MARCH 17, 2002
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Stanley Fischer Unplugged
He has the rare distinction of having advised through the half-a-dozen economic crises of the 90s. But now economist Stanley Fischer is calling it quits at the International Monetary Fund, and joining Citicorp as Vice Chairman. In India recently, Fischer spoke on IMF, India, and the global recession.
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King(fisher) On The Prowl
The UB Group seeks to consolidate its brewing capacity.
UB's Vijay Mallya: Armed with S&N's cash infusion and a bank credit line

Vijay Mallya is back on the prowl. After receiving close to Rs 430 crore from partner-come-lately Scottish & Newcastle and a new credit line of Rs 200 crore from its bankers, the UB group is raising the bar. In the past month, the company has picked up the GMR brewery from GMR Group (of ING Vysya Bank fame) in an all-cash deal worth Rs 57 crore. UB is also in the final stages of negotiations to acquire Rajasthan Breweries for an estimated Rs 40 crore. And Mallya is believed to be eyeing 12 other breweries, particularly in states where UB does not have brewing facilities.

  3M, Two Plants, No Partner?
 
  "Clients Want The Best Along With Innovation"  
  We, The "Positive" People  
  Shot In The Arm  
  Executive Tracking  

Says Ravi Nedungadi, President and CFO of the UB Group, ''We want to consolidate the brewing capacity in the country. UB owns or controls 24 of the 57 breweries in the country .'' Acquiring breweries also makes sense since building new ones is an expensive (Rs 40-45 crore) and time-consuming proposition .The company has a 40 per cent marketshare of the 72 million cases a year beer market in the country and hopes to increase this to 50 per cent

The GMR brewery is located in Andhra Pradesh, the second largest beer market in the country at 12 million cases after Maharashtra (16 million cases). Now, UB has to ensure that the consolidation helps in wiping out its losses, which stood at Rs 35.22 crore for the nine months ended December 31, 2001. Says Nedungadi, ''Once the acquisitions are complete and the debt burden is reduced due to the new cash infusion, the company will show good results.'' Soon, one assumes.


3 M
3M, Two Plants, No Partner?
Birla 3M may please customers but disappoint shareholders.

The top brass at Birla 3M, the 76 per cent Indian subsidiary of the $16 billion-3M Corporation of the US, is notorious for its media-shyness. So, it was no different when, last fortnight, BT approached the company to confirm two major developments, Birla 3M officials refused to comment.

But sources close to the company aver: one, that it could soon shed the Birla prefix when it delists from the Indian bourses by buying out the Yashovardhan Birla group's 7.7 per cent holding and making an open offer. Two, 3m will soon set up its second manufacturing unit in India, in Pune to make homecare products, primarily the Scotch Brite range.

Manufacturing Scotch Brite in Pune will give the company an opportunity to increase its product range. 3M is also stepping on the gas to hit the target of $100 million sales by 2003. Currently Birla 3M sells just under 2,000 products in India. Given that 3M has more than 50,000 products in its global portfolio, the Indian range is small beer. Consumers can eagerly look forward to the new offerings. The small shareholder may however not be as enthusiastic.


WE, THE "POSITIVE" PEOPLE
Did you know that over three-fourths of Indian consumers are positively oriented, and open to new propositions?

Understanding relationships

Consumers in Maharashtra tend to be ''always busy'', North Indian housewives are ''providing and caring'' and the Joes and Janes in Kolkata are the ''worried depressives'', who sacrifice leisure to earn more money. These insights into the Indian consumer (40 million of them), come from a research done by Mindshare. ''The research reveals that 77 per cent of Indian consumers are positively-oriented, and, therefore, open to new propositions '' points out Annette Nazaroff, Consumer Insights Director (Asia-Pacific) WPP Group.

The study into the social behaviour and attitudes of the consumer is just one dimension-the second one-of Mindshare's ''3D'' project, which aims at understanding the consumer's relationship with brands and media channels. The first dimension involves identifying the most valuable customers and their relationships with the brand. It looks into who is loyal, who isn't, and why. And in the final dimension, the consumer's relation to media is established. For instance, a third of English movie channel viewers believe it's important to be attractive to the other sex. Blame that on Halle Berry, or Brad Pitt?


MINDSHARE
"Clients Want The Best Along With Innovation"

Dominic Proctor, COO, WPP Media: Be big, but act small

Dominic Proctor, 45, COO, WPP Media, was in India last fortnight for the formal launch of Mindshare, the media investment management company of the WPP group. Excerpts from an interview:

Q. What is the biggest change we're witnessing on the media buying side?

A. We're seeing a process of consolidation, and soon there will be just five-six media networks that will handle most of the multinational media accounts. In India, the industry is still fragmented, but this market too will follow suit. The launch of WPP Marketing Communications, the holding company for MindShare (the media investment management company of the WPP group) and (sister company) Maximise is a step in that direction.

Which are these five-six networks that will provide the competition to the WPP group?

I see the competition coming from Magna Global (the aggregation of the media planning and buying interests of the Interpublic group), Zenith Media (formed by the merger of Publicis and Cordiant's media buying assets), Grey's MediaCom, and Karat Interactive. But let me add that I expect further consolidation to happen.

So does this mean that we can expect media deals to happen at the global level?

There are a few such deals to be done. But media is essentially a national business, if not regional, the Indian market being the best example of that regional nature. The way I see it is that the approach to media will be thought out globally, but the execution has to be local.

You strongly believe that media buying doesn't fit into the traditional agency structure...

The separation started as long as 30 years ago. Today 85 per cent of media planning and buying is done outside the agency. The market has decided that it is a separate business. But having said that, one has to ensure that the media entity and the creative agency have to work closely.

What is it that clients are looking for in times like these?

Most of them want volume, which gives them the confidence of price. But what they should also be looking for is added value-research on how consumers use media, and programmes that judge return on investment.

How important is size for an agency?

The trick is to be big, but act small.


Ranbaxy's D.S. Brar: Spreading his wings

RANBAXY LABORATORIES
Shot In The Arm

An US FDA approval for a $600 million drug, could see Ranbaxy's profits grow.

For some time now, analysts and fund managers have been wondering just how Ranbaxy Laboratories, which notched up global sales of around Rs 2,800 crore in 2001 (roughly $596 million), would get to its target of Rs 4,750 crore ( $1 billion) by 2004. After all, the 12 per cent average growth that Delhi-based pharma major has been clocking (till 2000, although it did grow by 17.5 per cent in 2001) won't be enough to propel it into the billion-dollar league in three years.

Last fortnight, however, the $1 billion-milestone suddenly appeared a distinct possibility when Ranbaxy bagged the approval of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to make and sell Cefuroxime Axetil, the generic equivalent of the GlaxoSmithKline-trademarked Ceftin. Cefuroxime Axetil tablets, used in the treatment of pharyngitis, tonsilitis, lower respiratory tract infections, urinary infections and skin infections, is a drug worth $600 million (Rs 2,880 crore) globally, and $300 million (Rs 1,440 crore) in the US alone.

Analysts expect this drug to contribute Rs 240-288 crore ($50-60 million) to Ranbaxy's revenues in the first year of launch itself. What's more, profits could be as high as Rs 200 crore on those sales. That's because Ranbaxy won't have to contend with competition for at least a year, which gives it the pricing power. ''The drug has very high margins and it is expected to boost our bottomline substantially,'' says a company spokesperson. ''It's a blockbuster product.''

Given the humungous potential, it isn't surprising that, since late-2000, GlaxoSmithKline has been engaged in a bitter litigation with Ranbaxy over introducing Cefuroxine Axetil. Glaxo had filed a patent infringement suit against Ranbaxy. Now that Ranbaxy has got the US FDA's nod, it also gets a chance to spread its wings in the highly-lucrative US market, which accounts for 47 per cent of the world pharma market. Currently, the US contributes only 16 per cent to Ranbaxy's total revenues, and that figure can only increase. For, the pharma major has also sought an FDA approval for an anti-acne product. $1 billion by 2004 no longer appears a pipe-dream.


EXECUTIVE TRACKING
Suddenly, the market is replete with ex-CEOs up for grabs.

Reckitt's Barua (left) and AT&T's Aga: Still considering options

Ex-CEOs up for grabs. These days quitting before you have finalised where you are going next seems to be the thing to do. There's many a headhunter speculating where Pranab Barua ex-CEO of Reckitt Benckiser, Sanjeev Aga of Birla AT&T, and Ninu Khanna of Dabur are headed. On the demand side, one of the hottest jobs going is that of the CEO of Medialab Asia. With Pramod Mahajan as Chairman and board members such as N.R. Narayana Murthy, Azim Premji, and F.C. Kohli, there's no shortage of hopefuls. Heidricks & Struggles, which has been retained for the search, isn't saying much.

Now for a follow-up. This column reported CFO Mahesh Gupta's departure from the Piramal fold some issues back; now, Ajay Piramal has found an able replacement, R. Santhanam, the former CFO of Bombay Dyeing. Another high-profile move is that of V. Dandapani, the head of Thomas Cook's travel business who takes over as CEO of rival, Carlson Wagonlit India. And, apparently, he isn't the only one to have bought a one-way ticket out of the company.

 

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