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The
role of markets in the development of economies and societies
is significantly under-appreciated and misunderstood. The general
impression is that markets are only for the rich, and hit the
vulnerable sections of the society adversely. In my opinion, to
the contrary, markets are an essential institution for development
and the longevity of that development. This has been vindicated
across generations and across geographies-the countries with the
highest GDPs and highest per capita GDPs have well-developed markets
and well-developed regulations. Even resource-rich countries without
developed markets have ended up with poor economic fundamentals
in the long run as witnessed in West Asia until recently. This
is now well recognised the world over, and, hence, barriers to
trade, capital and skills are coming down in this new era of globalisation,
which has resulted in higher productivity, higher consumption,
higher prosperity, lower poverty; and has controlled inflation
in a benign range-much to the relief of the poor sections of society.
Markets bring about structural changes in
the economy. One of the reasons that Communism did not sustain
was the absence of free market mechanism to achieve efficient
allocation of capital. Markets empower creative destruction, whereby
the inefficient units are destroyed by the advent of more efficient
and innovative units. Markets enhance competitiveness in an economy
by reducing barriers to entry and by allowing better price discovery.
Markets make sharing of risks, pricing of risks and transfer of
risks possible. Markets empower entrepreneurship by providing
capital and risk taking ability.
The oft discussed and debated economic liberalisation
programme in India to me means:
- Customer is King; Achieved by competition
and adequate supply
- Efficient allocation of capital; The primary
function of the capital markets
- Government to exit the business of running
businesses; The elusive phenomenon of privatisation.
To my mind, the crux and heart of the liberalisation
programme is the development and the supreme role of markets achieved
either by having formal markets, or the supremacy of the market
mechanism. As a corollary, the term markets should include not
only the organised markets, but encompass a wider perspective
of markets, a laissez-faire environment without government interference.
Even in the absence of a formal market, government participation
in business leads to sub-optimal business environment.
Most people have an adverse bias towards
equity markets as being speculative and a gambling den. Little
are they aware that they are desecrating the temples of capitalism |
A relevant example of futile government interference
in the market mechanism was its attempt to revive the sick textile
mills in the country under the banner of National Textiles Corporation
(NTC). Twenty-five years and Rs 5,000 crore later, we have not
only not succeeded in reviving the sick mills, but have also offered
unfair competition to the healthy mills; in the process damaging
the entire industry. "NTC has no future unless the government
gets out of it completely," says T.S.R. Subramanium, former
Cabinet and Textile Secretary. We have not only been unable to
protect jobs, but I think we have stifled the prospects of one
of India's largest industries and destroyed many job creation
opportunities. This is a prime example of interference with the
market mechanism of creative destruction. The same can be said
of the jute industry, too.
Markets can be efficient only when we realise
their importance and consciously make them an institution. Institutional
frameworks for markets enhance the longevity of the wealth creation
process. In their absence, we breed complacency, inefficiency
and wastage. For example, we all know the challenges to the consumer
and the stunted growth in the telecom sector till the state had
a monopoly. But once a fair policy framework and regulation by
TRAI (Telecom Regulatory Authority of India) were in place, we
are now adding more mobile subscribers per month than China.
India's growth and growth potential are also
influenced by its markets. All barriers and constraints to markets
have resulted in wrong allocation of resources, inefficiency,
lost opportunities and incentives to vested interests. We have
seen dramatic improvements in areas where markets have developed
and are transparent, efficient and have effective regulation.
Finance is the fuel that fires all furnaces.
Financial markets and financial eco-systems are the most crucial
markets for an economy, though the least understood and appreciated.
Most people have an adverse bias towards equity markets as being
speculative and a gambling den. Little are they aware that they
are desecrating the temples of capitalism that ensure efficient
allocation of capital and provide risk capital for entrepreneurs.
One of the primary reasons for the cutting-edge innovation and
scalability of us corporations is the availability of risk capital
and an environment for exits for those who fund the risk capital
primarily because of the development of equity markets.
Take the case of India's equity markets.
There is a sea change over the last decade. With electronic anonymous
order book trading, dematerialisation, enhanced corporate governance
and robust, but fair regulation, the liquidity, breadth and scalability
of Indian equity markets have leapfrogged. This change in the
markets has enabled India to attract more than $9 billion (Rs
40,500 crore) of net FII (foreign institutional investor) investments
in 2005. Moreover, the effective distribution of mutual funds
has started playing a vital role in helping to channel incremental
domestic savings into equities. Today, India has a culture of
and environment for providing risk capital, especially as Indian
markets can provide exit opportunities for sizeable capital, which
encourages private equity and venture capital investments. This
has laid an effective foundation for the provision of capital
to Indian entrepreneurs-so vital for the secular growth of India.
India needs to arrive at a consensus to
make labour more moblie and productive by not unnecessarily
protecting jobs. This is most vital to achieve double-digit
economic growth |
On the other hand, where markets have failed
to develop well, the respective economies have borne a high cost
for the same. India has a very thin and illiquid debt market for
government securities as well as bonds. This has led to an implicit
illiquidity premium being embedded in the yields. The futile attempt
to prop the Japanese banking sector has resulted in a prolonged
quagmire in the country's economy, as its banking system's weakness
has been transmitted to the rest of the economy. In Japan, the
process of creative destruction was stifled and, hence, the economic
weakness persisted for nearly two decades.
Steel prices in India had skyrocketed, but
since no artificial controls were enforced, increased supply by
imports and by domestic capacity expansion has resulted in bringing
down the prices subsequently. It is true that increase in prices
hurt, but the hike also attracts fresh supply, which eventually
brings down prices. Banning of short-selling has made equity markets
more vulnerable. The futile attempts of pricing kerosene at a
subsidised rate is unfortunately leading to adulteration of fuels
across the country by mixing kerosene with diesel.
Lack of labour reform, which will bring about
labour flexibility, may act as a protector of labour that is already
employed, but acts as a deterrent for further employment and,
hence, leads to lesser opportunities for the poorest sections
of the economy. One of the reasons that the US has one of the
lowest unemployment rates in the world is the laissez-faire nature
of its labour markets. We Indians need to really think about this
aspect and arrive at a consensus as to how we can make labour
more mobile and productive by not unnecessarily protecting jobs.
This is the most vital requirement for India to achieve double-digit
economic growth, manufacturing competitiveness and for providing
jobs to the crores of young Indians ready to enter the job market.
One of the most vital reasons for the lack
of a second Green Revolution in India is the constant government
interference in all aspects of agriculture, be it land supply,
agricultural inputs, pricing/selling mechanisms etc. Lack of organised
markets restricts opportunities. Artificial price setting distorts
the free market mechanism and leads to inefficient resource allocation.
The minimum support price (MSP) for wheat and rice results in
imbalance of cropping area patterns to the detriment of other
vital crops. Fertiliser subsidies result in imbalanced use of
urea compared to other fertilisers and, hence, lead to structural
deterioration of soil. The APMC (Agriculture Produce Market Committee)
markets result in prejudicial pricing and lead to throttling of
the price discovery process. The regulatory inhibitions of allowing
corporates to participate in primary agriculture has led to a
paucity of value-added downstream agricultural output in spite
of being one of the largest producers of fruits and vegetables.
Due to unavailability of market mechanism for movement of agricultural
output, appropriate supply-chains have not been built. In spite
of the Ricardian Theory of International Trade, the US and the
EU are inflexible on agricultural subsidies, which are restricting
global agreements on free trade.
If one has to conceive a utopian situation,
where there is great faith in the free market mechanism and a
commitment to ensure longevity to the wealth creation process
in an economy, the following factors are a condition precedent
to the stated goal of efficient markets:
- Free markets with low entry barriers and
low exit barriers;
- Homogeneous/standardised tradable products/units;
- Efficient information dissemination;
- Effective price discovery mechanism;
- Suitable financing mechanisms for market
participants;
- Systems for risk management, and prevention
of malpractices;
- Effective Multi-dimensional Regulation;
and
- Crisis Management plans.
We must remember what Raghuram Rajan says
in his book Saving Capitalism from the Capitalists: "Markets
are not just a tool for the rich, they make opportunities available
to all sections of the society." He gives a powerful example
of the difference micro-credit makes to a labour woman in Bangladesh,
and how, in the absence of a free market mechanism to deliver
micro-credit, she is exploited. Contrast this with the example
of easy access of funds to a student in the US from a search fund
that enables him to create significant wealth for himself. If
India can create an efficient model for delivery of micro-credit
at market-determined rates, we will see a revolution in India.
In summary, we as a society, and especially
our polity, have to realise that markets are like the weather-we
may not like them, but we have to bear them. The liberalisation
of the 1990s is now bearing fruit, and we must continue on the
path to reforms. Markets are the ultimate levellers, and always
have self-correcting mechanisms. The development of markets and
market mechanisms is the primary manner by which the spirit of
enterprise of India's talented and skilled people will be unleashed.
This, in my opinion, is the paramount need for India to win the
war against poverty and for the country to be an economic superpower.
We must appreciate and respect the market mechanism.
The author is Partner of Rare Enterprises
Ltd and a stock market investor
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