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  Eventually, 
              after all the confetti and applications had settled, Maruti Udyog's 
              72,243,300-share initial public offer (IPO) for a quarter of its 
              equity was oversubscribed not nine, not 10, but 13 times. The long-dozing 
              primary market has not just stirred, it has jolted itself up. Retail 
              participation is back, and with a bang. Excellent.  But what, other than that, are the lessons? 
                When people start asking their neighbours over 
              their garden fences if they're applying for the shares, an IPO is 
              certain to be a resounding success. So that's one lesson: the power 
              of good IPO marketing. The Maruti IPO was heavily publicised in 
              print and on TV, and then distributed through a vast network of 
              700 centres across 70 cities.   The other lesson, as apparently absorbed by 
              SEBI, is less obvious than the first one. The Maruti IPO took the 
              'book building' route, which employs a form of auction, the express 
              purpose of which is to prevent IPOs from turning into blind roulette-luck 
              games (as they were in the inglorious days of CCI-controlled issue 
              pricing). This is a good method. Applicants bid for shares at, or 
              above, the pre-declared floor price-Rs 115 per share in Maruti's 
              case. As it turned out, most applicants put in bids for the car-maker's 
              shares at Rs 120-125. And so it is that the shares are now being 
              allotted at Rs 125 each, in a ratio of 60:25:15 to institutions, 
              small retail investors and high net worth individuals, respectively.  You can attribute the fact that most retail 
              bids were no more than Rs 10 above the floor price to investor psychology, 
              since the floor is popularly assumed to be the 'fair value' price. 
              You can also assume that the institutions ran their own valuation 
              methodologies to arrive at similar bids. But the very purpose of 
              an auction is to let the price get bid higher and higher as demand 
              swells and competition for allotment intensifies. That most bids 
              remained at around Rs 125 is rather strange-given the final oversubscription.  But then again, perhaps the fraction of shares 
              reserved for retail investors was not large enough for the competition 
              to be very intense. This is why the recent move by SEBI to raise 
              the quota for small investors from 25 to 35 per cent and reduce 
              that of institutions from 60 to 50 per cent, makes eminent sense. 
              If institutions cannot claim a majority of the shares to be issued, 
              other applicants get empowered as participants in the competition 
              to bid the average (modal) price up.   Simultaneously, SEBI has also redefined 'small 
              retail investor' from someone applying for no more than 1,000 shares 
              (whatever the price) to someone investing no more than Rs 50,000 
              (whatever the number of shares). This should prevent high net worth 
              players from masquerading as small investors, thus freeing up even 
              more shares for the category of 'small retail investors'. This could 
              boost competition, for this is the category with the largest number 
              of discrete bidders, the sort who do not even know what their neighbours 
              are bidding.   Another laudable step is to reduce the listing 
              gap from 15 to six days from the date of issue closure. The price 
              at which a share makes its debut is always watched closely, and 
              the closer this debut happens to the date of the last noted price 
              (the date of the closure), the easier it is to make comparisons. 
              Of course, this is complicated by the fact that the promoters and 
              underwriters have a 'greenshoe' option, by which any sudden fall 
              or rise in the post-listing market price can be moderated by the 
              exercising of this mechanism (which alters the number of shares 
              listed).  Nonetheless, SEBI has done its bit to enhance 
              the efficiency of the IPO mechanism currently in vogue. Perhaps 
              the fraction mandated for institutional allotment could be lowered 
              even further (from 50 per cent), but that would require a mass revival 
              of the equity cult. Could that happen? Yes, if secondary market 
              sentiment stays buoyant, which, in turn, depends on the government's 
              disinvestment programme. A good start has been made by the Maruti 
              ipo, and the government must ensure that the momentum is not lost. |