Mutual
funds these days are in the news for virtually very other reason
than performance. It's logical. Reports of downing (or downed) shutters,
head honchos finding new fish to fry, proposed acquisitions, and
the entry of new players in the arena are infinitely more exciting
than the returns being dished out by most funds.
You can't blame the money managers of course,
what with the stockmarkets uncomfortably ensconced at 2,900 levels
for most of October and the first half of November.
The average performance of all equity funds
was a negative 0.326 per cent as compared to the BSE Sensex, which
generated a negative return of 0.35 per cent. The NSE's Nifty was
down by 0.40 per cent. To the funds' credit, a little over 60 per
cent of the schemes considered for this study managed over average
returns, with approximately 47 per cent dishing out positive returns.
At the time of writing,
the Sensex was threatening to vault into 3,000 territory, but a
full-blown rally still appears as likely as a peripatetic punter
pulling off a powerpoint presentation at a P3 party.
The scenario wasn't much different in October,
either. Only the trends were different then, with most of the fund
managers playing around with different permutations in that month.
Several funds actually bought into Hindustan Petroleum despite the
disinvestment brouhaha, the banking and pharmaceutical sectors found
more takers, and the information technology services bandwagon took
the beating of its life.
Today the public sector oil majors may be back
on the buy list, but last month it would have been difficult to
fathom why so many funds were hiking their holdings in these stocks
at a time when the opponents of disinvestment were crawling out
of the woodwork.
Now that they've crept back in (or have they?),
the optimism of Alliance, DSP, Zurich, Birla Mutual Fund and IL&Fs
to cosy up to HPCL and HDFC Mutual Fund, and Franklin to plump for
BPCL has been borne up. HPCL continues to be the favourite, with
many of the money managers picking up the stock when it was being
hammered down because of the hi-jinks of the anti-disinvestment
lobby.
Stock that also made it to the sell list
include many that were actually being lapped up by other funds.
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Old Economy Attractions
Funds, meantime, also warmed up to the banking
sector, with HDFC Bank, Karur Vysya, J&K Bank and State Bank
of India entering the limelight. In fact, Alliance Mutual Fund increased
its exposure to J&K Bank even as it reduced its holdings in
HDFC Bank and Punjab National Bank.
The interest in this industry can only increase,
what with many banks lining up initial public offerings. The pharma
sector-particularly the research-driven Indian part of it-also caught
the fancy of the major funds, with Ranbaxy being on top of most
of their shopping lists. Franklin Templeton for its part preferred
to increase its stake in Cipla, Dr Reddy's and Sun Pharma.
Two frontline stocks that were being battered
to new lows virtually every day-Hindustan Lever and Reliance Industries-came
back into the reckoning. Reliance of course was buoyed by its much-touted
gas strike, and Lever should get another boost when Morgan Stanley
increased the FMCG giant's weightage in the Morgan Stanley Capital
Index.
Another long-time laggard, Zee Telefilms was
being lapped up by Prudential ICICI, Tata and Cholamandalam, to
name just three, and two-wheeler supremo Bajaj Auto made it to the
portfolio of Prudential ICICI, Birla Mutual and Franklin Templeton.
Grasim too was favoured by Franklin as well as Zurich.
IT On The Backburner
Probably taking a cue from their brethren in
the West, fund managers got rid of plenty of it stocks, the main
ones being Digital Globalsoft, HCL Technologies, Mastek and Polaris
Software.
HCL Technologies' grim quarterly report card
was the main reason for funds like Prudential ICICI, IL&Fs and
Franklin Templeton dumping the stock with a vengeance. Amongst the
few it stocks that were actually bought were i-flex and Satyam.
Stocks that also made it to the sell list include
many that were actually being lapped up by other funds. For instance,
Birla Sunlife, DSP Merrill, ING, Tata, Zurich and HDFC decided they'd
had enough truck with BPCL. Alliance and Prudential ICICI preferred
to book profits with Punjab National Bank. Alliance also reduced
its exposure to Bajaj Auto and Bhel, with Franklin and IL&Fs
adopted Alliance's sell strategy with Bhel. Franklin, Kotak and
Zurich thought it prudent to reduce their holdings in ITC, and Alliance
and Prudential trimmed their exposure to Dr Reddy's.
Without doubt, the show-stealers of October
were from the petro sector, with Reliance and the public sector
petro stocks helping funds generate decent returns. UTI Growth Sector
Fund-Petro managed returns of 7.8 per cent last month, and JM Basic
7.03 per cent, which isn't bad considering the performance of the
rest. JM Basic's decision to block over 63 per cent of its money
in Reliance clearly paid off.
And with the Reliance stock still headed northward,
who knows, November could be even better. Watch this space.
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