In the
span of a week in April, three of India's four largest software
companies, Infosys Technologies, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS)
and Satyam Computer Services announced bonus issues, all in the
ratio 1:1 (investors get one share for every one held). For Infosys,
it was the company's fifth bonus issue since August 1994. The
total number of shares of the company will now increase from 275.5
million to 551 million. TCS' maiden bonus issue will see the number
of its shares double to 978.6 million. And Satyam's second bonus
(its first was in August 1999) will see the number of its shares
also double, to 648.8 million. Indeed, apart from a lull during
the tech meltdown (the early 2000s), Infosys and Wipro have declared
a bonus every two, three years.
Now, the thing about bonus issues is that they don't always
mean good news for investors. A bonus issue dilutes the equity
of the company and could result in a decline in earnings per share
(EPS), unless earnings grow fast, really fast. And a decline in
EPS could hurt the valuation of a company, causing a fall in its
share price.
Thus far, Indian it firms haven't disappointed investors. And
these recent announcements of a bonus issue, explains R. Rajagopal,
Vice President (Equity Investment), IDBI Capital Market, aren't
merely efforts to reward shareholders, but reflect a confidence
among these companies that they have "the ability to serve
the expanded equity". He adds that companies such as Infosys
have done just this (read: managed to maintain or grow EPS on
an expanded equity). "There is more to come from the top-tier
software firms," he sums up. If the man is right (and he
probably is), that would mean the Indian software services story,
which has seen the stock price of Infosys increase some 117 times
and that of Wipro, some 154 times since 1997, is far from over.
That's an opinion that is seconded by Gurunath Mudlapur, Managing
Director, Atherstone Institute of Research. "With (Indian)
software firms getting into the fray (solo) for acquiring big
deals, this could just be the beginning," he says.
Companies also declare a bonus to increase the liquidity of
a stock (when it becomes too high-priced, it becomes illiquid).
While the software firms do not face this problem -"The top
guys are not doing it to attract investors," says Rajagopal,
implying that this is something they do anyway-bonus issues do
make a stock more affordable, and attract investors who may have
otherwise balked at high prices. "Bonuses bring liquidity
to a stock following the broadening of investors' base, due to
the affordability of the stock," says Mudlapur.
The risk of declining EPS, however, is something investors are
aware of, and they haven't been loath to punish those companies
whose bonus issues could lead to this. For instance, Satyam's
stock fell some 8 per cent following the company's announcement
of a bonus. Reason: a muted guidance by the company. In contrast,
the stocks of Infosys and TCS reacted positively to the announcement
of a bonus following impressive earnings forecasts by the two
companies.
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