Mani Shankar Aiyar is a brave man.
He is being feted in Tehran and lionised in Lahore. He is hunting
for hydrocarbons in the areas where us-fearing angels fear to
tread. He is exhorting oil Navaratnas-the trustees of our family
silver-to squeeze oil out of the country's rocks, and scoop up
crude from the depths of foreign seabeds. This is all a part of
Aiyar's fundamentally secular worldwide view: India's economic
boom is on steroids; but it needs oil and gas-lots and lots of
it-to keep the momentum going.
But the going isn't easy. China uses every trick in the book
to trump India's quest for oil as it forges ahead in the global
hunt for hydrocarbons; the us and other Western nations jealously
guard their oil security in the sandy wastes of Arabia and the
newly independent countries of Central Asia. Indian companies,
thus, have little choice but to pick up the crumbs the West and
China don't want.
Aiyar is, therefore, left with few options. He is betting big
on a pipeline to transport Iranian gas to India via Pakistan.
But the political risks associated with this project are staggering.
Aiyar says he's been to Pakistan 17 times in the last 23 years
and thinks he knows who he's dealing with (see There Is No us
Pressure...). He adds that the Pakistani government has assured
him that it will address India's security concerns and that subsequent
negotiations will prove whether the initial trust he's invested
in his counterparts from across the border is justified or not.
But what really blots his record is the political interference
in the PSUs under his ministry. Aiyar talks of autonomy for PSU
oil companies, yet he ordered the GAIL India board to put the
tendering process for the Rs 1,800-crore Dahej-Uran pipeline on
hold. Even as the media-savvy Aiyar grabs headlines, it's precisely
this interference in the autonomy of PSUs that hampers their global
ambitions. Example: China National Petroleum Corporation trumped
ONGC's bids for oil blocks in Sudan and Angola because the powers-that-be
did not clear the requisite financing on time.
Besides, he has stymied all attempts to de-subsidise the prices
of LPG and kerosene. The result: under-recoveries of Rs 22,000
crore by oil marketing companies last fiscal. How Aiyar squares
this circle will be interesting to watch.
Despite this, Aiyar's real contribution lies in energising what
was, till he took over, just another moribund government department,
more in the news for all the wrong reasons (two of his recent
predecessors faced serious corruption charges). He has proactively
taken the bull by the horns and aggressively led Indian companies-both
in the public and private sectors-into the global hunt for hydrocarbon
assets.
His profile and his pronouncements have often brought him into
conflict with the minister and the mandarins in the Foreign Office.
But such turf wars are common in any government. The fact is that
Aiyar has emerged as the brash new face of Indian economic diplomacy.
In doing so, he's reset the agenda of the foreign ministry and
given it a completely new direction.
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