India's
recent economic performance and vast potential for future growth
makes it one of the great and growing markets for aviation. But
economic performance and aviation are closely linked and a thriving
air transport sector is vital to unleashing India's full potential.
Globally, the aviation industry generates
$2.9 trillion (Rs 1,30,50,000 crore) in economic activity and
supports 29 million jobs, according to a recent study commissioned
by the Air Transport Action Group. Airlines connect people to
business, tourists to destinations and products to markets on
a global scale. It connects regions within nations, overcoming
land transport deficiencies. It provides substantial social benefits
by giving access to remote areas and as a fundamental mechanism
for effective humanitarian relief, as witnessed following the
tragedies of the Indian Ocean tsunami and the Kashmiri earthquake.
Right now, the Indian airline sector is vibrant.
Indian carriers placed over $12 billion (Rs 54,000 crore) in new
aircraft orders at this year's Paris Air Show. Air-India, Jet
Airways and Indian (Airlines) all posted profits last year. The
number of carriers operating in India has grown from two state-owned
players in 1991 to 11 today. And another four carriers are set
to start operations soon.
Traffic is buoyant. IATA (International Air
Transport Association) member carriers' forecast for India projects
international passenger traffic growth of 8.4 per cent annually
between now and 2009. Adding in domestic traffic, that figure
comes close to 12 per cent. Freight is no different. The Indian
market for international freight is expected to grow by nearly
10 per cent annually over the next five years. Both measures rank
India among the fastest growing markets for air transport.
Generally, air transport grows at twice the
rate of GDP. With Indian GDP expected to expand at 7.2 per cent
between 2005 and 2009, we expect growth in the 15 per cent range.
However, the Indian market still faces a large degree of catch
up. In 2004, India's airlines were ranked 20 by International
Civil Aviation Organization in terms of total passenger and cargo
tonne-kilometres, lower even than Luxembourg.
Another example is tourism. Some 40 per cent
of international tourists travel by air. According to the World
Travel & Tourism Council, international tourists account for
a quarter of the annual $3 trillion (Rs 1,35,00,000 crore) global
tourism spend. India has enormous tourism potential. And the markets
of West Asia, South East Asia and East Asia are among the most
buoyant. Yet, India's airports handle just over 14 million passengers.
Compare that to Thailand or Singapore, both of which handle well
over 20 million passengers. Clearly, there is much unexploited
tourism potential.
Safety is the number one priority. And
it is an underlying element for sustainable growth. India's
record on safety is good, but constant attention and efforts
are needed |
How do we unlock India's massive potential?
The airlines are moving fast. Government policy, especially on
liberalisation, is moving in the right direction. The open bilateral
with Sri Lanka has shown the benefits of allowing market forces
to work.
However, let me highlight three challenges
that could put at risk the government's excellent aviation policy
initiatives:
- Enhanced safety;
- Cost-efficient improvement of infrastructure;
and
- Reasonable taxation
If these are handled correctly, the positive
economic impact on India will be great.
Safety is the number one priority. And it
is an underlying element for sustainable growth. India's record
on safety is good, but constant attention and efforts are needed.
As part of our commitment to safety, IATA and its members developed
the IATA Operational Safety Audit (IOSA)-the first global standard
for airline operational safety management. In just over two years,
IOSA has become the industry standard. Globally, over 140 airlines
will be in the IOSA process by the end of 2005. That represents
70 per cent of scheduled international traffic. Jet Airways and
Air-India are among them. Importantly, all the IATA airlines are
committed to the IOSA programme.
Regulators around the world have been quick
to see the benefits of IOSA. US carriers, for example, can submit
IOSA results to their regulator to demonstrate the operational
safety level of their code-share partners. We are already working
with the governments of Egypt, Chile and Jordan to help make IOSA
a condition of the certification process. As the size of India's
air transport sector expands, global standards will be critical.
IOSA is a tool available to the government to help enhance India's
safety oversight programme.
Indian airport and airspace capacity are
far behind the expansion that airlines have made. The 2002-2004
moratorium on major capital expenditure at India's airports has
taken its toll on already overused infrastructure. Mumbai airport
is the most critical. At the best of times, capacity is capped
at about 28 movements per hour. A recent runway overrun caused
havoc at the airport for four days. We need to find some quick
fixes to bring capacity at India's largest financial centre to
over 40 movements per hour. It is encouraging to hear that efforts
to upgrade the airport are being made and that a greenfield airport
site is also being seriously considered.
Airspace is another area of concern. Already,
congestion around airports is causing severe and chronic delays.
These inconvenience travellers, drive up costs and do nothing
to demonstrate efficiency to incoming visitors and investors.
Again, there are some quick fix technology solutions that could
be implemented. For example, if an arrival delay is anticipated
even before an aircraft takes off, then why not hold the aircraft
on the ground until a touchdown time can be guaranteed? It won't
solve the delay problem, but with minimal cost, such a solution
will help to mitigate some of the costs of delays.
These problems will become more acute once
the new aircraft take to India's skies. As for the solution, quite
frankly, the bottom line is cost efficiency. Airlines, airports
and air traffic control are partners. Together, we are the gateway
for tourism and investment. A cost-efficient welcome for travellers
and businessmen will go a long way towards facilitating further
sound economic growth.
To gain the full economic benefit of aviation,
India needs a common sense approach to taxation. Any taxes or
charges that are collected should be transparent and are reinvested
in the sector. Measures such as the recently imposed 10.2 per
cent service tax fee on landing and airport and air navigation
fees reduce India's competitiveness and limit the wider economic
benefits that air transport can provide. Policy makers need to
understand the long-term impacts of such misguided policies.
Success does not happen by chance. India
has done a great job of freeing the commercial forces to create
what is one of the most vibrant markets for air services in the
world. Now, it is time to take the next step. The challenge is
to turn this great start and energy into a long-term policy that
harnesses the vast economic impact of efficient air transport.
If done well, the positive effects will be felt throughout India's
economy for decades to come.
The author is Director General
and CEO of IATA
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