy initiatives over the last few years have resulted in a new financial architecture that consists of two well-developed wholesale and retail markets. The new financial landscape has presented customers with greater opportunities and bargaining power -- redefining how banks and non-banks approach the marketplace and each other.

Today, customers obtain customised solutions, choose modes of access and define the way they want to conduct business -- often getting banks and non-banks to collaborate and form new value networks to service them. They actively seek new opportunities arising out of market developments and reforms. More recently, they have attempted to use capital account liberalisation to explore new possibilities -- be it deposits, investments in capital and money markets, or capital transfers in local and global markets.

At the turn of the century, there were over a hundred scheduled commercial banks, several hundred more cooperative banks, Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs), and other financial institutions in India. Most of these organisations were seen to be offering vanilla banking services with minimal differentiation. A few years ago, the banking industry could be classified into specific categories like public sector, private sector, foreign banks, etc. Barely half a decade later the scenario could not be more different. Far from the earlier days, where too many banks attempted to operate in both markets, only a few large players have been able to sustain servicing a broad range of customers, providing the entire range of services across both wholesale and retail markets.

Other players have limited their activities to one-market alone or focussed on specific opportunities across both markets, due to a combination of market and regulatory pressures. Marginal players have been forced to reduce their range of activities, sell branches and assets, and in some cases, transform themselves to become service providers to banks. Some players, existing and new, have opted to become financial consolidators, offering a single window access to multiple financial products, managing customer relationships and experience. As a result, the banking industry today, can easily be divided among a few large full-service banks, which are competing for market dominance, and the rest, which include some niche players specialising in product categories and customer segments, and a group of survivors who manage customer access and/or service other financial intermediaries.

The indicators of this transformation have been visible for the past few years.

1. Financial sector reform: The central regulator took a series of steps over the last few years, including adopting international accounting standards, strengthening the financial system and improving supervision and governance. In a bid to promote India as a regional financial centre, 'special licences' or 'restricted licences' were permitted. These licences attempted to move away from the one-size-fits-all banking licence towards offering licences to carry out specific activities such as investment banking, debt restructuring, offshore banking and credit card issuance. This enabled banks and non-banks to build a portfolio of activities around their competence and choice rather than attempt broad market participation, as was the case before.

BANKS, TODAY. TOMMORROW?

2. Raising the sustenance barrier: Strong prudential and supervisory norms along with new Basel Committee guidelines required many Indian banks to bring in additional capital, and conform to rising regulatory standards. Through a series of market driven actions and regulator interventions, the banks had to merge, reduce scope and scale of operations or transform themselves to adopt new roles.

3. Government Divestment: The government's decision to divest its stake in most public sector banks (PSBs), either through the capital markets or through strategic sales, forced most public sector banks to develop a business case for their existence. Some PSBs had foreseen the impending changes and had taken initiatives to build upon their core strengths of reach and a large customer base. They invested in technology and changed the way they were doing business to emerge stronger and more efficient. A few PSBs that had not reacted quickly to these changes, found business unsustainable and had to divest operations i.e., branches and portfolios selectively, or in some cases, merged their operations with stronger banks.

4. Globalisation: Implementation of the wto accord and the subsequent liberalisation of rules for foreign banks have had a significant impact on the banking sector. Although not too many new banks entered the market, the existing foreign banks grew bigger by purchasing market share wherever they perceived value. The new banks were mostly specialists, which focused on particular segments using special licenses as their entry vehicles. Some foreign banks exited India as part of their global rationalisation and decision to concentrate on their core competence or local markets.

5. Co-operative Bank Reform: A series of scams and the subsequent erosion of public confidence, a few years ago, affected the co-operative banking sector. Relief came when the government enacted the 'Demutualisation of Cooperatives Act'. Financial incentives were given to banks that converted their ownership structure into a limited company structure. A small number of banks were able to demutualise and follow through with an ipo. Some cooperative banks were forced to close down while others were taken over by more efficient banks.

New Business Models
Specialisation And Leveraged Sourcing The new financial landscape has been a key impetus for banks to start looking at new business models to survive. Over the last few years, the increasing need to enhance fee-based income, improve quality of service and reduce cost of operations has forced most banks to rethink their business models. They have had to focus on core competence, collaborate with other players to offer products and services to customers and partner with a new breed of service providers to perform non-core activities ranging from processing to technology management.

Some banks have adopted the model of being specialist service providers to other banks in India and abroad. The range of these services is seen to include regular transaction processing, trade finance, credit documentation, etc. In addition to the above, a few non-banks have also entered the domain of providing other services like provision of infrastructure e.g., shared ATM networks, POS terminals, cheque processing centres and print shops. Few banks made investments in shared technology and infrastructure, which, in due course, they used to offer a range of ASP services to other banks, which lacked scale or investment appetite.

Some of the leading financial brands, instead of providing their own products, opted to source third party products for their customers. They primarily focus on managing customer relationships and are a single point interface for multiple financial needs, often sourced from other market participants.

Another business model that is being used by some niche banks involves selling down loans or securitisation of assets (including good loans and/or restructured bad loans). With growing investor acceptance and procedural ease, securitisation volumes have seen a significant increase. Most of the leading banks including the 'Big Banks' are increasingly sustaining their businesses though management of relationships and origination of loans, the focus being on increasing the churn rate of assets and fee income. The loans of these banks are packaged as securitised assets or passed on to other banks, typically the smaller banks, through the local and global syndication market.

Management Of Operations
The leading banks now are increasingly focusing on differentiating their product offering by allowing customers to build products and creating 'brands'. Preferred customers of the bank have the ability to create product variants to suit their individual needs, often requiring banks to collaborate with other players. Most of the banks have invested in sophisticated touch points (both self-serviced and human interaction) that are either owned, shared or sourced through a third party service provider. All these touch points have the ability to capture and use customer intelligence for marketing efforts and for adhering to service standards to ensure customer stickiness.

THE OUTSOURCING MODEL

The customer strategies adopted by the successful players are focused on retaining profitable customers, while also developing specific marketing initiatives to attract customers from other banks with incentive schemes, packaged services and competitive service standards. In addition, the search for profitable customers by the banks has taken them beyond the traditional metro and urban areas, with the rural sector being viewed as a serious market, and not just a priority sector commitment.

During the last few years, banks have shifted their risk management focus from crisis response and compliance to proactive evaluation of risks in order to improve shareholder value. Banks have started using risk management to understand the true risk adjusted performance of portfolios and businesses. This enables them to make informed strategic and tactical decisions including capital allocation, and business, customer and product focus.

Conclusion
The banking scenario in 2007 could be similar to the one presented above, which requires banks to be proactive and adopt a range of measures to shape their future:
1. Anticipate and prepare for regulatory change
2. Focus on identifying core competence and migrate to a business model of choice
3. Build an optimal operating model by understanding which activities to retain, collaborate and outsource
4. Go beyond compliance to use risk management as a critical decision support tool
5. Create and sustain customer, investor and regulator confidence by adopting international accounting standards and improving corporate governance.

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