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JUNE 4, 2006
 Cover Story
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Trade With Neighbour
Bilateral trade between Pakistan and India almost doubled to cross the $1-billion mark last year. The $400-million increase in the year ending March 2006 was attributed to the launch of a South Asian Free Trade Area Agreement (SAFTA) and the opening of rail and road links. A look at the growth prospects between the two countries.


BRIC Vs The Rest
The BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) nations should surpass current world leaders in the next few decades if they do not let politics prevail over economic issues. Experts caution that despite the vigorous growth, BRIC countries are vulnerable to losing direct foreign investment due to excessive government control and lack of clear rules for the private sector.
More Net Specials
Business Today,  May 21, 2006
 
 
BT SPECIAL
Stay Local Or Go National?

If the retail game is all about economies of scale, what happens to small regional players? Answer: They won't just survive, but thrive.

SUBHIKSHA'S SUBRAMANIAN
His no-frills approach seeks to gain critical mass in one region before moving on to the next

In less than a decade, R. Subramanian has turned his no-frills retail outfit, Subhiksha, into a 183-store chain with Rs 332 crore in annual revenues. And he's done that by restricting himself to largely Tamil Nadu (140 stores), although Subhiksha has stores also in Bangalore and Hyderabad (30 and 13, respectively). Yes, he does have plans for cities such as Delhi and Mumbai, but Subramanian would rather gain critical mass in one region before moving to the next. "At some level, economies of scale are more in dominating a region than in having a mediocre presence across multiple regions," he explains. Put simply, that means a 50 per cent share in one region is better than 10 per cent share each in five different regions.

Subramanian, who intends to have at least 2,500 stores in another five years, isn't the only regional retailer staying put in and around the base state. All his peers-including durables retailer Viveks, supermarket chain Nilgiri's and Trinethra-have similar plans (see Regional Giants). Viveks, for instance, plans to add 100 stores to the 53 it already has, but primarily in southern India (although it does have a five-year pan-India plan). Nilgiri's, which has revenues of Rs 275 crore coming from four self-owned and 28 franchisee stores, will open 80 to 95 stores over the next three years, but once again in the home state of TN, and neighbouring Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh. Ditto Trinethra, which was sold to private equity firm India Value Fund Advisors by its original promoter, Anjaneyulu Kakkera. The 127-store Trinethra plans to touch 200, but only in Andhra, Karnataka and TN. Kakkera has gone on to float a hypermarket chain called Magna, which also intends to stay focussed initially on the five states of Andhra, Karnataka, TN, Maharashtra and Delhi. Again, a pan-India presence is on the cards, but not for the next three to five years, reveals Kakkera.

There are good reasons for retailers not wanting to stretch themselves thin. One is, of course, the differences in regional preferences and tastes. Did you know, for instance, that rice eaters in the South prefer the ponni variety, while those in the North like the long-grained and aromatic basmati? "Five years ago, the share of branded products (in store sales) was around 30 per cent. Now, it is 50 per cent," says C. Gopalakrishnan, Managing Director of Nilgiri's, implying how store-owned brands better match local preferences.

REGIONAL GIANTS
The regional players want to build their presence in neighbouring states before venture out nationally.
SUBHIKSHA
Existing Operations: 140 stores in Tamil Nadu, but has made a soft launch in Bangalore (30 stores) and Hyderabad (13 stores).
Revenues: About Rs 332 crore. Does roughly Rs 2 crore per store per annum.
Growth Plans: To go national, but in a regional way, working in each region as a regional player. Is opening in Delhi/NCR, Gujarat and Mumbai, besides adding stores in Andhra Pradesh and Bangalore. Over the next 12 months, would be opening a large number of stores (maybe 750-800). Five years from now, plans on having at least 2,500-3,000 stores.
Funding Plans: Has already raised Rs 150 crore by way of equity and debt.

VIVEKS
Existing Operations: Has 53 stores spread across Tamil Nadu and Karnataka, with over 222,000 sq. ft of retail space, supported by three warehouses of over 58,000 sq. ft. Has stores in 19 cities and towns, and under three different brands: Viveks, Jainsons and Premier.
Revenues: More than Rs 300 crore. Expects to touch a turnover of Rs 1,000 crore in another five years.
Growth Plans: Looking to grow initially in South India, followed by other regions, leading eventually to a pan-India presence. Broadening categories to include computers, digital cameras and telecom products.
Funding Plans: To tap either private equity investors or retail investors, besides debt and internal accruals, to fund the Rs 125 crore it will need to add another 100 stores over the next three years.

NILGIRI'S
Existing Operations: Four supermarkets run by the promoter family. Those apart, there are 28 franchisee outlets spread across Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Pondicherry, Kochi and Andhra Pradesh.
Revenues: Rs 275 crore in 2005-06 and expects to do more than Rs 350 crore in 2006-07.
Growth Plans: Over the next three years, to add 25 to 30 stores in Karnataka, 35 to 40 stores in Tamil Nadu and 20 to 25 stores in Andhra Pradesh.
Funding Plans: Evaluating various options, but is most likely to rope in a strategic investor soon.

TRINETHRA
Existing Operations: 127 outlets (including 14 in Chennai and 25 in Bangalore-previously these were of Fabmall).
Revenues: Rs 190 crore
Growth Plans: To focus on South India first rather than be thinly spread nationally. The goal is to reach 200 stores in Andhra, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu by March 2007. In November last year, it entered Chennai. Is today adding four to five stores per month in Chennai and Bangalore.
Funding Plans: The retailer is largely owned (over 75 per cent) by India Value Fund Advisors, a private equity firm. Therefore, a strategic sale may not be too far in the future.

VIVEKS' KODANDARAMA SETTY
The consumer electronics retailer sees consumer loyalty as its pay-off in being wedded to a broad region

For a retailer, achieving economies of scale in purchase while customising products to fit the profile of different stores will be expensive and cumbersome, if not impossible. Why? Because any large retail chain operates on a hub-and-spoke model, and being in, say, four different regions would mean creating four hubs without any guarantee of four-fold increase in revenues. Says Subramanian: "Mindless expansion is not the answer. Regional retailers need to understand their strengths and dig deeper within their region, but they could expand horizontally into more categories."

While that may be true in the case of a supermarket, does a consumer electronics and durables retailer like Viveks need to worry about regional preferences too? "Various studies and consumer surveys have revealed that consumers tend to trust our name more than the brand itself," says B.A. Kodandarama Setty, Chairman and Managing Director of Viveks.

As Kavil Ramachandran, Professor of Entrepreneurship at the Hyderabad-based Indian School of Business says, the entry of bigger players will mean changes, "but with growing consumerism and sharp regional preferences, both big chains and regional players can co-exist". After all, retailers aren't dealing with one India, but multiple Indias.

West In East
Foreign retailers are happy to have a limited presence in the country, until regulations and market growth allow them to expand.

PREMIUM POSITIONING
Retailers like Mango (left) and Tommy Hilfiger have a limited market for their high-priced products in a nation that has just 6 million rich households
Mango, a Spanish retailer of women's fashion clothing, has been in India for almost five years now, and guess how many stores it has in the country? A measly three, with one each in Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore. Marks & Spencer (M&S), one of UK's best-known retailers selling everything from foods to apparel to financial services, has a bigger presence in India, but only sells clothes and that too through nine stores, although it has been around for five years too. So why aren't foreign retailers like Mango and M&S expanding faster in the country. One reason is, of course, that they were not allowed until very recently to invest directly in retail. So both of them work through franchisees: Mango has Major Brands India and M&S, Planet Sports, where Pantaloon Retail's Kishore Biyani owns a 49 per cent share.

The other reason-and the bigger of the two-is the nature of the market itself. According to an Ernst & Young report on Indian retail, there are 209 million households, of which just 6 million are considered 'rich'-that is, having an annual income of over $4,700, or Rs 2,11,500. More than half of these 'rich' families live in Delhi, Mumbai and Bangalore, and spend around $18 billion (Rs 81,000 crore) each year. Given that prices of clothes at Mango and M&S start at an average Rs 600-750 for T-shirts and tops, and Rs 1,000 for formal shirts, there aren't too many people outside the metros who can afford shopping at these retailers. Says Isak Halfon, Head (Expansion), Mango: "Mango offers fashion-quality products to its clients, and that naturally positions the brand in a reduced segment of customers who are familiar with the brand and can afford it."

Elsewhere in the world, Mango, which has 750 stores in 73 countries, is an affordable mass market brand. So why is Mango positioned as a premium brand in India? Again, the reason has to do with the limited size of the market. Explains Asitava Sen, Principal Consultant, PricewaterhouseCoopers: "The scale of operations is an issue. They cannot do local sourcing because of the low scale and, therefore, end up charging a premium for their products." Besides, why would this cream of Indian consumers buy a made-in-India Mango or m&s when it can shop for their clothes on any of their foreign trips? Says Suresh Bhatia, Director (Major Brands), the Mango franchisee: "In India duty structures are high and, therefore, things are costlier."

Yet, not only will more foreign retailers enter India, but the existing ones will expand. Mango plans to open five to seven stores over the next two years; M&S hopes to roll out 50 new stores by 2011; and a host of others-ranging from Starbucks to Home Depot to Ikea to Tesco-is tying up their entry plans. Says Sen: "They are all interested in going to a market where the growth potential is huge. In the next 10 years, they will have a chance to expand at their will." For most of the foreign retailers, not being in India is not an option.

 

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