It's
a difficult pill to swallow, but at a time when India Incorporated
is basking in the glow of overseas conquests, A.T. Kearney ranks
India 61st in its list of the world's most globalised nations-out
of 62 countries considered! Only Iran ranks below India, and countries
like Pakistan, Bangladesh, Uganda and Botswana are comfortably
perched above. Singapore tops the A.T. Kearney/Foreign Policy
magazine Globalisation Index-the us is at #3-which is measured
across 12 variables across four broad areas: Economic integration,
person-to-person contact, political engagement and technological
connectivity.
So, have the good consultants got it all
wrong, or is the survey a pointer to the reality that, some mega
overseas acquisitions notwithstanding, India is still largely
a blinkered economy, revelling in the consumption high-jinks of
a burgeoning domestic middle class? The truth is somewhere in
between. For starters, within the parameter of economic integration,
A.T. Kearney prefers to look at foreign direct investment (FDI)-the
amount of overseas funds being pumped into the country's assets
(except stocks and bonds)-rather than the amount being invested
abroad. And the latter may well tell a more vivid story, what
with the latest cross-border data indicating that outbound investments
are comfortably higher than the inbound greenbacks. According
to Grant Thornton, investments in overseas acquisitions in 2006
till October are worth Rs 70,740 crore, as against the inbound
figure of just Rs 21,015 crore (though doubtless skewed by the
humungous Tata-Corus deal). Perhaps if the consultants had outbound
investments as a parameter within economic integration, India
would have climbed up a few notches in the globalisation index.
Yet, it's not as if India would have been
able to propel itself into the top 10 or even 20 on the back of
the surge of overseas buyouts in the recent past. Data compiled
by Thomson Financial reveals that countries like Brazil, Mexico,
Belgium, China, Hong Kong, South Africa and the UAE have bought
assets in foreign lands that are worth more than what India Inc.
has. According to Thomson, India has a meagre 0.7 per cent share
of the global pie of cross-border acquisitions.
Is that reason to be despondent? Not really.
That India is the one of the fastest-growing world economies,
and one of the few whose corporate sector is recording robust
double-digit growth (which will sustain for some more years),
places India ideally to step up the quest for overseas resources
and markets. The burst of outbound acquisitions will increase
non-incrementally as size and scale become the imperatives. Indian
companies will then be playing vital roles globally on various
fronts, worldwide employment generation being just one of them.
India Inc. has arrived. Now it has to conquer.
Short-term Solution
|
In good company: But M&M
can't afford to get smug |
Mahindra
& Mahindra must be thrilled that French auto maker Renault
has chosen it over Suzuki as the India partner for a new line
of Renault vehicles. It's easy to see why. M&M is the youngest
of all players in the passenger car market. Its spiffy SUV, the
Scorpio, was launched just over four years ago, and it clearly
is no competition to Suzuki, although the Japanese car maker itself
is small by global standards. Yet, if the Carlos Ghosn-led Renault
has decided to go with M&M, it's because of the partnership
the two already have for manufacturing the former's sedan, the
Logan, in India. Indeed, Ghosn referred to "the deepening
and enlarging of our partnership" when he commented on the
tie-up. M&M's Anand Mahindra, too, spoke of the "chemistry
that we discovered when the Mahindra-Renault joint venture was
born".
Like most joint ventures, this one is born
of convenience as well. Renault, and the other part of its automotive
empire, Nissan, watched from afar a burgeoning domestic auto industry,
even as its global rivals rode in with big plans. Renault has
to cover plenty of lost ground and the surest way of getting the
basics right would be to collaborate with someone who knows not
just the political environment, but also the fragmented supply
chain and the consumer. Mahindra, on the other hand, cannot afford
to be a one-car company, especially if it has ambitions of carving
out a global niche for itself. It needs access to world-class
automotive technology and it needs it now. "Mahindra &
Renault's joint vision is defined, however, by more than just
these factors. It is centred on our common wish for growth that
will only come with making products to suit the customer's needs
around the world," Mahindra said soon after the deal was
signed in Paris. The first cars from the new JV should roll out
by the middle of 2009.
It would be unfortunate if the deal were
to make M&M complacent. Generally, JVs walk on thin ice and
in this case, M&M (which has been down that road once before
with Ford) is clearly the weaker partner. With the Scorpio, M&M
proved that you didn't need a billion-dollar budget to launch
a new vehicle. In fact, the Scorpio cost just a little over Rs
500 crore to develop. Its young and enthusiastic engineering team
has some unique capabilities, and M&M's effort should be to
encourage more such innovations independent of Renault. JVs can't
be an alternative to innovation. Rather, they should only be a
stepping stone to self-reliance.
Natural Allies
|
Need India fear Democrats? Perhaps
not |
The
US electorate has put president George W. Bush on notice. The
Democrats have taken control of both the Senate and the House
of Representatives. This is likely to leave Bush a lame duck President
for the last two years of his term. What does this mean for India
and its engagement with the US?
Predictably, perhaps, the entire focus has
been on whether or not the nuclear deal between the two countries
will pass. The Democratic Party has made the right noises and
indications are that there is broad bi-partisan support for the
agreement. The quibbling, it seems, is over the fine print. But
that is not the point. The fact is that the nuclear deal is very
important and has high symbolic value, but it is not the only
yardstick by which to judge overall Indo-US relations.
Countries have interests, and usually form
alliances based on a convergence of these. There is a clear convergence
of the interests of India and the US on a wide gamut of issues-military,
economic and political. Both are democracies and both face threats
from Islamic terrorism. Result: there is now greater military-to-military
co-operation between the two than at any time in the past. In
the political field, both countries have a shared interest in
ensuring peace and stability in West Asia and Afghanistan as,
indeed, they do in building up this country as a counterweight
to a resurgent China.
But it is in the economic field that the
scope is the greatest. India needs American money and technology
to maintain and improve its current rate of growth. Indian companies
now regularly access funds from the US for financing expansions
and takeovers, while us companies outsource services and R&D
to India to keep themselves competitive. And India remains among
the top providers of quality human resources to us universities,
companies and research labs.
Only the very naïve, or the ideologically
motivated, will stake these other, vital interests, at the altar
of the nuclear deal. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has displayed
a previously unsuspected sagacity in steering this relationship
through the fractious Indian polity. The need of the hour is for
the Democrats to show the same level of maturity. The points of
convergence far outnumber those on which the two countries have
serious differences. Individuals come and go, but a country's
interests remain the same. This is what makes India and the US
natural allies. And while we hope that the nuclear deal sails
through, the relationship is now too wide-ranging for it to be
derailed by one piece of legislation.
|