Everyone
seems to be rocking in tandem with the gyrations of the BSE Sensex.
Given all the hoopla surrounding the stock market, it would appear
correct to assume that India is a nation of equity investors, but
the truth is far from that. A major chunk of the lay investor's
money is still directed to traditional savings tools, also called
debt instruments, such as savings bank accounts, fixed deposits
(FDs), Public Provident Fund (PPF), post office savings schemes
and, of course, debt funds. Debt funds performed well in the past
only because of the drop in interest rates all these years. So while
investors counted them as returns from the funds, it was actually
the external rate environment that did the trick. Now, however,
interest rates are showing signs of hardening in the short term.
Says Subir Gokarn, Chief Economist, CRISIL: "While it's too
early to take a long-term call on interest rates, we expect the
short-term rates to harden to 7 per cent (from the current 6.75
per cent)." Therefore, this has precipitated a re-think of
debt fund strategy.
As far as independent investors are concerned,
till a few years back, you didn't really require a strategy for
debt investments. Simply because interest rates were on the higher
side and inflation was low, ensuring reasonably high returns. And
though inflation is still at a relatively low 5.6 per cent today,
the era of high interest rates is over. So today if you think of,
say, just a bank FD as a viable savings avenue, you'll come a cropper.
The interest that you get from such an instrument averages 7-odd
per cent, just 1.4 per cent higher than the inflation rate, leaving
you with money that has appreciated in absolute terms, but has not
quite given you the returns that you desire.
Debt investing today needs a proper, well-defined
strategy, including picking the right products, and in the right
proportion |
What all this means is that debt investing is
not a handed-down-through-the-generations wisdom any more. It needs
a proper, well-defined strategy, which includes picking the right
products and in the right proportion. Says Deepak Sharma, Head of
Distribution, IL&Fs Investsmart: "Need-based investment
planning and an asset allocation exercise would be as important
to a debt investor today as an equity investor." This is particularly
important in order to avoid any opportunity loss (meaning you lose
out on higher returns that you could have gained from somewhere
else, such as equity), as Sandesh Kirkire, Chief Investment Officer
(Debt Segment), Kotak Mutual Fund, points out: "While you don't
ever lose money permanently in debt markets (unless there is a credit
default), as there is a coupon rate attached to every instrument
that supports it, an opportunity loss could happen as a result of
duration mismatch." Which is what happened in the six-month
period between May 2004 and December 2004, when debt funds reported
negative returns.
And if you're one of those hardened types who
are suspicious of new debt products, that's something you need to
change because you can no longer rely on just one type of debt product
if you want your money to grow in real terms. Now that you have
the overall picture, let's check out what's available and what's
advisable.
Short-term Avenues
If you are looking for quick fixes, here are
a couple of options:
Short-term Deposits: Sweeping a part
of one's salary to an FD account is a common savings strategy, but
is not a great idea. That's because bank deposits-savings, recurring
and short-term deposits-have a very unattractive rate of return.
As such, a small portion of your portfolio could be allocated to
this debt avenue only to serve as a short-term measure for quick
money (in case of medical emergencies, for instance). You could
also opt for a short-term deposit (with interest rate at around
4-6 per cent) with monthly or quarterly rollover instead of parking
money in a savings account at 3-odd per cent interest per annum.
With interest rates poised to harden, short-term
funds are a better bet, and it would be a good idea to keep
income fund investments on the lower side |
Short-term Funds: Alternatively, you
could go in for short-term funds, which come in two colours. One,
short-term plans that invest in a combination of debt paper with
shorter maturity and cash/call money, typically meant for investors
with a time horizon of three months-plus. Two, liquid funds that
invest in shorter-term instruments, meant for investors with a time
horizon of one month. What's special about these? Explains Kirkire:
"In short-term funds, the active portfolio (cash) management
is critical in volatile market conditions to help produce marginal
returns despite markets giving negative returns." The added
advantage is that since these papers mature early, volatile interest
rates have less of an impact on their returns.
Long-term Avenues
If, however, you're looking at the long haul,
here are some choices for you to chew over:
Bonds: Infrastructure and other government
bonds are useful in the sense that they give you tax breaks, and
could form 5-7 per cent of your portfolio.
Public Provident Fund (PPF): One of
the most popular debt instruments going around, the PPF could eventually
make an exit, although that may not be very soon. It would, therefore,
be prudent to make the most of it while it lasts. Though illiquid
(read: you can't withdraw any money) for the first seven years,
you can do so in parts thereafter. What clinches the argument in
PPF's favour is that it is an effective retirement planning tool
(yielding around 11.5 per cent returns per annum), particularly
for those individuals who don't have access to a regular (company-backed)
pf scheme.
Postal Savings: Another popular option,
post office schemes include the National Savings Certificate (NSC)
and the Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP). While KVP doubles your money in
eight years and seven months (yielding 8.46 per cent interest, among
the highest offered by debt instruments), it does not offer tax
breaks like the NSC, which also provides reasonable returns (8 per
cent). So if you're desperately looking for a last-minute tax-saver,
NSC is a good option, but be prepared for a long haul to get back
your money, since redemption happens six years later.
Long-term Deposits: Even though these
are preferred by a large section of debt investors, they add to
your tax burden since the interest earned is taxed, unlike most
others that come under the purview of Section 80L of the Income
Tax Act (see Taxing Time later in this section). If you are still
looking for long-term money-parking avenues, you could consider
income funds.
Income Funds: Also called long-term
debt funds, these are what you should be looking at for the long
term, and for the long-term only. Says Kirkire: "The kind of
horizon one is looking at, especially for long-term debt funds,
has to be clear. If you are investing for (a period of) less than
one year, an income fund is surely not the right product."
Why? Although these funds give returns in excess of your regular
long-term deposits, and are tax-free to boot, they could ail over
a volatile short-term period (such as during May-December 2004)
due to a duration mismatch. So if you have money that you want to
invest for a period that is between a year and three years, income
funds are your best bet.
Floating Rate Funds: If you're looking
for an element of stability in your debt portfolio, floating or
flexible rate funds provide you with just that. Says Sharma of IL&Fs
Investsmart: "Floating rate fund is a great bet as it is a
guard against any rise or fall (volatility) in interest rates."
This it does through a low-risk strategy of investing in good quality
floating rate debt or money market instruments, or fixed rate debt
or money market instruments swapped for floating returns, ensuring
stable and secure returns in the bargain.
At this point in time, when interest rates
are poised to harden, short-term funds are a better bet, and it
would be a good idea to keep income fund investments on the lower
side. So an ideal balance in your debt portfolio would be: 15-20
per cent bank deposits (all kinds), 20-25 per cent PPF, 10-15 per
cent postal savings, 5 per cent bonds, and up to 35 per cent in
a combination of short-term and long-term funds. Need we say more?
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