Sometimes,
you don't have a choice. When a company makes an open offer to
acquire its own shares (or those of a subsidiary) from existing
shareholders with the intention to delist from stock exchanges,
the only thing that you can do is surrender your shares. That's
because if you don't, then the shares you hold will become illiquid.
Net effect: while you do continue to be a shareholder and receive
dividends, you don't have any leverage in terms of trading of
the stock. In such offers, the attraction is the price, which
is generally higher than the current stock price, and is often
revised (upwards, mostly) too. The downside is that along with
the shares, you also surrender any gain that you could have got
out of the company in the future if it did well and valuations
improved.
However, open offers are not made solely
for the purpose of delisting. In general, such offers for shares
of a company are generally made by acquirers (which could be the
promoters of the company, investors, parent company, etc.) in
order to achieve a higher stake in it. For the prospective acquirers,
the offer is a statement of the confidence they have in the future
potential of the company and the value it is likely to bring to
the table. And for the acquired company, it could mean more focus
from promoters as they consolidate their holding, access to better
technology or better business opportunities in terms of the acquirer's
greater reach, and higher funding ability. An open offer could
also signal a hostile takeover attempt from an industry rival
looking to expand its operations or market share. An example of
a hostile bid is the recent move by Vijay Mallya of liquor major
UB Group to acquire 25 per cent of rival Shaw Wallace & Co.
(SWC) by making an open offer at Rs 250 per share, an 8 per cent
premium over SWC's stock price of Rs 231 on the day of the announcement.
The Investor Dilemma
Hostile bid or not, taking a decision on
whether to surrender your shares in an open offer can put you
in a spot. That's because if you give in your shares, on the one
hand you earn a reasonable premium over the existing stock prices
(which also tend to move up), but on the other hand, you also
lose out on future earnings (unlike a delisting where you don't
have a choice) if the company does well. And if you decide not
to surrender your shares, the reverse holds true.
A part of your decision, therefore, should
be based on an assessment of the future prospects of the acquired
entity. Says M. Sundararajan, VP & Group Head (M&A and
Advisory), SBI Capital Markets: "Assuming that the open offer
is coming from a strong acquirer who has solid plans for the company,
investors could hold on. At most times, such acquirers add value
to the company." That is an opinion seconded by Rakesh Jhunjhunwala,
Partner, Rare Enter-prises, an active equity investor, who feels
that investors should look at open offers in the same way they
would look at any other stock from the sell or hold angle. "If
an investor sees long-term potential in a company, then he should
hold on, or else surrender," he says.
While every open offer needs to be considered
on its own merit, it makes sense to recognise that a strategic
acquirer will pay a higher price than what stock markets under
normal circumstances would pay. Therefore, once the offer ends,
there is a possibility of the stock price coming down in the long
term. Then, there's the question of taxes. The capital market
sops given to investors in Budget 2004 (and unchanged in Budget
2005) in the form of zero long-term and 10 per cent short-term
capital gains tax doesn't apply to open offers and buybacks. So
your strategy should be similar to a buyback (see The Buyback
Option, BT, March 13, 2005), where if the profit you earn (the
difference between the price you bought your shares in and the
price you get when you sell) is less than your tax outflow, you're
better off holding on to your shares or selling them in the open
market.
Companies In Focus
Among the open offers currently active is
one made by international rating agency Standard & Poor's
(S&P) to acquire 26 lakh shares of India's premier rating
agency CRISIL. S&P's offer, at Rs 680 per share, has been
made to increase its stake in crisil from 9.45 per cent to 51
per cent. If the offer is successful, S&P is expected to pump
in Rs 240 crore into CRISIL, funded entirely through internal
accruals. Institutional shareholders such as LIC, ICICI Bank,
UTI and SBI jointly hold 25.47 per cent of the company's equity,
while Jhunjhunwala and his wife hold 14.3 per cent. crisil's stock
price shot up to a five-year high of 680 after the open offer
announcement, matching the offer price, but S&P has maintained
that it would revise the open offer price and size up to April
11, 2005. This means that whether you sell or hold, you're likely
to gain anyway. Says Rajeev Thakkar, Director and Senior VP (Research),
Parag Parikh Financial Advisory Services: "It's a win-win
situation for investors. If the price goes down, you have S&P
buying out. If it goes up, investors gain." Your move? Well,
Jhunjhunwala, for now, is holding on: "I haven't yet taken
a decision on whether I will give in to the open offer or not."
You could follow his example and hold on for the moment, or sell
your shares to take advantage of the stock's current high price.
Then, there's the attempt made by Swiss cement
major Holcim, in strategic alliance with Gujarat Ambuja Cements,
to acquire majority stake (to the tune of 50.01 per cent) in the
second-largest cement manufacturer in India, acc (Associated Cement
Companies), through an open offer to its shareholders at Rs 370
per share. The acquisition is to be routed through ACIL (Ambuja
Cement India Limited), which holds 13.8 per cent stake in ACC,
and in which Holcim recently acquired a 40 per cent stake. With
Holcim talking about making India its it and R&D hub as well
as a procurement hub, the future looks bright for the merged entity,
and ACC's shareholders. The company's stock prices crossed the
offer price after the announcement (on account of speculation
about a counter bid), but a revision of the open offer price is
unlikely to happen here. So, what should you do? Says Sandeep
Nanda, Head of Research, SSKI: "We are bullish on the cement
sector and expect acc to grow substantially. Our advice to investors
is to hold on to the stock and ride the upside."
Finally, we come back to where we started,
the delisting option for companies. The SKF Group of Sweden, a
leader in rolling bearings and seals, has made an open offer for
shares of its subsidiary in India, SKF India, where it already
holds 53.58 per cent equity. In a notice to India's stock market
regulator, SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India), the
company commented that "obtaining full ownership of the company
and integrating it into its global operations will provide it
increased operational flexibility to support its business and
meet the needs of its customer", meaning that SKF intended
to delist SKF India from the stock exchanges. Stock prices of
SKF India have zoomed up since the announcement on speculation
that there may be a counter bid, but settled down after it didn't
materialise. And what should you do here? Well, sometimes you
don't have a choice.
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