India,
says a report (the world wealth report) released in early June
amidst a blaze of publicity by Merrill Lynch and Cap Gemini, had
70,000 high net worth individuals at the end of 2004 (HNIs is
the preferred abbreviation and the definition says they are people
who have a net worth of over $1 million, Rs 4.4 crore at the current
exchange rate, excluding the value of their primary residence).
For the record, the report says there were 8.3 million HNIs in
the world at the end of 2004.
That number, 70,000 itself may be way off
the mark. Circa 2005, Rs 4.4 crore is not much by any standards.
In Mumbai, it is the cost of a high-end residence; in other large
Indian cities, it is 1.5 to two times that of one. It is between
seven and 20 times the cost of a luxury sedan or USV. And, according
to the cover story of this issue of Business Today (See Skyrocketing
Salaries on Page 48), just over five times the average annual
salary of a senior executive working for a multinational or a
Tier-I Indian firm.
The exact numbers are not available, but
Delhi alone would probably have 10,000 passenger vehicles of the
kind described above. Put down a similar number for Mumbai; halve
it for Bangalore and Hyderabad, and divide it by five for Kolkata
and Chennai; and assume other pockets of urban or rural prosperity
in India to together have 1.5 times as many luxury cars and SUVs
as Delhi and tot it up. That's around 50,000 four-wheelers of
the kind we are interested in. Now, assume that each household
with such a car has three adult members-again, this is a conservative
estimate; elementary economics and an understanding of India's
family- and business-system reinforces this-with the net worth
of each being over Rs 4.4 crore (again, not a very difficult thing
to believe). That works out to around 150,000 HNIs, more than
double the number mentioned in the report.
The objective of this composition, however,
isn't to knock the numerical abilities of the good people at Merrill
Lynch and Cap Gemini. It (the objective) is to highlight the fact
that Indians, even the new rich, although given to ostentation
and expensive status symbols, tend to discount net worth when
asked about it. One reason for this is the existence of a parallel
economy that, by some estimates, is at least as large as the regular
one.
Another, and the more important reason, is
that Indians in general, especially salarymen belonging to the
earlier generation (not the one that started working in the late
eighties and earlier nineties) who suddenly discover themselves
earning close to Rs 1 crore a year, often more than that, are
uncomfortable with their financial status. Actually, change that
to uncomfortable with the world being aware of their financial
status. That explains why so many of India's rich prefer to wear
unbranded clothes and drive around in inconspicuous cars. There
is, of course, another school of thought that says it does not
make sense to make a public display of wealth because it may encourage
the less-privileged to rebel (and, say, kidnap rich people or
their children). That theory doesn't really fly because to most
of India's poor, anyone with annual means of Rs 50,000-plus is
'rich'.
A decade-and-a-half after India decided to
put its money on the free-market approach to managing an economy,
there is no sign that things have changed (most of the people
this magazine spoke to for the cover story, for instance, were
uncomfortable discussing numbers). Yes, consumers are more confident
than they have ever been (according to a survey conducted by this
magazine; see page 88; and more confident than those in 28 countries
in a survey of 30 countries conducted by NOP World and reported
in The Economist) but their attitude towards money hasn't changed.
That's unfortunate, for change it must: not just will this make
the pursuit of economic prosperity a national obsession (like
it has in the us where, according to the Cap Gemini/Merrill Lynch
report there is one HNI for every 125 Americans), it just may
spur some to pay their dues to the system.
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