Nicolas
Dufourcq is CFO of the euro 6.5-billion
or Rs 34,450-crore consulting and outsourcing major, Capgemini
Group. The France-based firm has been on a turnaround course after
a bad patch in the first half of 2004 when it posted losses at
the operating level. Things have changed since with the firm back
in black at the operating level. At the helm of this transformation
is Dufourcq who, in this discussion with BT's Priya
Srinivasan on a recent visit to India, outlines the
challenges that Capgemini faces at this point including the issue
of plummeting prices (billings), courtesy competition from tier-one
Indian it services firms. Excerpts from the interview:
The Indian IT services space has been
abuzz with talk of a change in the spending pattern of clients
if not an actual slowdown (in spending) this year. What is your
take?
There is the beginning of an acceleration,
in fact, probably the early stage of the restart of an industrial
cycle. It is impossible to predict what it will look like or whether
it will be anything like the previous cycles or how long it will
last. There is a sort of electricity in decision making among
customers. In the past years (2003 and 2004 in particular) customers
were talking of total cost of ownership of their applications,
they wanted to cut costs, and did not want to make big bets on
technology, but there is a boldness today. When you need to open
up the company and change its blood (circulatory) system, you
need to be bold. We see now a restart of companies making courageous
decisions, and if this catches on you will see big volumes. If
there is volume growth, we may have to recruit in the US and Europe
as well as boost operations here. If there is no cycle (upturn),
we stabilise in Europe and increase (recruiting) a little in India,
but if there is a cycle (upturn) we recruit everywhere.
How does Capgemini's global footprint look today?
First is India with 2,500 people, then Poland
with 1,500 and then China with a BPO (business process outsourcing)
centre, where we have about 700. The oldest centre is here in
Mumbai. A big proportion of the rest is what we call application
development centres (ADCs), which are everywhere in the world.
This is where Capgemini people work for the customers as if they
are in a laboratory environment. It's onshore yet offsite, and
a big part of our strategy. We industrialise our production as
much as possible through sophisticated processes.
Your financial results for the last year
indicate a fall in operating profit in 2004 vis-à-vis the
previous year but the share price on the Paris exchange actually
went up following that. That's curious. Had the market expected
worse? Can we interpret this as the beginning of a turnaround
for Capgemini?
Absolutely, yes. What happened in Capgemini
started with the internet bubble and the incredible drop in prices
(of services) and the consequences of the multiple reorganisations
that followed the merger with (the consulting business of) Ernst
& Young. The cost of all this had to be evidenced through
the accounts of 2003 and the first half of 2004-that was a picture
of loss at the operating level for Capgemini. And in the second
half of 2004, the figures showed the efforts of the restructuring
efforts that had been started in 2003. Now, why did the share
price rise? Well, the markets did not anticipate that the 'back
to basics' programme (of 2003) would produce results so rapidly.
In the second half of 2004, we had promised the market 2 per cent
in operating income; we did 2.35 per cent. We had a good cash
position at the end of the year and gave a comfortable guidance
for 2005. I also said that Europe (operations) was at 80 per cent
of turnaround and that we had then to tackle the us problem where,
as of February, we were at below 50 per cent of turnaround and
have a long journey.
Could you outline the key areas you tackled
as part of your 'back to basics' programme of 2003?
First of all, (we) pushed utilisation of our
systems integration practices to 80 per cent, and that of consulting
practices to 70 per cent. Then, (we) reimposed the discipline
of processes in delivery to crunch overruns.
What role has offshoring, particularly
to India since that's your largest offshore centre, played in
your restructuring?
Offshoring was important to flag off modernity.
We called it right shoring. Distributed delivery, we said, is
the new motto. The industrial model will never be as it was before
and offshoring was necessary to flag off that 'never again' sort
of political expression. All the managers of Capgemini had to
acknowledge that what held good in 1995 wouldn't in 2005. Practically,
it (the impact of offshoring) was very small. Now, we are at 2,500
people in India and we are a 60,000-employee organisation. The
turnaround was done by the rest of the 57,500 people, so offshoring
was important only symbolically.
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"The industrial model will never be as
it was before and offshoring was necessary to flag off that
'never again' sort of political expression. We had to acknowledge
that what held good in 1995 wouldn't in 2005" |
Has offshoring impacted your margins in
any way, then?
Again, it all depends on the countries. This
is not a homogenous company, but a decentralised one. Today, 60
per cent of the India activities are servicing the us operations,
25 per cent the UK one, and the rest Holland and Denmark. Last
year, it was 95 per cent for the US; it all started there. The
story is simple: the US operations had been heavily bashed by
TCS, Infosys and so forth, the tier-one Indian players.
This is interesting; some global IT services
firms claim they hardly see Indian players in their market segments,
and some explicitly state that they are a threat. What is the
real picture?
I see the results on the prices. In the us,
the daily price at which you bill has dropped by 15 per cent a
year for the last three years, and Accenture and IBM have developed
offshore operations to sustain those price points. It's easy to
say that Indian firms have vanished from the US market but the
result is there for everyone to see. It appeared as inevitable
for our US operations to work with India. Then, UK understood
it was preferable to work with Capgemini India; this was in 2003.
Then, starting the second half of 2004, it was Holland and Denmark.
Holland was totally adverse to offshoring. They said it's not
necessary; today, they are extremely profitable and positive about
working with Capgemini India. You will see progressively the operations
in Germany and France also starting to get convinced. In Germany,
the first step (for offshoring) will be Poland. Then, it will
be India.
Isn't offshoring a double-edged sword
for companies like yours? While it reduces costs, it also reduces
billings and therefore revenues, right? How do you resolve that
contradiction?
It is not a contradiction. There is a market,
the market decides the price and when you have this price you
discover that if you want to be profitable you have to be offshore.
There is no choice. The customer tells you I want a price decrease
of 15 per cent, you make it or you are out. The topline does not
take a hit. Let me give you an example: France Telecom. It launched
in 2003 a reverse auction operation where those with the lowest
prices get the job. It is extremely cruel. It lasts two to three
hours and is very rapid; you see the price points cascading on
the screen. At some point you say, "Come on, I am not doing
it at that price," and then you get a phone call from the
customer saying "If you don't, you're out." It's serious.
We accepted a 15 per cent price cut from France Telecom and at
the time we did business of euro 120 million (Rs 636 crore) with
them. Huge. So you can imagine the (potential) drop in the revenue
and profit. What did we do? In one year we completely reconfigured
the operations for France Telecom. We increased the utilisation
rate, cut costs and moved offshore to some extent. The result:
20 months later we do more business than before with France Telecom
at lower prices. The machine is changing. The market is forcing
us to change.
Do you find costs in India hardening in
addition to the manpower crunch?
I see no problem for the next five years,
but after that it is totally unpredictable. There is a recruitment
crunch everywhere in the world. It's difficult to recruit even
in the Western markets.
That's an anomaly; on one hand we talk
of layoffs in the West, and on the other you mention a recruitment
problem...
At Capgemini we laid off 1,800 people last
year out of 60,000, but again it's the same answer: it's different
from country to country. Last year we had to fire people in Spain
and Italy because the cost base was too high and we had to lower
(it) to break even. This year we are firing senior managers in
the US; at the same time we would like to recruit in Holland,
France and Germany, and it's difficult to find people. It is never
a homogenous answer. In France we want sap people (those who can
implement an enterprise package from German firm sap) and it is
not easy, and in the UK we want to recruit Oracle people. Recruitment
is getting systematically difficult everywhere.
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