At
just over a million units a year, the Indian passenger car market
(including utility vehicles) accounts for less than 2 per cent
of the global market. But when it comes to small cars, the country
is the third-largest market globally. Now, with crude prices showing
no signs of going back to the $30 (Rs 1,320)-a-barrel level and
consumers even in developed countries looking at small cars, the
Indian automotive industry has spotted an opportunity to become
a small car hub. What will India need to become one? Essentially
four things: Global scale and quality, cost advantage, automotive
brands and infrastructure. India already has two of the four,
cost advantage and automotive brands. We need the other two. What
are our chances of getting them? Pretty decent, actually.
Vehicle manufacturers will ramp up production
if the domestic market, apart from those abroad, has the depth
to consume cars in large numbers. Today, a car is beyond the reach
of most Indian families-a reason why some six million two-wheelers
continue to be bought every year. That scenario may change with
growing prosperity, but not fast enough to give India an early
start, especially at a time when China has started shipping small
cars to Europe. So, the country needs to speed up. Happily for
the manufacturers, the government seems keen to help. A task force
has been set up to define what a small car should mean and suggest
ways to encourage their production in India.
SIAM wants all cars less than 1.2 litres
in engine size to be considered small. But the bigger issue is
taxation. The effective tax rate on cars works out to a staggering
40 per cent (excise is only 24 per cent but there are state taxes).
SIAM wants the Indian government to do what countries elsewhere
in the world did to promote small car production: incentivise
their ownership. In Japan, for example, K-cars (with less than
660-cc engines) attract lower taxes compared to bigger cars. Top
vehicle manufacturers such as Maruti Udyog and Hyundai Motor,
which already export a large number of cars, are expanding their
manufacturing capacities in a bid to tap global markets. There's
no reason why, given the appropriate incentives, carmakers cannot
turn India into a global small car hub.
And Now, The IITs
|
Students at IIT Kanpur: Only the best
get through, so... |
Every
now and then, a maddening desire to improve, to reshape, to tinker
seems to descend on the HRD Minister of the day. Not too long
ago, the previous occupant of the ministry, Murli Manohar Joshi,
got into a wrestling match with the Indian Institutes of Management
(IIMs) supposedly over the issue of tuition fees but actually
over one of control, and eventually ended up all in a tangle.
Now, the current occupant, the venerable Arjun Singh, has embarked
on a mission to streamline the process of entry into the Indian
Institutes of Technology (IITs), the joint entrance examination
(JEE). Even if the changes suggested have not come from him, they
must have his blessings; after all, they have been suggested by
the IIT Council and the ministry itself.
The changes themselves involve replacing
two exams, a screening one and a main one with a single exam;
doing away entirely with complex non-multiple-choice questions;
instituting a new eligibility standard of 60 per cent in the school
leaving examination; and allowing students to appear for the JEE
a maximum of twice, once in the year of graduation from school
and once in the year immediately after (this has since been relaxed
for JEE 2006). The reasoning behind the changes is that it will
reduce stress levels among students, encourage them to pay more
attention to their school leaving examinations, and prevent rampant
commercialisation of the JEE system by coaching institutes (reducing
the number of times a student can appear for JEE will likely reduce
the size of the market itself).
The proposals themselves aren't radical,
although they would seem to weaken the very basis of the JEE culture.
For instance, the stress of cracking (that's the term of choice
among aspirants) two tests, one very tough and the other, just
tough, is something that ensures that only the very best gain
admission into an IIT. And although it would be natural to assume
that anyone who can get through the JEE will score more than 60
per cent in the school leaving examination, fact is, India has
several tens of boards, and a person scoring 90 per cent in one
would be hard-pressed to score 45 per cent in another. These,
though, are specifics. At a general level, what was the need to
tinker with a system that has shown itself to be a successful
way to identify the best engineering talent in the country?
Primary education is where India faces its
biggest problems, and the grey cells of Mr Singh and those of
mandarins in his ministry would be put to better use thinking
up ways to improve that than to fix something that isn't broken.
Right Turn
|
In the right direction: You may not
see these ads for long |
Beneath this slab
John Brown is stowed.
He watched the ads
And not the road.
That's
Ogden Nash's little poem called lather As You Go, the words of
which the government's roads and highways department seems to
have heeded seriously. Recent newspaper reports say the department
has banned all advertising on all national highways, particularly
the new six-lane connectors that are being built across the country,
because it is felt that these often distract drivers and cause
accidents. Traffic accidents are the biggest menace on the highways
and any attempt to prevent them is welcome. According to one estimate,
more than 75,000 people are killed each year in Indian road accidents,
the highest in the world, and 350,000 injured. Worse, more than
a third of the fatalities and a fourth of all road accidents take
place on the national highways.
But are hoardings on the highways a big cause
for road accidents? Not much research or statistics for India
is readily available to answer that. But a couple of years back,
the Scottish government commissioned a review to explore in depth
whether there was a connection between billboards (hoardings)
and road accidents and found that it did. What's more, because
such accidents tend to be under-reported, the risks of driver
distraction could actually be higher. In any case, the risks were
higher, the review found, when billboards were at big and busy
junctions as well as on long monotonous stretches. We don't know
whether the roads and highways department will take a cue from
the Scots and do its own research to see whether Indians too watch
the ads and not the road, but its move appears to be in the right
direction, though the Rs 850-crore outdoor advertising industry
may not agree.
Still, there could be bigger causes of road
accidents than ads. Like cellphones. With a base of 62 million
cellphone users, slated to grow to 300 million by 2009, driving
while using cellphones is a traffic violation that is growing
endemic. And quite possibly it is more distracting than checking
out billboards, and perhaps as serious a risk as driving under
the influence. To curb road accidents, not only on the highways
but also within cities and towns, those are violations that the
authorities need to clamp down upon-with tough laws and heavy
punishments.
Meanwhile, there could be another fall-out
of the rule to ban highway advertising-one that is summed up by
another of Nash's verses:
I think that I shall never see
A billboard as lovely as a tree.
Perhaps unless the billboards fall,
I'll never see a tree at all.
|