The
jitters were for real. All the more because it was widely assumed
that the replacement for Jim Wolfensohn at the head of the World
Bank, that funder of do-gooder projects, would be someone skilled
in diplomacy and respected in places far away from America. So
it was that people across the globe sputtered over beverages almost
in unison on hearing America's choice: Paul Wolfowitz.
The most neo-connist of neo-cons, wily player
of oil politics, brash advocate of us hegemony, formulator of
the Iraq War, demolition derby champion of democracy... Wolfowitz
has a reputation nobody would envy outside the most conservative
confines of America. Yet, the man has promised to direct his ammunition
at poverty, and the global horror at the announcement of his name
has gone, more or less, even if the snide asides haven't; expect
to hear more about democracy defined as two wolves and a lamb
voting on what's for lunch.
Has Wolfowitz turned into a woolly hear-your-voice-feel-your-pain
winner of hearts?
Unlikely. But not out of the question.
After all, neo-cons have always seen themselves
as doing everyone a good turn for the long term, even if done
harshly. And don't misunderestimate the guilt of a flaming accident.
It can push one towards formulating a real case for global unity,
instead of playing the rubber stamp for the cynical interests
of a few.
Is Wolfowitz up to it?
On rebuilding Iraq, expect barrel-loads of
action. Under Wolfensohn, the World Bank wanted a un nod before
going ahead with funds. Wolfowitz would go right ahead. But the
actual test would not be any such 'generosity'. It would be whether
the World Bank behaves as a bank of the world, with priorities
set by what the people of the world think, independently, not
by a bunch of pointy heads pencilling maps in Washington dc.
The good part is that the gaze of global
scrutiny will be especially sharp-and focussed. People have wisened
up. Even on the tail-end of remote archipelagos, people understand
reward and punishment only too well, no matter how cleverly disguised.
Wolfowitz' taking over would make suspicion the default attitude
towards the bank. This has its perils. All it would take is a
blueprint that uses devious means to claim the high ground for
an all-round eruption of rock concert noise proportions, or worse.
Throw in the sceptical voices from academia into the cauldron,
and the grandest of superhuman saviour stories would have no takers.
In short, Wolfowitz would have to prove himself
a worthy world citizen just to avoid instant dismissal as a stooge
of special interests.
India, of course, has its own reason to hold
the World Bank to its principle of honest neutrality. Not that
the money matters all that much. It's just over $2 billion (Rs
8,800 crore) a year, which is less than the country's private
investment inflows. Still, the bank funds several projects running
into a few hundred million dollars every year, delivering healthcare,
building roads, saving forests, channelling water resources and
much else. It is especially active in the poorer parts of the
country. In specific focus these days: the poverty-stricken states
of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand and Orissa.
Now, while the bank routinely faces allegations
of fund leakage and rural-life distortion, most of the heat it
has generated in recent times is for a policy shift. After having
all but renounced big dams in the early 1990s, when they were
under assault for their ecological and human costs, the World
Bank has signalled a return to pumping big bucks into hydroelectric
power projects. This is interesting because it need not be a return
to its old posture, actually. The bank would not want to be seen
as a force multiplier for 'settlers' driving 'the natives' off
their land. Dam designs are of various kinds, and can conceivably
be win-win too, if done intelligently. In fact, if the early signs
are any indication of what is to come, the policy shift could
actually mark the beginning of an intense involvement with what
is often termed 'integrated water resource management'.
The World Bank is not alien to this sort
of thing. It has been involved in detailed water planning in the
past in several parts of the world, and has studied the sub-Himalayan
water scenario in quite some detail too. So, just as the word
suggests, 'integrated' could well mean a programme that thinks
global in the conception of ideas, and acts local in the implementation
of the same.
Wolfowitz, to be sure, is a man devoted to
big picture strategy, and may never really become a woolly do-gooder
type. But perhaps there's wisdom in waiting to see what he has
in mind. Which is why a Wolfowitz under the world's watch warrants
a welcome. Even if it's a wobbly welcome.
|