|  
  This 
              magazine has always believed the India story. Ergo, the results 
              of the latest edition of the Foreign Direct Investment survey conducted 
              by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI), 
              which figure prominently across the front pages of dailies, do not 
              come as a surprise to it. For those who missed it, the gist of the 
              FICCI survey is this: there is no cause for concern. This magazine's 
              belief is based on fact, not fashion (and we must admit that India 
              is quite the in thing, here, and elsewhere in the world): corporate 
              India is on a roll-the results of 2,380 companies shows an increase 
              of 12.62 per cent in aggregate revenues and 35.38 per cent in aggregate 
              profits-and becoming globally competitive by the day; the manufacturing 
              sector is clearly making a comeback, one that is evident in macroeconomic 
              statistics and empirical data; and the monsoon, if initial estimates 
              are to be believed, promises to be as good as the last one.  India's economic fundamentals are healthy and 
              the FICCI survey, which says some 108 companies (out of 138 surveyed) 
              are open to investing in India, just bears this out. The fact that 
              the FICCI survey was done over the past three months- questionnaires, 
              it emerges, were sent out to companies and they responded over a 
              period of time with some responses coming in while the previous 
              government, the National Democratic Alliance was still in power 
              and others when the United Progressive Alliance had just taken office-and 
              its there-take-that timing of the survey (it comes when questions 
              are being raised about the UPA's ability to keep the India story 
              alive) is a tad hard to ignore, but overall, its findings ring true. 
                The intent to invest doesn't always translate 
              into greenbacks-don't we in this country know that all too well?-but 
              even that could change in an instant. Remember that the FICCI survey 
              was done over April, May, and June. And since coming to power in 
              late May, the UPA is yet to take any major economic decision. Had 
              the survey been done entirely in June, it would have likely displayed 
              some of the uncertainty dogging foreign and Indian investors (should 
              we invest, or shouldn't we?). Still, the India story, like we have 
              said, is still very much alive.   It won't be for long should the UPA choose 
              to embark on a spree of sops targeting various constituencies. Free 
              power for farmers may prevent the odd-agriculturist from killing 
              himself, although most such deaths have been caused by the simple 
              truth that small-hold farming isn't viable in India (and not because 
              of exorbitant power bills; that happens only in the metros), but 
              it will almost definitely hurt the cause of the power sector in 
              India. The government's decision not to divest its stake in public 
              sector banks may make bank unions happy, but it will adversely affect 
              M&A activity in a sector that is ripe for the same. And while 
              the UPA's stated objective of ensuring that the benefits of economic 
              reform trickle down to the rural poor is laudable, it will take 
              the economy nowhere should it come at the cost of urban prosperity. 
              A few policy pronouncements, some small provisions in the Budget 
              that is imminent could change things for the worse.   Few in-coming governments can resist the urge 
              to sweep the previous regime's policies out of the door and start 
              afresh. That's a temptation the UPA must defend against. Giving 
              economic reforms a human face, whatever that means, is a lofty notion. 
              And in India's case, it can probably be best achieved by doing nothing 
              to disturb the status quo. |