Here
are some statistics-a price-earning (p-e) ratio of around 18,
price-to-book value (p-b) ratio of 4, 20 million shares traded
every day with a traded value in excess of Rs 1,000 crore, and
a collective market capitalisation that is a whopping Rs 12 lakh
crore.
That's quite a stunning set of stats. And
for investors who are watching the market keenly as it does its
Tarzan-like swings from low to high, and who are tracking p-e
ratios and reigning market caps on Dalal Street, these figures
certainly signify a mouth-watering opportunity.
And just what do the figures represent? They
are the governing numbers for the basket of 30 stocks that comprise
the Sensex, the index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). Over
half-a-dozen Sensex companies are listed on American exchanges
and many others have an international presence in terms of exports
or overseas acquisitions. What else? Well, for one, since the
index is a market cap weighted index, they are the most actively
traded stocks in the market and account for about half the BSE's
market capitalisation. And for another, they represent about a
dozen economic sectors and are the top dogs in their respective
industries. Plus, Sensex stocks by definition are the most liquid
and safe stocks going.
Sensex stocks are chosen scientifically from
every industry under the sun, based on daily turnover, market
capitalisation, industry segment and other parameters, covering
every industry from commodities to banking and telecom and it.
In fact, you don't have to worry about underperformers or fading
stars, as the selected 30 are reviewed every quarter, with the
ones failing to meet key parameters weeded out (see New On The
Block).
Window Of Opportunity
If these are such a premium lot, it stands
to reason they are also the most expensive stocks going. So, why
are we talking about them at all if they are not even affordable?
That's because today (July 7) the Sensex is at 10,509 points,
that's down 17 per cent from its all-time high of 12,671 points
on May 11. At this level, some of these pricey stocks offer the
best stock picking bets if you are in a mood for deep-sea-fishing.
Aditya Birla Group's Hindalco is down 36 per cent, Anil Ambani's
utility major Reliance Energy has seen a 28 per cent erosion in
market price while state-owned oil major ONGC has lost 31 per
cent since May 11.
If this does not sound like a buying opportunity,
we don't know what will. For investors seeking a long-term play
immune to short-term volatility, one of the best strategies available
would be to buy into these deeply discounted blue-blooded stocks.
"The India story is irreversible. It's time to enter into
fundamentally good stocks with a two to three year time horizon,"
says R. Swaminathan, National Head (Mutual Fund), IDBI Capital
Market Services. However, play it cautiously. Just being a Sensex
stock or quoting at a discount does not make for a buy. Asit Koticha,
Managing Director and Chief Investment Officer, ask Raymond James,
advises investors to approach financial advisors before buying.
"Some stocks may look cheap today but not all of them will
meet your expectations," he warns.
Sensex Stars
Why these stocks add value to
a portfolio. |
»
Country's best managed companies with professional
management
» Diversified
stocks covering all major industries
» Consistent
dividend payments and bonus offers
» High
liquidity; you can sell when you want
» High
level of transparency; information easily available on websites/newspapers
» Highly
researched; every stock broking firm covers them with buy,
sell or hold alerts
» Affordability;
thanks to demat, you can buy even one share
» High
level of institutional interest, from both domestic and foreign
funds |
Oranges And Apples
Let's first get the facts straight for the
lay investor. Index stocks carry different face values and are
hence not comparable on the market price parameter. Take, for
instance, the stock price of Infosys, Wipro and TCS. The three
are not comparable because the face values of the shares are different.
TCS at Rs 1,729 is not cheaper than Infosys priced at Rs 3,076
because Infosys shares have a face value of Rs 5 while TCS shares
have the lowest face value of Re 1 per share among all it companies.
The Wipro stock has a face value of Rs 2. On the other hand, there
are many old economy stocks like acc and Bajaj Auto that have
a face value of Rs 10 per share. In fact, the lower face value
of some stocks makes them more affordable. And you should also
note that the dividend is always paid on face value.
Another plus today: the demat facility puts
all shares within your reach. If you look at it purely from the
price angle, you can buy one share of Infosys, the most expensive
share in the Sensex at Rs 3,076 or one share of Gujarat Ambuja,
the cheapest at Rs 97.
Your Own Index
But before taking the plunge, get your investment
strategy in place. In the market, as they say, something that
is reasonable and within reach is not necessarily a good buy.
"Buy companies in different sectors and buy in a staggered
manner," suggests Swaminathan. If you are upset by the fact
that buying into systematic investment plans of mutual funds now
entails paying entry loads of 1.5-2 per cent every month, then
it's time you started your own investing plan. The time is right
to create a portfolio of your own in a systematic manner.
Sector-wise
If one looks at Sensex stocks, commodities
(under correction mode) and banking (interest rate uncertainty)
look a bit unpredictable. "However, engineering stocks may
reverse the tide as they are not directly impacted by either oil
or interest rates. Growing infrastructure investment will help
improve their order books," says Koticha. In the engineering
pack, the Sensex has L&T and BHEL, both available at sharp
discounts to their May 11 prices. Similarly, software stocks like
Infosys, Wipro and TCS are not much impacted by the uncertainty
over oil prices and interest rates. |