|
WHY CONSULTING IS SCORCHED
GROUND
» Business,
new and repeat (ha!), is hard to come by
»
Clients expect consultants to implement, not merely advise
»
There are too many consultants around
»
The imperative to separate audit and consulting is hurting
some firms
»
Investment banks and software services companies pose a threat
|
I
like consultants. They're suave, dress well, speak even better,
and are never reluctant to proffer sound-bytes. Only, my last article
on consultants- it began with a joke about how a consultant was
a man who knew 99 ways to make love, but didn't know any women (Doctor
Heal Thyself, Business Today, July 21, 2000)-left me with few friends
in the domain. The quotes dried up, my stories suffered, and my
Editor (it's always capital E) started treating me like an incapacitated
war vet.
Now, just when I am about ready to be rehabilitated
into the area-a consultant actually called me last week, and he
wasn't returning my call-Mr Know-it All has assigned me this article.
"There's chaos in consulting," he growled. And out of
the window went my rehab-hopes: to consultants, pariah I was, and
pariah I would remain.
Still, my Editor was right (that should make
him happy). The consulting business in India is in a mess, a bigger
mess than what it was in 2000. Foreign consulting firms in India
are slashing billing rates, pruning costs, discreetly downsizing,
and desperately diversifying-all this, just to stay alive. The diversification
makes things worse in some cases: consulting firms are stepping
on the toes of software services companies in a desire a capture
a slice of the lucrative technology transformation pie, and on those
of investment banks as they try to get a foot into the happening
corporate finance advisory business. Phalanges hurt, both software
companies and investment banks are fighting back.
|
"The margins in the strategy business
are higher, but the volumes are more in technology consulting."
Salil Parekh, Managing Director,
Cap Gemini E&Y |
|
"Globally, all firms have taken a beating.
They have not been able to sustain their business in mature
markets."
C. Srinivasan, Managing Director,
A.T. Kearney |
The sheer number of their consultants on the
bench in India is also forcing some firms to bodyshop. Increasingly,
relatively inexpensive Indian hires are assigned to global projects,
if any: the business isn't booming anywhere in the world. "Globally,
all firms have taken a beating," explains Dr C. 'Srini' Srinivasan,
the Managing Director of A.T. Kearney's Indian ops. "They have
not been able to sustain business in mature markets-in India, this
has an impact on the way clients see consulting firms." The
good doctor is right, but there are things closer home that bode
ill for the business too.
Separated at Death
A year ago, the Big Five could have got away
with a presence in both audit and consulting (there's nothing illegal
about it). On paper, the synergies between the two businesses are
considerable: accounting firms have specialised practices (such
as telecom); auditing the books of several telecom companies, over,
and over, and over again, gives them insights into the dynamics
of the business; and a presence in consulting provides them with
a profitable outlet for such expertise. A partner at the Indian
arm of one of the Big Five explains that the consulting link gives
firms the leeway to subsidise their audit offerings. He claims it
isn't unusual for a firm to offer large (and established) companies
huge discounts on audit fees-all in an effort to understand the
business and build consulting expertise.
Now, post Enron (Andersen was raking in huge
consulting revenues from the company even as the shredders in its
audit practice worked overtime), most audit companies are trying
to hive off their consulting arms-Ernst & Young was among the
first to do it when it sold its consulting practice to Cap Gemini
in May 2000. Actually, change part of the previous sentence to,
"most audit companies are desperate to hive off their consulting
arms." The IBM PWC deal shows how desperate: in 2001, when
hp was considering acquiring IBM's consulting practice, the number
doing the rounds was $14 billion. On July 30, 2002, Pricewaterhouse
Coopers sold its consulting arm-more than 32,000 employees, offices
in 52 countries, and revenues of $4.5 billion-to IBM for $3.5 billion.
In between, PWC sunk a few millions into building the Monday brand
as its to-be-hived off; to-go-for-an-IPO consulting arm was christened.
Courtesy IBM, PWC's Monday never got beyond
Sunday (sorry, couldn't resist that). And now, whisper wicked tongues
in other consulting firms, many of PWC's consultants are waiting
for IBM to put a number to the non-monetised Monday shares they
were allotted before heading for the exit. Finding a job won't be
easy, though.
|
"We have grown faster than we expected,
but come September, we expect only a modest increment."
Gautam Dalal, Chief Executive,
KPMG |
The deal could impair some of PWD's existing
projects where it is working closely with EDS and Oracle, both IBM
competitors. Not that other Big Five consulting arms are in the
pink of health: Andersen Consulting's Indian arm is still looking
for a lifeline-its parent's deal with KPMG Consulting seems to have
stalled and the buzz is, the company is close to arriving at an
understanding with Deliotte's India arm; in turn, KPMG Consulting,
created in 2000 hasn't quite set the corporate world on fire (nor
helped put out those already on). And Deloitte is in the midst of
a painful amputation of its consulting division. Much of the damage
is at the global level, but the Indian operations are hurting too.
Natural Selection At Work
You don't need to hire a consultant to figure
out what went wrong. There are too many consultants. "There
is over-capacity all around," admits Arun Maira, Chairman,
BCG India. And there is too little business. "The companies
that needed help to design their strategies have already taken the
help of companies that provide this service," explains Ernst
& Young Chairman Kashi Nath Memani. And not always benefited,
if we may add. Yet, consulting firms remained bullish on India.
Call it irrational exuberance, call it euphoria, but their ranks
swelled and swelled.
|
"We have been focusing on our IT solutions
centre as well as outsourcing in the last 12-18 months."
Sanjay Jain, Managing Partner,
Accenture India |
McKinsey's is a classic case study. Maybe because
it had an Indian CEO (Rajat Gupta), it scaled its India operations
up to levels that some of its competitors allege are unsustainable.
The firm made a loss of Rs 16 crore (on a consolidated basis in
India), they claim. McKinsey told BT that only CEO Rajat Gupta and
not head of Indian operations Ranjit Pandit would respond to questions,
but till the time this magazine went to press, Gupta's responses
hadn't arrived. For the record, McKinsey denies that there has been
a slowdown in its India-business. One release cites India as among
the fastest-growing McKinsey practices with 135 consultants. Growing,
maybe, but who would have thought (even a couple of years ago) that
McKinsey would end up working with companies such as Desai Brothers
(a Pune-based beedi manufacturer) or Eagle Flasks.
|
"The IT firms are getting into consulting
and consultants are getting into what they normally avoided."
Arun Maira, Chairman, BCG India |
Companies too, have become wiser. No longer
can a pin-stripe walk in, bill an obscene amount for a report that
will have to be implemented by the client, and walk out. Today,
it is the rare company (rare gull is more like it) that doesn't
want the consultant it hires to help with the implementation. "The
old style of consulting is dead," says Narayan Seshadri, Head,
Andersen Business Consulting. "Today, the client-consultant
relationship is more like a partnership." And no longer is
it possible for consulting firms to send their best and brightest
to pitch a project and then hand over execution to a clutch of trainees.
''Today," stresses the CEO of a largish manufacturing firm,
"before I hire a consulting firm, I want to know who will work
on our project." Why, some companies even hire former consultants
to manage the consulting firm (or firms) they hire. "A number
of firms are coming to us with such requests," laughs R. Suresh,
CEO of headhunting firm Stanton Chase. Set a consultant to manage
a consultant.
Any Business Is Good Business
With business drying up, consulting firms are
diversifying into hitherto untapped areas such as technology (or
it) consulting. "it strategy is an integral part of business
strategy," says the Gartner Group's Sujoy Chohan, "and
increasingly, both need to be addressed together." The result
is a it consulting rush (For specifics, see, Infosys Ver. 2.0, in
this issue).
Mom, I Want to be a Consultant
It's a bad time to be a consultant in India today. |
No
bonuses (or meagre ones), job insecurity, and a sudden change
in the required skill sets-these are just some of the things
consultants have to put up with. In an industry where bonuses
account for between 30 per cent and 50 per cent of total pay
that could spell only one thing: P-E-N-U-R-Y. "We have
grown faster than we expected, but come September, we expect
only a modest increment," says Gautam Dalal, CEO, kpmg.
Predictably, several have left the profession and are seeking
greener pastures in industry. "More and more consultants
are keen to explore other opportunities," says R. Suresh,
CEO, Stanton Chase. One hot option is held out by Indian software
companies that are hiring consultants by the dozen in an effort
to (sorry, we've got to use the phrase) move up the value
chain. Infosys, by some estimates, has hired close to 50 over
the past year. The firms themselves are downsizing, although
few readily admit this. The preferred refrain is about how
poor performers are "being weeded out". And they're
not so keen to visit campuses any more. A.T. Kearney, for
instance, has spent the year focusing on building "mature
skill-sets". Hope that helps.
|
BCG's Maira isn't happy with this. "Increasingly,
there is muddiness over what consulting is," he rues. "The
it firms are getting into what they call consulting and some consultants
are getting into areas they normally avoided." His take: consulting
is a confused industry today and will remain that way until the
taxonomy of the business catches up with what's happening on the
ground.
It isn't just tech, consulting firms are open
to just about anything that'll bring in the moolah. "We see
an increase in M&A activity among clients," says Kearney's
Srinivasan. "There is a need for firms that can offer a complete
range of services-pre-merger strategy, operational assistance, and
post-merger (integration)."
Consulting firms, then, are open to any relevant
diversification that can compensate for the rapidly drying up strategy
business. "The margins in strategy are higher," admits
Cap Gemini Ernst & Young Managing Director, Salil Parekh, "but
the volumes are more in technology consulting." And so, the
suits are looking at offshore software services (as part of their
larger offering), even outsourcing services targeted at the Indian
market. "We have been increasingly focusing on our it solutions
centre as well as outsourcing in the last 12-18 months," says
Sanjay Jain, Managing Partner, Accenture India.
All this flux is certain to change the very
topography of consulting. Diversified consulting firms will survive
(contrary to the counsel some consultants gave their clients). Others
will resort to alliances, even joint bids. And the industry will
never be the same again.
|