If
foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are looked on in some market
circles as fair-weather friends, a sub-sect of those moneybags in
pinstripes is eliciting unbridled paranoia, utter contempt and undiluted
fear in nooks and corners of Dalal Street. After all, these are
the guys who are going when you think they're coming, the ogres
responsible for bringing down economies (remember East Asia), who
collapse under their own over-leveraged weight (a US hedge fund,
Long Term Capital Management, took a hit of $4 billion in 1998),
and who are generally considered even more volatile than John McEnroe
once was.
The Securities & Exchange Board of India
(SEBI) is mercifully for its part not as terrified of hedge funds.
The watchdog is working out regulations to allow for direct entry
of hedge funds into Indian markets, with of course the requisite
checks and balances. Currently, hedge funds can't come in as FIIs
and so open up sub-accounts (outside India) sponsored by registered
FIIs. SEBI estimates that hedge funds accounted for 5 per cent of
total FII assets for the year ended March 2004.
If hedge funds are feared-not just in India
but in many global markets-it's not so much because they tend to
go bust (or get busted) but simply because there's not much information
available on them. That they often allegedly work in collusion,
are outside the purview of disclosures required to be made by conventional
funds, and that advisors to hedge funds pocket fat fees, may have
something to do with the negative perception (including perhaps
envy) surrounding these firms.
According to data put out by SEBI, global hedge
funds had volumes of $750 billion as of 2003, and-here's the best
part!-the 8,000-odd such funds yielded an impressive cumulative
average growth rate of 24 per cent between 1988 and 2003. In five
years, hedge fund assets could cross the $1 trillion-mark.
And we don't want a piece of that stash!
With a huge question mark hanging over FIIs
inflows into emerging markets sustaining over the medium term-already
in May FIIs had net sales of $800 million, and there's no reason
why such outflows can't happen again in subsequent months-is it
wise to continue to ignore an attractive source of much-needed liquidity?
Hedge fund baiters can point to the misdeeds of hedge fund advisors
in cases like LTCM, but by that yardstick the high-jinks of mutual
funds in the US are scandalous enough to call for a blanket ban
on foreign mutual funds into the country.
But of course such a ban won't serve much purpose.
Rather, it's up to SEBI and the Association of Mutual Funds (AMFI)
to ensure that regulations are in place to ensure that illegal activities
like late trading and insider trading are curtailed in Indian funds.
And that's exactly what SEBI and AMFI are doing. Similarly, SEBI
has to put in place laws to prevent hedge funds from running riot
in Indian markets.
Short-term, speculative trading today isn't
just the purview of the hedge fund manger, what with get-rich-quick
wannabes in Kolhapur or Rajkot staring into NSE terminals indulging
in the same. Of course, the hedge funds' trading decisions will
impact markets more than a Rs 10,000 small-town transaction, but
then again it isn't as if these funds buy or sell on a whim or via
a tip: Research is a given in this industry, as the pressure for
this "rich-man's fund" to deliver is enormous. What's
more, investors can look forward to another avenue for portfolio
diversification within the equity ambit.
Clearly, being wary of hedge funds because
of the dangers they come with is a risk-free approach that's in
absolute contradiction to the spirit of equity markets, which by
nature are all about risk and return. Greed-induced fraud is an
intrinsic inevitability but there's always the criminal and civil
rods to deal with scamsters. After all, it can't be considered only
a patriotic right to manipulate and abuse markets!
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