FEBRUARY 3, 2002
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Auto-Expo 2002
A lot of the big names were missing. Just the same, people came, saw, and drooled over the hot-rods at the biennial automotive fest in New Delhi. A desperate industry even roped in stars to add glamour to metal. Click here for a review of the show.

Show Me The Money
It seems the Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha is going to have a tough time balancing the government's books this fiscal end. Estimates of gross tax collections for the period April-December 2001, point to a shortfall. Unless the kitty makes up in the last quarter, the fiscal situation will turn precarious.
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Is OTC For Real?
It may be Indian pharma's next great gold rush. What's fuelling the frenzied rush by drug makers to make a play for the Rs 2,500-crore OTC market?
MOREPEN LABORATORIES
,
Chairman and Managing Director
Launched a subsidiary, Dr Morepen, and kicked off a media blitz. Focus is on vitamins, supplements, and muscle-builders. A new product category--fast-moving health goods--has also been created.

It's a metaphor that purveyors of medicines aren't going to like, but in recent months Indian pharma companies have rushed into a new terrain with the die-hard determination and hope of 19th century gold-diggers in California. A swathe of drug firms is pinning its hopes for growth on a three-letter abbreviation, OTC. That acronym stands for over-the-counter products, and the drug makers are expecting a boom in this market as a growing breed of economically active Indians become pill-poppers. The market for non-prescription OTC drugs is valued at Rs 1,800 crore and is growing at 15 per cent. Add to that ayurvedic, herbal, and homeopathic drugs (all of them OTC products) and bingo, you have a Rs 2,500-crore market.

No wonder drug companies-from old established Indian players to MNCs to more recent first-generation enterprises-are getting hyperactive about it. A big market size isn't the only lure that's triggering the rush. Big profit is the other one. Drug firms can earn margins as high as 50 per cent in OTC products-double that of traditional prescription drugs, says Aditya Sanghi, Director (Strategic Advisory), Rabo India Finance, a corporate bank that specialises in pharma and biotech funding.

That explains the bullish mood at drug firms across the industry. The 127-year-old Delhi-headquartered Dabur India, which owns two of India's biggest and oldest OTC brands (Chyavanprash, a health supplement, and Hajmola, a digestive), is now trying to leverage its traditional strengths in ayurveda to come up with new OTC winners. Says Vivek Burman, Dabur's Chairman: ''The drug market is going through a disastrous phase, but as soon as the market picks up, it's the OTC segment that'll do phenomenally well.''

RANBAXY
, MD & CEO
Doing research on a host of herbal remedies in the segment, besides digestives and pain management medicines. The company intends to launch its OTC range in the next six-to-eight months.
SKBCH (SOUTH ASIA)
, Chairman
Possesses strong OTC brands like lodex and Eno, but faces severe competition from rivals. The company plans to storm the market with a slew of fever and pain-reducing, and even ayurvedic, products.
DABUR
, Chairman
Banks of Chayavanprash and Hajmola--two of the biggest and oldest OTC brands in India. Plans to leverage its traditional strengths in ayurveda to come up with new winners in the OTC segment.
RECKITT BENCKISER
, Managing Director
A laggard so far in the over-the-counter market, the company may be on its way to the big league with its Disprin brand having already hogged around one-eighth of the analgesic market.
NICHOLAS PIRAMAL
, Director
Plans to add more OTC brands through acquisitions to its already considerable stable of products. Sees Boots Piramal, its venture with Boots UK, as the main vehicle for growth in the segment.
HIMALAYA DRUG COMPANY
, President & CEO
Pushing its rechristened Himalaya brand. Consolidating all soft health, body care, skin care, and hair care products sold under Ayurvedic Concepts lable into its new umbrella corporate brand--Himalaya.

In Bangalore, the 71-year-old Himalaya Drug Company, best known for its Liv 52 formulation, is promoting the rechristened Himalaya brand, consolidating its soft health, body care, skin care, and hair care products that were earlier sold as the Ayurvedic Concepts brand under its new umbrella corporate brand-Himalaya. In Delhi, the Rs 500-crore Morepen Laboratories has set up a subsidiary, Dr Morepen, to push ahead with its high-decibel re-entry into the OTC market. Says Chairman and Managing Director Sushil Suri: ''There is a great potential for products like vitamins, supplements, muscle builders, products for pregnant women, and multi-vitamins-so we've created a category between OTC and FMCG called Fast Moving Health Goods,'' says Suri.

A Survival Strategy

Behind the frenzied rush into the OTC market is another more fundamental reason. In less than three years, from 2005 onwards, India will have to meet the WTO requirements of following 'product patents'. Many Indian drug firms that are today exploiting the patent loopholes by simply engineering a different process for the same product will then be hit hard. The only mode of survival for them would be to invest in basic research. But apart from being risky and having a high failure rate, the fact is that pharma research is also an expensive affair. Even Indian heavyweights like Ranbaxy and Dr Reddy's only manage to divert 4-5 per cent of their sales towards research whereas internationally, companies need to spend at least 10 per cent. An analyst likens basic research to a rabbit hole. ''You can come up with a prize catch, but equally probable is the chance of being bitten by a snake.''

Not surprisingly, most pharma companies aren't ready to bet their future on research. And although the over-the-counter route isn't cheap-marketing and promotions for a new product can cost a packet-the results do seem more tangible. Says Suri, ''With the right kind of research and analysis, which studies factors like lifestyle patterns, stress levels, work environment, and eating habits, it is possible to accurately map consumer tastes and preferences to a high degree of accuracy.''

Peddling drugs

Curiously, there's no accurate definition yet for what constitutes an OTC drug. In practice, any drug that does not fall within the purview of the government's prescribed schedules-G, H or X-is de facto a drug that can be sold over-the-counter at any retail outlet. These could be health tonics, pain relievers, antacids, cough and cold remedies, vitalisers, and even skin care products.

Given such an environment, it's not surprising that drug makers have embarked on a no-holds-barred marketing shindig to push their products. Turning conventional pharmaceuticals marketing on its head, OTC companies are splurging on advertising, using innovative marketing channels, spawning brand extensions, and hiring FMCG managers. Recently, Dr Morepen launched a high visibility multi-media blitzkrieg, which included prime-time TV ads, radio jingles, and outdoor hoardings. ''Around a fifth of our first year's sales target of Rs 20 crore shall go towards brand-building exercises,'' says Morepen's Suri. Rival Dabur, which used elephants and dropped pamphlets from planes at a time when mass advertising was virtually unknown, is today counting on contemporary concepts like segmentation, brand extension, hidden sustainability, and life-long usage for a slice of the pie.

All this need for publicity has meant that previously ''non-existent'' advertising budgets have ballooned. Says Jamshed Desai, Head (Research) at Taib Securities: ''Advertising costs, which typically are around 3-4 per cent of sales for prescription drugs can go up to 8-9 per cent for OTC drugs.'' Himalaya Drug Company, for example, will be diverting 30 per cent of its expected sales turnover of Rs 39 crore from the OTC division, towards advertising expenses. Other companies, like Dr Morepen, are changing the rules of the game trying out new distribution channels. For its OTC products, Dr Morepen is organising health carnivals and health runs, where the consumer will be introduced to its range. DTH (direct-to-home) may be a buzzword more popularly associated with television broadcasters, but that's exactly what drug companies are trying to do although they are loath to admit it. The aim: bypass the doctor and go directly to the consumer.

It's not surprising to find drug marketers mimicking the strategies of FMCG marketers. Nicholas Piramal, which has over the years built up an arsenal of OTC brands like Saridon, Aspro, and Lactocalamine, mainly through acquisitions, plans to go in for more. The main vehicle for its growth will be the joint venture with Boots UK-Boots Piramal. The Indian partner will be hiking its stake from 40 per cent to 49 per cent and will get access to Boots' international portfolio of brands, which include Strepsils and Clearasil. Of Piramal's Rs 900-crore pharma sales, OTC accounts for Rs 70-80 crore, which is barely 8 per cent, but coo Vijay Shah wants to grow that by at least 30 per cent every year.

A Growing Habit

What should be heartening for drug makers is that pill popping is on the rise. Compared to the $50-billion global OTC market, which is growing at 5 per cent, the demand for OTC products in India is growing three times faster. And the biggest potential is in remedies for coughs, cold and allergy, analgesics and vitamin-mineral supplements. That's where the rush is too. Along with the established companies, there are several newcomers eyeing the OTC market. Like the Ahmedabad-based Paras Pharma, which offers similar products, but at lower prices than say MNC drug makers. Says Jamshed Desai of Taib Securities: ''With predatory pricing and high-decibel advertising, it is possible to generate demand pull in the short run.'' So for every Vicks there is a Decold, and for every Iodex, there's a Moov.

But with the market growing apace, fresh competition isn't worrying the bigger players. Says R. Subbarayan, Director (Sales and Marketing) at SmithKline Consumer Healthcare: ''With competition at the door, our marketshare in percentage terms could come down, but when the market is expanding at a brisk rate, that is not an issue at all.''

Clearly, the OTC rush is on. Yet, it may be too early to bet on how long it will last. Cautions Ravi Prasad, President and CEO, Himalaya Drug Company: ''Only those who've invested AB Initio in the development of original products are the ones who're going to thrive. Clones will continue to exist, but only as marginal players.'' Invariably, whenever a big opportunity appears, hundreds of players jump in to get a bite of the action. In turn, that leads to a shake-out. And not everyone survives those ones. Today's gold rush could easily turn into tomorrow's flash in the pan.

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