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JULY 31, 2005
 Cover Story
 Editorial
 Features
 Trends
 Bookend
 Personal Finance
 BT Special
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Redefining Consumer Finance
Jurg von Känel, a researcher at IBM's J. Watson Research Centre, and his colleagues are working on analytical software that would
simplify consumer finance
and make it more secure as well. An oxymoron? Känel doesn't think so.


Security Check
First, it was Mphasis. Then, the Karan Bahree sting operation by UK tabloid, The Sun. The bogey of data security appears to be rearing its ugly head in right earnest. How can the Indian call-centre industry address this challenge?
More Net Specials
Business Today,  July 17, 2005
 
 
Coked Out
The real story behind Sanjiv Gupta's impending exit from Coca-Cola India, the fifth CEO to leave in 13 years.
Coca-Cola India's Gupta: He'll be pushing something else soon

Sanjiv Gupta is going, but neither Coca-Cola India (CCI)-"He is still very much our President"-nor the man himself-"I have not resigned yet, but cannot comment on the future"-will say so. So, what's the real story at CCI?

The $22-billion (Rs 96,800-crore) Atlanta based Coke got itself a new Chairman and CEO, Neville Isdell last year. Isdell, a Coke veteran who was called back from retirement to head the company, has taken the view that the Indian subsidiary has to fall in line with the company's global model of separate bottling and concentrate/marketing companies.

That's understandable; as is Gupta's decision (as and when he announces it) to leave; after all, with the larger company-owned bottling operations (some Rs 3,000 crore of total revenues of around Rs 4,000 crore) being headed by a new CEO, John Ustas, his brief has just been split down the middle. As this magazine goes to press, there is speculation in headhunting circles that an Indian from Coke's international network, Sanjay Guha, Atul Singh or Kandy Anand could replace Gupta.

What's Up?
The Dabhol Endgame
Diesel At Rs 7 Less
The Early Bird
July 16 Fundamentals

If, despite the fact that both companies have had to cope with similar extraneous factors-a slow-growth market and the pesticide-in-colas controversy, for instance-Pepsi's Indian operation seems like a rock of stability (it has had only two CEOs in 16 years, p.m. Sinha and incumbent Rajeev Bakshi), blame it on the Indian subsidiary of Coke mirroring events in Atlanta.

Coke's global operations have had four CEOs in the past 13 years (Pepsi has had two, including incumbent Steve Reinemund), and it would seem that each (both global and local) has had different plans for the company. One wanted to buy bottlers. Another wanted to sell tea and coffee. And still another wanted to kill all the brands it had acquired. Circa July 2005, there's static that Coke will go slow on investments in India, go cold on tea and coffee, ditch the Rs 5 price-point, and focus on Brand Coke. "We have over a 60 per cent share of the market," says the company's spokesperson. "Thanks to the acquired brands," says an unkind critic. Then, that would seem to be true. The acquired brands account for over half the company's sales and a fifth the marketing spend.


The First Deal
In the CDMA space, that is.

Tata's Tata: The company's still looking

If reports emanating from Mumbai's deal street are to be believed, Tata Teleservices (TTSL, in which Tata Group firms VSNL, Tata Sons and Tata Power hold stakes) is close to striking India's first deal in the CDMA space (the Reliance Infocomm-Qualcomm Inc. deal, for those who came in late, fell through). In front of the pack, seeking to acquire a 30 per cent stake in the company, is Korean telco sk Telecom. If it materialises, the deal could be worth Rs 3,500 crore (between Rs 15 and Rs 19 a share). That money will come in useful for a company that will invest Rs 9,000 crore across its 20 circles over the next 24 months. After a sluggish start, TTSL has been in a hurry to make up for lost time and has added 1.69 million subscribers over the past six months (total subscribers: 4.5 million at the end of June 2005).

The Koreans, the buzz in Mumbai goes, have taken over Bombay House, the Tata Group HQ, a reference to the large team from SK Telecom (it is represented by i-banking firm JP Morgan) that has apparently been camped there for some time hoping to strike a deal. For its part, the Tata Group downplays the possibility of an immediate deal, with group sources saying that SK Telecom is only one of the companies the group is taking to and that "there are about five-six players in all" that are interested in a stake in Tata Teleservices. The way these things work, a deal could be announced tomorrow, or six months down the line.


An Idea In Play
Another telco, another deal.

Idea CEO Vikram Mehmi: It's on

The idea story has taken another turn. The company, which was formed by the merger of the GSM-telephony interests of the Tata and Aditya Birla Groups and AT&T, has had one door close-the proposal by Singapore Technologies Telemedia and Telecom Malysia to acquire a 47.7 per cent stake in Idea was scotched by the Department of Telecommunications on the grounds that another Singapore-government owned firm SingTel owns a stake in Bharti, which shares some of its circles with the company-only to have another open.

Today, the Aditya Birla Group, which was once keen to sell its 33 per cent stake in the company and focus on its commodities empire, has decided to stay on. And it may actually surprise everyone by bidding for the 33 per cent of Idea Cingular (it acquired this, courtesy its takeover of AT&T Wireless) has put on the bloc, even for part of the Tata Group's 31.5 per cent stake in the company.

"The Aditya Birla Group is here to stay," says Sanjeev Aga, the group's representative on the Idea board, refusing to spell out the details. It would make sense for the Tata Group to exit, given its interest in the CDMA space (the money, for sure, would come in useful). "We are all looking at options and nothing firm has come up as yet," says Kishor Chaukar, Managing Director, Tata Industries.

Then, there is the D-street buzz about Idea going in for an initial public offering (IPO). With 5.55 million subscribers across 8 circles, its valuation would be around Rs 8,000 crore, and an IPO may provide a profitable exit for some of its shareholders. Watch this space.


LEGACY-TRACK
What's Up?

R.S. Lodha: The smile stays, for now

It's been fairly smooth sailing for Rajendra Singh Lodha so far. On June 24, the Board of Directors of M.P. Birla Group flagship Birla Corporation elected him chairman. He is the first non-Birla ever to head a major Birla company. A spokesperson for B.K. Birla said the Birlas would not comment on this development. Meanwhile, in a minor victory for the Birlas, on July 1, the Calcutta High Court dismissed a petition by S.N. Prasad, a member of the Lodha camp, seeking the quashing of criminal proceedings against himself, Lodha and two others. The criminal case had been filed by Rajinder Pansari, a Birla associate, on October 5, 2004 before the sub-divisional judicial magistrate in Alipore. It alleged that Lodha, Prasad, V. Gaurishankar and S.K. Daga had defrauded Priyamvada Birla. The dismissal of Prasad's petition will not change anything in the battle for the control of M.P. Birla's estate. It merely means that the Alipore Court will be free to proceed with the criminal case filed before it. The Lodha camp declined to comment on the issue.


The Dabhol Endgame
An FAQ on the impending resolution.

Is the Dabhol controversy ended?

Almost, but the company is no longer called Dabhol Power Company; it is the Ratnagiri Gas and Power Company.

How has the resolution come about?

The court controlled entity will soon be taken over by the special purpose vehicle instituted by the government for the purpose. $110 million (Rs 484 crore), of the $145 million (Rs 638 crore) owed to GE has been paid. On the agenda is the payment of $160 million (Rs 704 crore) to Bechtel, $230 million (Rs 1,012 crore) to offshore lenders, and $111 million (Rs 488.4 crore) to Overseas Private Investment Corporation. All this is expected to be done by the end of July.

Will the company's new cost structure be more reasonable?

It will. "The original project cost was Rs 12,000 crore; this is down to Rs 10,000 crore now with Enron's equity being devalued from $550 million (Rs 2,420 crore) to $20 million (Rs 88 crore); then, DPC was also planning to make money on everything from fuel arbitrage and shipping contracts to operation and maintenance charges. Now, the annual payment by the Maharashtra State Electricity Board will be in the region of Rs 3,500 crore a year as against the earlier Rs 5,500 crore," says Girish Sant, an energy consultant at Pune-based Non Governmental Organisation Prayas.

Isn't Rs 10,000 crore a bit steep for a 2,184-MW project?

It is, and that's something that will come up when Ratnagiri Gas and Power Company seeks the approval of Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission (MERC) to kick-start operations. It will have to justify a 25 per cent higher cost. "The challenge is to find liquefied natural gas (LNG) cheap; that's the key to the issue (of supplying power at the government mandated rate of Rs 2.30 an unit and staying profitable)," says one analyst.

It isn't over yet?

Well, nothing ever is until the fat lady sings.


INDEPENDENCE
Diesel At Rs 7 Less

Reliance diesel: It costs the same, says the firm

The all India Motor Transport Congress (AIMTC) has an interesting complaint to make, that Reliance Petroleum sells diesel to trucks registered in Delhi, in Mumbai, at Delhi rates, some Rs 7 less than what the fuel costs in the city (immediately attracting business from the thousands of trucks that ply from Delhi to Mumbai). The association is aware that the company is free to do as it pleases (the pricing can be explained away as a discount). Its real grouse is that public sector firms that dominate the country's petrol and diesel distribution network do not do the same. "If Reliance can afford to sell diesel at this rate, why not the PSUs?," asks J.M. Saksena, Advisor, AIMTC. Then, a Reliance Petroleum spokesperson denies that the company is doing any of this.


ADVANCE BOOKING
The Early Bird

Happiness explained: They already have jobs

It is only a matter of time before anyone who has just been granted admission into an engineering school receives perhaps by the same mail that brought the good tidings, a letter of offer from a tech firm provided the candidate manages to finish the course by a certain time and with a certain level of proficiency. Such is the demand for tech jocks that Cognizant Technology Solutions has already 'hired' 500 students of Chennai's premier Anna University an entire year before they graduate. "Business is picking up and our hiring will keep pace based on demand," says R. Chandrashekharan, Managing Director, Cognizant, deftly side-stepping the issue of hiring young. Well, if the offshoring boom lasts (there is no reason it shouldn't) hires will get progressively younger.


POTTERMANIA
July 16 Fundamentals

Three days after this magazine hits the newsstands, the sixth book, the penultimate one in the Harry Potter series is to be released. In India, where publishers consider themselves fortunate if an English language best-seller manages to clock 5,000 copies, advance orders for the book number 130,000. "It has more than doubled since the last one," says P.M. Sukumar, Senior Vice President, Sales and Marketing, Penguin India, the company that has the trade rights to distribute the Bloomsbury edition. And Scholastic India will distribute copies of the book to some 5,000 schools across India. India may account for a mere 2 per cent of the estimated sales of the book, but Penguin is taking no chances with "guards in Penguin- and distributor-locations" according to Sukumar. The boy-wizard, who celebrates his birthday on July 16, has earned it.

 

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