It
takes a downturn to tell a great company from a good one. While
the good company will devise strategies to retain marketshare and
protect profits, the great one will actually take marketshare away
from its weaker competitors and fatten its bottomline. What makes
the difference? As in nature, it's the (corporate) DNA. Good companies
have systems and processes that ensure consistent growth-but only
as long as there are no sudden upheavals in the competitive topography.
Great companies, on the other hand, not just anticipate disruptions,
but manage to turn the new situation to their advantage.
Want proof? Take a look at this year's study
of India's biggest wealth creators. Eight of the top 10 companies-their
ranking is based on market value added, which is the difference
between the capital invested in a company and its market valuation-had
positive EVAs (economic value added), which is the economic profit
that remains after deducting the cost of all the capital employed
(both debt and equity) in the business to generate the operating
profits. (If all this sounds complicated, take a look at the simplified
methodology elsewhere in the issue.)
In fact, seven of these companies had actually
improved their EVA over the previous year-despite a bad year.
Hindustan Lever, for example, has been growing
at just 3 to 4 per cent in the last two years. And of the three
that didn't show an improvement (Reliance, Ranbaxy and Satyam),
the pharma major actually reported an increase in its MVA. Why?
Because investors believe that the long-term investment Ranbaxy
is making in, say, its foreign subsidiaries is vital to its survival
in the new pharma regime beginning 2005.
But just why are MVA and EVA better measures
of a company's performance? Because both focus on capital efficiency,
instead of mere absolute numbers. For example, MVA tells us how
much wealth has been created or destroyed by a company relative
to original investment. Therefore, the company with the highest
market capitalisation need not necessarily be the biggest wealth
creator. A caveat is in order, though. While MVA is a better measure
of wealth creation over the long term, it does suffer from the vagaries
of stockmarkets. Which is why for sustainable wealth creation, companies
should focus on improving their business' fundamental economic performance-something
that EVA captures.
RANK |
COMPANY |
MVA 2003
|
EVA 2002
|
1 |
Hindustan Lever
|
35,462
|
1,003
|
2 |
Wipro
|
33,030
|
235
|
3 |
Infosys Technologies
|
27,503
|
242
|
4 |
Reliance Industries
|
11,577
|
-318
|
5 |
ITC
|
11,501
|
591
|
6 |
Ranbaxy Laboratories
|
9,711
|
-94
|
7 |
Satyam Computer Services
|
6,057
|
33
|
8 |
Dr Reddy's Laboratories
|
5,489
|
350
|
9 |
Nestle India
|
4,681
|
100
|
10 |
Cipla
|
4,133
|
71
|
Figures in Rs crore |
This year's survey indicates a correction in
MVA. Seven out of the top 10 have a lower MVA than they had last
year. The drop, however, is not so much a reflection of the companies'
future performance as a correction in investors' own irrational
exuberance. The MVA per unit of capital in it (See Sectoral Wealth
Creation) has plumetted from 28.5 to 3.5. The worst affected sectors-no
surprises here-are it, FMCG and pharma, although they are still
MVA positive. Some new industries, including banking and finance,
petroleum, capital goods and cement, join the wealth creating club.
However, media and telecom, textiles and paper, conglomerates, metals,
and services have racked up negative MVAs.
What should cheer investors is the fact that
overall India Inc. (read: the top 500 companies and the top 50 banks
and financial services companies in terms of market value added
in January 2003) remains a wealth creator, with a positive MVA of
around Rs 1,40,000 crore (See Inching Back Up). More importantly,
the MVA trend seems to be improving in the wake of the technology
and telecom tumble world wide. While India Inc's current MVA is
a far cry from the Rs 4,74,921 crore of January 2000, it is almost
50 per cent more than that of January 2002. What's notable about
the turnaround is that, unlike in 2000, the rise in MVA is linked
to fundamental performance of the sectors.
And fundamentals is about net profits right?
Not quite. A better way of looking at this would be to examine the
efficiency with which capital is being utilised. Take, for example,
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. At Rs 1,301 crore in net profits
in 2001-02, it is the sixth most profitable company in India. But
its EVA rank? An abysmal 498! Similarly, BHEL raked in Rs 468 crore
in earnings last year, but it has a negative EVA of Rs 327 crore
and stands at number 486 on the EVA scale.
TURNAROUND STORY
Tata Engineering soars from 469 to 13 on
the MVA list. |
|
Tata Engineering's Ratan Tata: Back
in the reckoning |
The automotive giant's is one of
the most spectacular turnaround stories this year. From a bottom-scraping
rank of 469 last year, Tata Engineering has risen as the 13th
biggest wealth creator in this year's survey. Reason: last year
its MVA was a negative Rs 795 crore. This year it stands at
Rs 2716 crore-an addition of Rs 3511 crore. And although its
EVA is negative, it has improved dramatically-from a negative
of Rs 1149 crore to a negative Rs 507 crore. Dalal Street has
more than welcomed this turnaround, pushing its stock price
to Rs 159-a 16 per cent gain, compared to the Sensex's 11 per
cent slide in the last one year.
The good news is that the turnaround story is likely to
continue in the new fiscal. Personally driven by group Chairman
Ratan Tata, Tata Engineering has drawn up aggressive export
plans. It has already tied up exports of its multi-purpose
vehicle Safari and other pick up trucks to the UK, Ireland
and China. Its performance on the domestic front is revving
up, besides which the lower interest rate structure is helping
it to reduce its interest cost as well. "We have reduced
total borrowings by Rs 300 crore during the first nine months,"
says P.P. Kadle, ed (Finance and Corporate Affairs), Tata
Engineering. All these have helped the company to show a net
profit of Rs 162.54 crore during the first 9 months of the
current year, compared to a net loss of Rs 53.73 crore during
the same period last year. And the rating agencies are more
than happy to acknowledge the changes in its fortunes with
rating upgrades. For example, Standard & Poor's has revised
its rating from bb- to bb (stable). There are similar rating
upgrades from CRISIL (from AA- to AA) and ICRA (from LAA-
to LAA) as well. The challenge for Tata and his men is to
move the company higher up on the MVA list.
-Narendra Nathan
|
In such a scenario, one would imagine that precious
capital flows to the wealth creating companies. The fact: It doesn't
always. Only about a quarter of the incremental capital invested
over the last five years has gone to companies that have utilised
this additional capital to create more EVA. What it means is that
expensive and scarce capital, instead of being allocated to wealth
creating opportunities, is getting destroyed.
The worst culprits are the public sector units.
The listed PSUs use more than a third of the capital employed in
the markets, but destroy six paise of wealth for every rupee invested
in them. To make matters worse, they have continued to grow their
capital base by 30 per cent over the past five years. Only seven
PSUs-BHEL, BEL, ONGC, BPCL, HPCL, EIL, and Nalco-create any wealth,
and it can be argued that in the case of the last four it was disinvestment
expectations that boosted value.
Already in the US and other markets, there
is a debate over what companies that do not utilise funds effectively
should do: keep it (underutilised) or return it to shareholders,
so that it may be deployed more efficiently elsewhere. Perhaps a
greater awareness of the true cost of shareholder capital is needed
before this can happen. And unfortunately, the dividend distribution
tax proposed in this year's budget may actually discourage companies
from paying out dividends and thereby reducing idle capital.
The wealth creation rules, however, have become
much more straightforward-it's linked to sustained improvements
in EVA. Not incidentally, then, the companies that outperformed
their sectors on the fundamentals created greater wealth for their
shareholders. For example, Godrej Consumer Products Ltd (GCPL) has
outperformed the FMCG sector on fundamentals (its EVA has changed
133 per cent over January 2002) and this has resulted in better
wealth creation for its shareholders, who got a 50 per cent increase
in the MVA compared to the sector's negative 19 per cent.
|
Tejpavan Gandhok (right) is Country Manager,
Stern Stewart, and Sanjay Kulkarni (middle) and Anurag Dwivedi
are Vice President at Stern Stewart's Mumbai office. |
This message is driven home even better by Infosys,
whose compounded annual growth rate in EVA over the last five years
works out to a staggering 122 per cent compared to the sector's
negative 37 per cent. Small wonder then, its five-year MVA CAGR
stands at 47 per cent versus the industry's 22 per cent.
For CEOs and CFOs, the message from the study
is simple. If you focus on the fundamentals, shareholder wealth
creation will automatically follow. And those who ignore this basic
rule of wealth creation, will do so at the cost of their shareholders.
|