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               Two 
              sets of facts and opinions are being widely reported and debated 
              today: one emphasising the feel-good factor, and the other abysmal 
              poverty levels. Some of these facts can be synthesised to illustrate 
              how India's growing global financial assets could, if used innovatively, 
              lead to a virtuous cycle of investment in underinvested areas such 
              as irrigation, agriculture, social security and health services, 
              reducing poverty for vast numbers, while simultaneously prodding 
              growth rates, and become mutually reinforcing. 
             India's acknowledged foreign exchange reserves 
              are now close to $105 billion, and growing. As of now, RBI data 
              shows that the average returns on those reserves is an annual 2 
              per cent. Given that the rupee is appreciating against the dollar 
              at a higher rate than this, there are no effective rupee earnings 
              on the reserves. A good proposal, then, would be to redeploy some 
              of the money-say, $20 billion, less than a fifth of the reserves-from 
              low-paying foreign (mainly US) securities, to investments in India's 
              infrastructure development. 
             That could be done via the mechanism of a special 
              purpose vehicle (SPV), with subsidiaries to direct investment towards 
              specific projects prioritised on the basis of the country's needs 
              that private participation and budgetary allocations are proving 
              inadequate in meeting. For example, irrigation, primary education, 
              rural roads and healthcare. 
            
             
              The SPV and its subsidiaries would be enabled to make a mix of equity 
              and debt investments in infrastructure projects at zero-interest-equivalent 
              to the current returns on India's reserves. With such low-cost financing, 
              output costs would be considerably lower and more manageable than 
              in many current projects (the Dabhol Power Project had prohibitive 
              costs). Uneconomic costs deter demand.  
             Together with investments in ports, power and 
              highways, resource mobilisation of such magnitude could drive up 
              and sustain growth rates in a multitude of sectors through the multiplier 
              effect, even as the infrastructural constraints on India's competitiveness 
              are eased.  
             Let us take another restructuring suggestion 
              from the corporate world. The market capitalisation of just the 
              public sector oil companies is about Rs 227,830 crore. By a rough 
              guess, the overall market value of the government's holding in the 
              public sector-as well as departmental undertakings capable of corporatisation 
              such as the Railways-could broadly be a three to four multiple of 
              the oil psus' market cap. Meanwhile, government debt to the banking 
              sector is estimated at close to Rs 600,000 crore, even as credit 
              diversion to the in-deficit government continues as a result of 
              the 'risk aversion' of banks that inclines them to government securities 
              instead of commercial lending. 
             Now, policy guidelines have been issued to 
              encourage banks to increase exposure to equity. Public sector equity 
              divestment is on, too. What's needed now is a jump in scale. For 
              instance, if the government were to sell Rs 100,000 crore of its 
              PSU equity holdings to the banks and retire its debt to them, and 
              banks in turn lend Rs 100,000 crore to retail investors for acquisition 
              of PSU equity, a structural debt-equity swap would take place. The 
              shareholding would shift from the government's hands to the public's 
              hand. The banks' lending would move from the government to retail 
              investors; Rs 100,000 crore translates into Rs 1 lakh each over 
              10 million income tax assessees.  
             Fiscal prudence through such debt reduction 
              would produce interest savings that could be used for poverty alleviation. 
              Another corporate suggestion: perhaps the government budget should 
              start reporting both assets and liabilities.  
             To conclude, if incremental fiscal changes 
              in India have made such a difference already, what might be the 
              result of some dynamic policy intervention? 
             Sanjiwan Sahni is a Delhi-based 
              management and economic consultant 
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