Pension
systems should be conceived of as long-term financial contracts
under which investors' contributions are exchanged for future benefits.
Such contracts are said to be well managed if the transactions are
handled in an affordable, reliable, and efficient manner. Pension
systems operate under a multitude of constraints. Two most critical
constraints are the participant's ability and willingness to save
under the system and the availability of assets with which current
savings can be converted into future retirement benefits. Currently,
only about 9 per cent of the population has the benefit of old age
security. Subsequent to Old Age Social and Income Security (oasis)
report, a lot of deliberation has taken place on the need for pension
reforms. However, we get a distinct impression that the subjects
of discussion have so far only been pension products and players.
Most of the structural issues have not been addressed at all.
Asset management companies
(AMCs) and life insurance companies are in competition to grab the
perceived pension opportunity and have made claims to the pension
licence. These companies have designed their products even before
the needs of investors have been fully discussed and understood.
The bureaucrats in charge of reforms have already made up their
minds that there should be only three product categories and that
licensing should take place through a bidding process.
How were these three categories of products
arrived at? There are no comparable products available in the market
and there is no evidence of their demand or as to their performance.
There is also a rush to select the players in the pensions game
with the system for new government employees likely to be launched
from January 1, 2004. The AMCs and insurance companies may be required
to submit their bids soon. The fact that the players themselves
will be ill-equipped to respond because the regulatory framework
within which the sector will function is not yet ready seems lost
on those in charge of the process. The participants' ability and
willingness to save remains largely untested, which is another cause
for worry.
Several issues remain unsettled. Firstly, how
will pensioners be taxed? Chances are that taxation will be at the
payout stage. This will force pensioners to hand over a sizable
portion of their retirement benefits as taxes and also worry about
irksome details like filing returns. Likewise, there will be one
registry offering record-keeping services and all the bidding players
will be dependent on this monopoly service provider.
Secondly, the bidding players will take services
for collections from banks and post offices. And yet, the management
rights for these funds will be auctioned. Thirdly, the withdrawal
provisions will be liberal and withdrawals of upto 60 per cent of
the accumulated amounts will be allowed upon retirement, for other
than pension requirements. And, this is not the end of the story.
The long list of unresolved issues is indicative
of the fact that very little attention has been paid to structural
reforms and that there has been little consultation among the various
stakeholders. As in the case of telecom, it seems the structural
issues will be addressed only after the sector is thrown open to
private players. As a result, a long-term investment instrument
is likely to become a short- to medium-term product that will compete
directly with bank deposits and mutual funds, with the end-losers
being the old retired pensioners.
Mr. Ashvin Parekh is
Executive Director, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. The view expressed
in this article are those of the author and not necessarily those
of his firm.
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