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JUNE 17, 2007
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Rupee Rise
Though an appreciating rupee is a cause for concern for many industries, it is proving to be a boon for some, particularly those that have large foreign currency borrowings. A weaker dollar is making repayments cheaper. Also, state-run refineries and those in the aviation sector are well-positioned to benefit from the stronger rupee. The Indian currency is up 8 per cent this year and is Asia's strongest currency against the dollar in 2007.


The ECB Route
The cap on maximum external commercial borrowings (ECBs), an annual ritual for the government, is fast losing its significance. Since the bulk of the foreign borrowings is raised under the automatic route by companies, it is becoming difficult to enforce the cap. The government had raised the annual limit of ECBs last year from $18 billion (Rs 81,000 crore) to $22 billion (Rs 99,000 crore). Now, it seems that total inflows will cross the $22-billion mark.
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Business Today,  June 3, 2007

 
 
Reformer Then, Politician Now
 
NAME: MANMOHAN SINGH
AGE: 73
DESIGNATION: Prime Minister

Has Manmohan Singh, the architect of India's economic reforms, finally made a full transition to Manmohan Singh, the populist politician? Several clauses in the "10-point social charter" he outlined at CII's AGM on May 24 seem to point to that. In particular, his exhortation to industry to temper its profit motive seems a straight lift from the ideologies of the 1950s and 1960s that made India the "sick man of Asia". Then, his advice to industry to cap the pay of senior executives can only be termed ill-conceived at a time when Indian business is grappling with a massive talent shortage. These remarks, expectedly, have set the cat among the pigeons.

It is universally accepted that the Prime Minister is a decent and honourable man; his erudition and intelligence, too, have been on public display through his decades-long involvement in public affairs, first as a technocrat-administrator of parts of India's financial system, then as the helmsman of India's financial future and, finally, as Prime Minister.

But it is also becoming evident that he's a weak Prime Minister who still remains in the political shadow of Congress President and UPA Chairperson Sonia Gandhi; and therein lies the problem. He lacks the political authority to take the bull by the horn and implement the tough measures needed to make his wish of "inclusive growth" a reality. It's a slogan no one can argue with. On the ground, this means delivering the benefits of India's steroid-charged growth to the hundreds of millions of people who remain outside its ambit. The Prime Minister himself has gone on record saying that this can only be achieved when India's farmers get remunerative prices for their crops; when the millions of youth who enter the workforce every year have ready jobs waiting for them; and when the hundreds of thousands of crores that Indians save every year is efficiently channelled, through an efficient financial services sector, to productive sectors of the economy that needs this money. But all this will require larger doses of reforms-that need political will to implement.

Singh today stands at the crossroads. What he does over the next few months will determine the nature of his political legacy.

 

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