They've
never had a better time to shine their light on their revered Motherland.
We refer to the 1,500 Non Resident Indians (NRIs) and other Persons
of Indian Origin (PIOs) who hauled their wisdom and wallets to New
Delhi this January for the Second Pravasi Bharatiya Divas. Within
the forum halls and without, they dispensed several gigabytes of
bullish sentiment and superpower advice-even as their hosts fell
over each other to make themselves hospitably worthy of all this
attention from their significantly better spoken cousins (at least
in drawl terms).
What makes them so special? Why-India's new-found
status as a dollar-rich country, thanks to their persistent support;
who else cares so much? Who else has been such a bankable source
of dollars? Not to forget their role in lobbying their adopted country's
governments in India's favour. Isn't India on the world's investment
map at last? Hasn't America's all-so-important 'tilt' shown a dramatic
change lately?
Since such counter-queries have arisen, perhaps
it's time to put them to test. First of all, NRI-sent dollars account
for only a fraction of the reserves; and even so, there is good
reason to believe this is mostly money chasing rational returns
rather than a measure of their 'support'. The typical NRI bond,
for example, offers an interest rate higher than anything considered
'market set' by global finance. If Motherland-induced sighs had
so much to do with putting money in these (or in NRI deposits for
that matter), our rich cousins ought to be paying a 'price' for
it-by accepting a sacrificial interest rate. Just who's doing whom
a favour here is not altogether clear. That lower US interest rates
have accelerated the funds inflow is further evidence that the calculations
involved are quite monetary.
Nor have NRIs been a crucial source of on-the-ground
investment in India, unlike the case of overseas Chinese in China.
Of course, there's an explanation. The Chinese Diaspora is indeed
a 'diaspora'-comprising business-folk who were forced out of the
country by Mao's spooky experiment with people power. India's mixed
economy, in sharp contrast, always had place for private business
(an overly cosy place too, some would argue), and Indians going
West were largely educated professionals, not panicky industrialists
nor economic refugees (in the genuinely 'huddled' and 'tempest-
tossed' sense).
Yes, many NRI-PIOs have nationalistic yearnings
of sorts, and many donors are sentimental about conserving what
they see from across the seas as a fading heritage. Also, some of
them are indeed entrepreneurial, in search of foreign neighbourhood
corners to dominate with late-night groceries or plate-ripe coconuts.
"Oye toh States gayo re" is an oft-heard Gujarati line
in Mumbai (interpreted as "he's off to the States" or
alternatively, "he flunked Stats").
So yes, sure, the overseas crowd also has its
share of proud sentimentalists and vociferous investors. But the
notion that pampering them will boost the Indian economy in any
significant way, one should realise, lacks statistical validity.
As for that other cherished assumption-of NRIs
shaping global geo-politics-it's better to let perceptions sort
themselves out on their own. India's presence on the investment
map is a result of the country's immense business opportunity, plain
and simple, and big business decisions are not vulnerable to a word
put in here, a nudge there.
All in all, we should not delude ourselves.
It is nice that the interaction with overseas Indians has risen
so sharply; they're always welcome. But there's nothing in their
power to justify the fawning that accompanies much of it. That is
an embarrassment, not an investment.
There are several distinguished Indians resident
overseas whose advice is of immeasurable value to the country's
future. Economic thinkers such as Amartya Sen come to mind. You
won't catch them going 'Gimme-a-five', but are quite quite global.
You won't hear them waxing sentimental, but they are quite quite
Indian too. They deserve our attention.
Otherwise, there's little economic justification
for giving India's overseas swarms a collective voice much louder
than what's warranted by their relevance.
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