Packaging
material manufacturer The Tinplate Company of India Ltd (TCIL)
reported sales of Rs 240 crore, net profits of Rs 2 crore and
earnings per share (EPS) of Re 0.7 per share. That was four years
ago.
Today, the company's sales have grown one-and-a-half
times, profits have pole-vaulted 24 times and EPS has shot up
to Rs 11.36 per share.
That's interesting. Even more interesting:
did you know that TCIL is a 32 per cent owned subsidiary of the
Rs 17,000-crore Tata Steel? TCIL's history dates back to 1920,
when the country's entire requirement of tinplate (stamped-steel
coated with tin to prevent rusting) was imported by this Jamshedpur-based
company, then owned by Burmah Oil. In 1982, Tata Steel took over
the management.
The contribution of TCIL to Tata Steel's
mammoth turnover may be insignificant, but this low-profile firm
has given smashing returns to investors. Somebody who bought into
TCIL in July 2003 would have made 380 per cent on his investment
in April 2006, when the scrip touched an all-time high of Rs 106.
Now, when the scrip is in the Rs 60 range, his investment will
have gained roughly 170 per cent.
Up until even the fairly recent past, such
success stories and such investor returns were commonly associated
only with the listed subsidiaries of multinationals like Unilever,
Gillette, Procter & Gamble, or Asea Brown Boveri. Today, though,
there are many such companies, little-known subsidiaries of the
big boys of India Inc., busy spinning success stories in their
own small, but significant way.
Whether Gruh Finance,
an HDFC subsidiary that doles out small-ticket loans in rural
India, or GVK, an Indian Hotels subsidiary that runs budget, luxury
and business hotels, these businesses have made a splash. And
the best bit? In many instances, they have outpaced their parents
in turnover and profit growth (see Junior Overtakes Dad). The
good news for investors is that these companies are sharing their
growing wealth, and shareholders have been rewarded handsomely.
Most of these listed subsidiaries are the
result of either an acquisition or the exit of a joint venture
partner. The upturn in the country's economy in the past two to
three years has provided an additional boost-propelling these
growing companies into the fast orbit.
With the stock market's recent tumble, investors
are chary of anything that does not look totally fail-safe. Also,
the obvious move today would be to stock up on the solid, blue-blooded
parent companies themselves, given that the market volatility
has made them available at a discount. If, however, you want to
dig further for profits, this would be an appropriate time to
look at some offbeat investment options. We pick here six subsidiaries,
backed by solid management and good performance, which look promising
for the long term. And they are going cheap.
CEO Speak |
NAME:
G. INDIRA KRISHNA REDDY
MD/Taj GVK Hotels & Resorts
"We plan to increase our room inventory at Taj
Krishna Hyderabad by adding 125 new guest rooms"
NAME:
SUDHIN CHOKSEY
MD/Gruh Finance
"Our strategy is to have offices in all the districts
and then cover talukas and villages"
NAME:
D.D. RATHI
Director/ Grasim
"After turning Shree Digvijay Cement around in
two years, our focus will now be on plant modernisation"
|
Ancillary Story
"Buying subsidiaries is the cheaper
route to an exposure in the parent company, but investors should
always consider issues like corporate governance and minority
interest. If a merger is on the cards, find out how long the waiting
period will be," says Deepak Jasani, Head (Retail Research),
HDFC Securities.
Traditionally, subsidiaries were often used
by parent companies to dole out controversial, interest-free loans
to promoters. In fact, there were corporate governance issues
like company affairs being indirectly managed by the parent firm
despite the presence of an independent management.
Some of these issues seem to have been sorted
out now, at least by the high-profile companies. Today, subsidiaries
have found their own identity and stay at arm's length from their
parents. They raise resources independently, through rights offering,
borrowings from the market, or through internal accruals (see
Look Ma,...). Financial independence means managerial freedom.
Shree Digvijay Cement, for instance, just closed a Rs 132-crore
rights offer issued to meet fund requirements.
Growth has also come from the ambitious expansion
programmes these newly confident companies have launched. Says
R. Swaminathan, Associate Vice President, IDBI Capital Market
Services: "Expansion plans at huge outlays augur well for
companies like Tinplate, Mangalore Refinery and Taj GVK. Capacity
addition and timely project completion will provide much value-addition
in the days to come."
Taj GVK plans to invest Rs 400 crore in new
properties at Hyderabad and Chennai, aimed to increase its inventory
to 1,400 rooms that will open commercially between fiscal 2007
and 2010. According to Motilal Oswal Securities, the demand-supply
ratio of hotel rooms in Hyderabad is looking hot. A recent report
says: The average occupancy rate in Hyderabad in April-May 2006
stood above 82 per cent, with an average room rate of Rs 8,600.
"We are increasing our capacity at Taj Krishna Hyderabad
with an additional 125 guest rooms, taking our total room inventory
to 385. The new rooms are likely to be operational by 2009-10,"
says G. Indira Krishna Reddy, MD, Taj GVK.
MEET THE PARENTS
The subsidiaries come from pretty
impressive stock. And it shows. |
HDFC (Gruh Finance): Housing Development
Finance Corporation Limited spearheaded housing finance in
India and has grown beyond that to become the second largest
player in private sector banking through HDFC Bank Ltd. The
housing major has an outstanding loan portfolio of Rs 56,492
crore and a comfortable 15 per cent capital adequacy ratio
Grasim Industries (Shree Digvijay Cement): The
flagship company of the Aditya Birla Group is among the
country's largest private sector businesses with a turnover
of over Rs 6,824 crore. Starting with textile manufacture
in 1948, Grasim is today present in cement, chemicals and
textiles
Tata Steel (Tinplate): Part of the Tata Group,
this is the country's largest private sector steel company,
and among the world's lowest-cost steel producers. Tata
Steel manufactures 4 million tonnes per annum of hot, cold
and long steel at its various plants, and has a turnover
of Rs 17,144 crore
Indian Hotels (Taj GVK): Also a Tata Group company,
it runs the Taj Group of hotels in the luxury, leisure and
business segments. The Rs 1,127-croe company has expanded
its global footprint with hotel management contracts in
Dubai, Malaysia and Bhutan
ONGC (MRPL): This flagship public sector enterprise
earns the highest net profit in the Indian corporate sector
of over Rs 10,000 crore. ONGC's market capitalisation accounts
for almost 8-10 per cent of BSE's total market capitalisation
Amtek Auto (Ahmednagar Forgings): It is the flagship
company of the Amtek Auto Group and operates in the auto
ancillary segment. It caters to the medium and heavy commercial
vehicle segment, and has a turnover of about Rs 655 crore
|
In Gujarat, HDFC subsidiary Gruh Finance has
witnessed a smart 17-18 per cent growth, compounded annually,
in the last few years. "Our strategy is to have offices in
all the districts and then cover talukas and villages," says
Sudhin Choksey, MD. His company also plans to issue a Rs 60 crore
rights offer shortly.
Meanwhile, TCIL plans to double capacity
by 2008. Says MD B.L. Raina: "The company is focussed on
moving up the value chain and becoming a packaging solutions provider."
Institutional investors, in fact, have already
placed their stamp of approval on some of these success stories.
The Rs 11,000-crore Tata Asset Management Company and Tata Investment
have close to 3 per cent equity stake in Gruh Finance. Birla Sun
Life, the financial arm of the Aditya Birla Group, owns 1.47 per
cent equity stake in Taj GVK. Similarly, housing major HDFC holds
9.82 per cent equity in Indraprastha Medical, a subsidiary of
the Delhi-based Apollo Enterprise as on March 2006.
Home Advantage
The big advantage of being the offspring
of famous parents is the access to management bandwidth and expert
guidance at no cost. It also becomes much easier to raise resources
from the market. "The long-term potential of these subsidiaries
is in alignment with the growth of the parent companies,"
says Swaminathan.
Also, as Jasani explains, a strong parent
makes a turnaround story far easier. When Grasim acquired Shree
Digvijay Cement in 1998, the Jamnagar-based company was in trouble
with soaring raw material costs, excess manpower and crippling
power bills. It had been referred to BIFR (Board for Industrial
& Financial Reconstruction) twice. In two years, the Aditya
Birla Group turned the company around. "The focus will now
be on plant modernisation," says D.D. Rathi, Director, Grasim.
On Dalal Street, most of these companies
generally enjoy a lower p-e (price-earnings) ratio than their
parent companies, but if there are any expectations of a merger
with the parent, the P-Es tend to converge. As far as returns
go, shareholders have little to complain about, with dividends
and bonuses flowing (see Sharing The Goodies).
Although there are issues like low market
capitalisation (see The Flip Side) and liquidity, there are enough
comfort factors that compensate: impeccable lineage, professional
management and access to group synergies in crucial areas like
marketing and finance. And if that much-awaited merger does happen,
always the promise of a subsidiary, it will only gild the lily.
Horizon Plans
It's all
very well talking about tending roses after you retire, but just
how do you get there? By choosing the right retirement plan, says
Krishna Gopalan
|
Timing counts: The earlier you plan,
the fatter your retirement corpus |
K.S.
Ravishankar is a third generation entrepreneur who runs a plywood
business in Chennai. At 38, Ravishankar already anticipates hanging
up his boots in 10-12 years to catch up on his music and reading.
He is looking forward to retirement, wants to be mentally and
financially ready for it and has started investing in a mix of
equity, real estate and insurance to build his nest egg.
Ravishankar is clearly an intelligent exception-few
people start saving for retirement when still in their 30s. Reality
usually hits a couple of years before that last working day, whereas
any financial planner will tell you that retirement plans need
to be drawn up the day you start earning. The advantages of an
early start cannot be overstated (see Why You Should Start Today),
but most people still put it off till too late. Says Gaurav Mashruwala,
a Mumbai-based financial planner: "The truth is overall life
expectancy in India has increased and in many cases people live
25-odd years after retirement." India does not have a social
security system, which makes planning for retirement that much
more vital.
Choosing Right
Once you recognise the need to plan, how
do you then find out what to buy? Choosing the right investment
mix is, in fact, the most important aspect of retirement planning.
It depends on three basic factors: your risk appetite, the age
at which you start planning and the periodicity with which you
would like your retirement income to come in. Ideally, retirement
income should flow in like a monthly pay cheque.
Ready To Retire
Some basic to-dos when you know
retirement is around the corner. |
Pay off home loan: It is vital to close
all loans a year or two before retirement; monthly EMI payouts
drain retirement funds
Keep credit clean: Pay credit card bills in full-the
interest rate on outstandings is exorbitant and you could
well be paying off the debt well into retirement
Avoid debt: Don't take loans for a fancy car or
luxury cruise months before you retire, however tempting.
It will throw your finances out of gear
Start cutting back: Avoid frills and get into the
habit of need-based spending
Update insurance: Check that your insurance cover
is enough, both life and general
Review plans: If your retirement plans were made
early, now is the time to review and recast, if necessary
|
Why does age matter? Simply because people
who start investing in their 30s can afford to take much higher
risk. This changes as they age, or if they have started investing
at a later stage. Ravishankar's portfolio is hardly conservative:
"Equity accounts for 80 per cent of my total investment today,
real estate for 10 per cent and the balance is a combination of
insurance products."
At 38, this equity to non-equity ratio sounds
good, but it will have to change when Ravishankar is closer to
50. Mashruwala points out that at the time of retirement, equity
and non-equity should be a 25:75 mix: "During your 20s, 30s
and 40s, the proportion of investment can have a greater equity
tilt. After all, this will help you beat inflation at the time
of retirement." Ravishankar has already planned to cut equity
back to 60 per cent a decade from now, when insurance and savings
will account for 30 per cent and real estate for 10 per cent.
The older you are when you start retirement
planning the less risk you can take, but the more quickly your
money needs to grow to beat inflation. You will be caught in a
cleft stick. "The question at the time of retirement is whether
you have put away enough money for the next 15 years," says
Sam Ghosh, CEO, Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance. At 55, says Ghosh,
you must think of longevity up to 75. "With the breakdown
of institutions like the joint family, retirement planning has
become paramount."
The Risk Factor
Everybody has spoken enough by now of the
golden equity formula that says 100 minus age-thus, if you are
21, you invest 79 per cent in equity and the rest in debt. But
in reality, a lot depends on an individual's risk appetite. To
tackle this, Mashruwala recommends that in the early earning years
conservative investors combine equity with mutual funds. Debt,
of course, will anyway come in later in larger proportions. It
is the sure, but slow option. "The debt phase comes in at
a later stage with the objective of getting regular returns,"
points out Mashruwala. Here, you have post office savings, National
Savings Certificates, Public Provident Fund, government bonds,
debt funds, etc.
Your overall options, thus, are gold, property,
equity and debt. Mixed judiciously, they should give you a reasonably
good combination of fixed assets, growth options and safe investments
that will together assure you a steady cash flow in your retirement
years. The trick is to know what works when. If you break up the
working life of an individual, the 20s and the 30s are the most
important and often the most productive phase. "I would term
these the golden saving years while the 40s and the 50s are the
golden spending years," says Mashruwala.
Timing Payouts
Choosing what you buy to fund your retirement
also depends on whether you want a lump sum payment just when
you enter retirement, or prefer annuities or periodic payments.
An endowment plan, for instance, will give you a solid amount
at the end of the tenure while annuities give you regular monthly
payments, as is possible with many pension plans or insurance
schemes available today. The third option is periodic payments,
where you receive fixed amounts at intervals of, say, five or
10 years. This is possible with Kisan Vikas Patras, NSCs, PPF,
or money-back policies, where you can put in money at regular
intervals, keeping in mind the stages at which you will want to
withdraw the amounts. Ravishankar's portfolio, for instance, includes
a whole life policy (LIC) and a money-back plan (Max New York
Life), and his annual premium outgo is a hefty Rs 4.5 lakh.
Getting this mix right (see Looking Ahead)
will depend on many factors: your health, how money savvy you
are, your need for liquidity and so on, since each product has
its unique features. The trick? Plan well ahead so that your retired
life is as enjoyable and secure as your working years.
NEWS ROUND-UP
Make Your
trip
|
Travel log: Journeys within India could
get painless |
Once
upon a time, there were dacoits, now there are airport carousels.
Both ensure you lose your luggage before you can say suitcase.
Then there are various other acts of God and man that ensure that
few journeys within India are without incident and excitement.
Then why has it taken so long for domestic travel insurance cover
to emerge on the scene?
Whatever the reason, the sector is now finally
opening up. Today, walk into any airport and you'll find a counter
selling accident cover coupons for about Rs 25, valid only for
the duration of the flight. And now, several general insurers
are stepping in with round-trip covers. "Fifteen million
people travel by air today. They need a round-trip cover that
starts the minute they leave home and lasts till they return,"
says Khalid Sohail, Head (Travel Insurance), Tata-AIG Life Insurance.
It will be a while before the market picks
up. Says Sudhir Menon, Head, Travel Insurance, ICICI Lombard:
"We are still in the market-building process. Certain segments
like holiday-makers are picking it up, but the numbers are not
anything to boast about."
Tata-AIG plans to launch its travel product
within this month, while ICICI Lombard's domestic travel cover
was launched about a year ago as a market dipstick that proved
successful enough for the company to now plan an upgraded version.
The cover typically protects you against
monetary and physical inconvenience suffered at any point during
a journey inside India. It could be luggage lost during transit,
organising accommodation because of travel delays, getting medical
help in remote areas, even 'compassionate' visits when a family
member has to be flown in because of illness during the trip.
The ICICI cover, in fact, also protects you against burglaries
at home while you were away Taj-gazing.
The Tata-AIG cover carries a premium of Rs
140 for a three-day trip and Rs 286 for 90 days. The ICICI Lombard
cover starts from Rs 180 for seven days, and goes up to Rs 500
for their Gold Plan that lasts up to 70 years. The Silver Plan
offers only medical cover at a premium that does not exceed Rs
300. Well, next time your luggage goes missing, at least someone
picks up the tab.
-Ahona Ghosh
Fares In Free Fall
"Prices
have touched ludicrous levels on some routes such as Delhi-Guwahati,
with the lowest fare in the second week of July a little over
Rs 500," says a Delhi-based travel agent. With the entry
of low-cost carrier IndiGo, the downward pressure on airfares
just got stronger. There's been a 50 per cent increase in airline
capacity in the past two years, but the market has not really
grown. The result: airlines continue to bleed. In India, there
is not much difference in cost structure between low-cost and
full service carriers, which makes competition even fiercer, says
Ankur Bhatia, Executive Director, The Bird Group.
Passengers, of course, are not complaining.
Their chief crib: grossly inadequate infrastructure. Plus, the
various ifs and buts now associated with cheap fares: extra charges
for online booking or cash payments, huge cancellation costs,
flight delays... The fares don't always make up for these pinpricks.
Meanwhile, SpiceJet, GoAir and Air Deccan
command about 26 per cent of the market, but you can get cheap
fares from any airline, either due to flight times or poor demand.
So, shop before you fly.
-Kapil Bajaj
ULIPs In Bloom
A
host of new-look unit-linked policies (ULIPs) have hit the market,
after the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority's (IRDA's)
strict new guidelines came into force from July 1.
ULIPs had for too long been treading a twilight
zone populated by both insurers and mutual funds. Agents were
having a field day exploiting this confusion. Now, IRDA has set
ULIPs down firmly in the insurance space.
Changes include increasing the minimum term
to five years from three, and ruling that the risk cover portion
of the policy will be at least five times the annual premium.
Earlier, despite miniscule insurance components, ULIPs enjoyed
hefty tax breaks, thus making them efficient investment vehicles.
Also, the older policies left buyers shocked when they discovered
the huge percentage of their premium that went towards service,
mortality and other charges. Now, when it is clear what component
of the premium goes towards risk cover and what towards investment,
policyholders know what they are getting into. In fact, about
two years ago, IRDA had told agents to stop using inflated returns
projections that misled policyholders, asking them to project
illustrative returns at 6 per cent and 10 per cent only.
Another area where there will be much more
transparency is on charges, with all fees being uniformly named
across companies to make comparison shopping easier. Plus, changes
in the computation of net asset values and deduction of rider
premiums (accident, disability, etc.) are expected to bring simplicity
and transparency.
A glaring loophole was the top-up premium,
which allowed policyholders to pay various extra premiums in addition
to the regular annual amounts. Top-up premiums often ended up
exceeding the insurance cover many times over. Now, top-ups are
restricted to 25 per cent of the total annual premium. In their
new avatar, ULIPs will hopefully be significantly safer policies
and meet the insurance objective better.
-Shalini S. Dagar
SMARTBYTES
Homing In On Retirees
The announcement
by housing finance regulator national Housing Bank (NHB) to launch
the reverse mortgage facility for senior citizens is welcome news.
Very popular in the US and the UK, the product allows people above
60 to mortgage their property for soft loans (based on property
value) while continuing to live there. There are no EMIs or repayments,
and the loan finishes when either the borrower dies or moves out
of the house, with the lender taking over. NHB, which will offer
refinance to lenders for reverse mortgage transactions, has not
yet taken the product to banks, but several housing finance companies
have already shown interest. "We hope to facilitate these
transactions in the next six months," says R.V. Verma, Executive
Director, NHB. The loans don't require proof of income, can be
taken in two or more tranches, and used for any purpose. Although
expensive, they offer senior citizens access to much-needed liquidity
at an age when credit is hard to come by.
-Anand Adhikari
A Life Less Taxing
|
Taxation simplified: Thanks to a new
website |
If you run a soho or
small business, this new website promises to eliminate the tax
consultant from your life. According to Vijaya Kalyan, Chennai-based
promoter of www.aceprocedures.com, this site simplifies taxation,
with FAQs, downloadable forms, and information on everything from
covering letters and fees to due dates and tax rates. You even
have addresses and telephone numbers of the concerned tax officers.
The various areas covered include tax (sales, income, service
and professional), company and partnership law, provident funds,
plus specific modules for software companies and NGOs. The annual
subscription rate is Rs 900 for one user, although there is free
access to a section called business essentials, which has practical
tips on basic business, from locating office space to recruiting
manpower.
-Nitya Varadarajan
Driving
Factor
If you think your car costs what it says
on the price tag, you have another think coming. In fact, maybe
another car altogether.
By Kushan Mitra
|
On-road bill: Fuel, spares, repairs
all add up in the coasts column |
It's
that time of the year... increments and bonuses are in hand, swank
new cars are in the showrooms, and you are itching to zoom away
in one of them. And what are the factors you weigh as you test-drive
a different set of wheels each day? Colour, brand, sex appeal,
of course, and then the crucial one: price. You obviously can't
buy a Rs 14 lakh Skoda Octavia on a Rs 4 lakh small-car budget.
But, is that all there is to the price factor?
Actually, there is a lot more and it can be neatly illustrated
in the concept made popular by it: that of TCO or Total Cost of
Ownership. TCO is designed to help consumers and producers estimate
all the direct and indirect costs of purchasing any equipment
or system (see That TCO Thing).
What this essentially means is that you cannot
buy a car today simply because its retail price is lower than
another's. Try instead to foresee what you would spend if your
mad cousin drives it and uses a pillar to brake: will you be breaking
the bank on repairs? Or what when you want to sell it five years
down the line? Will you get just scrap value for it?
That TCO Thing
What factors contribute to TCO or Total
Cost of Ownership? |
Acquisition cost: What price you pay for the car
as well as the additional costs incurred by taking a loan.
Fuel cost: What fuel does your car consume? How
economical is it? To this, add other regular consumables
like engine oil and coolant.
Cost of spares: Busted headlights, broken bumpers
or smashed mirrors cost money to replace, but spares for
some models are much more expensive than for others.
Resale value: This is increasingly becoming a critical
factor when purchasing a car, according to a recent NFO
(a market research agency) study. Not all cars depreciate
to the same extent, so check what value your car will command
when you want to sell.
|
Sum Total
The cost of owning a car thus keeps adding
up: EMIs (equated monthly installments), fuel costs, spare parts,
resale value... What we have done here is some basic number crunching
to show you just how two and two never quite add up when it comes
to owning a car.
We use the Maruti Alto lx to make the point,
a relatively cheap car at Rs 2.89 lakh (on-road price in Delhi).
First, assume you take a Rs 2.5 lakh loan at 9 per cent, paying
Rs 39,000 as down payment. That means you are staring at an EMI
payment of Rs 5,190 per month for five years.
Now, the Alto enjoys comparatively good fuel
economy-about 15 km to a litre-so running costs will be low but
they still have to be factored in. Assuming you run your car about
1,500 km a month, at Delhi prices, that means Rs 5,000 per month
on fuel.
Then, even if you are the most careful driver
in the world, you have to spend on oil, coolant, air and oil filters,
and other consumables, plus annual maintenance and insurance premiums.
Maintenance is usually a killer cost, especially at the authorised
dealer workshops. Add this all up and your cost goes up to an
average of Rs 10,500 per month. And we are not even including
the cost of CDs for your car system and other doodads to swank
up the interiors.
There's More
These are the regulars. What if you unfortunately
have an 'incident' one evening that crumples your front bumper,
scars your windscreen and dents the bonnet? When you replace them
with Maruti Genuine Parts (fake spares can be risky), it will
set you back at least Rs 3,000 if insured. Three such mishaps
add Rs 10,000 to the cost of owning the car.
Fuel Duel
A new look at that old petrol-diesel debate.
|
The
old answer was simple: petrol if you want performance, diesel
if you drive a lot. New-age diesel engines, however, stand
that argument on its head. Peppy new technology delivers
performances comparable to petrol cars. So, where's the
catch? The new engines not only push up the car cost significantly,
they make regular consumables and engine spares slightly
more expensive.
Let us run a very simplified number-crunching exercise,
using the Ford Fiesta ZXi, available in both petrol (1.6
litre) and diesel (1.4 litre TDCi) versions with similar
interiors. The on-road price (in Mumbai) of the petrol model
is Rs 7.82 lakh, while the diesel version costs Rs 8.45
lakh. While the Fiesta 1.6 has a city mileage of about 11
km, the diesel car beats this with a mileage of about 13.5
km.
Assume you are a workaholic who lives in Goregaon, Mumbai
and works in Nariman Point-that is a minimum 65 km daily
commute about 225 days a year. This means you drive 14,625
km a year to work and back. Petrol in Mumbai costs about
Rs 53 and diesel Rs 38, which means the petrol car will
consume approximately 1,330 litres of fuel and the diesel
car 1,085 litres. That is, annual savings of just Rs 3,675,
not stunning by any book.
Assume, however, that you work 300 days a year but also
play, which includes drives to Pune once a month. The annual
distance your car then does is about 20,000 km, which means
1,820 litres of petrol and 1,480 litres of diesel. Even
so, your annual fuel savings work out to about Rs 5,000.
After five years, you'll save Rs 25,000 on the diesel car.
The on-road price difference: Rs 63,000. And don't forget
diesel engines consume more and costlier engine oil, and
wear out tyres faster.
This simple formula can be modified to different cities
and fuel rates, so work out whether your annual savings
are worth the extra outlay. Almost universally, though,
the answer seems to favour the lighter fuel, unless you
drive more than 100 km a day or do long-distance trips every
week. Of course, the diesel car will fetch a higher resale
price, but after five to six years, even new-age diesel
engines require a thorough check-up (even overhaul), which
usually erodes the resale value.
|
And then comes the clincher. After the loan
is repaid, you decide to sell your car in the second-hand market
(see Second Helping). A five-year-old Alto today sells for about
Rs 1.75 lakh (Delhi), and is likely to remain more or less in
this bracket five years from now. You can get about Rs 1.75 lakh
on your (by now) Rs 7 lakh investment, which means on a 60-month
investment you lost Rs 5.25 lakh. Ouch!
Net-net, the Alto lx that retails at Rs 2.98
lakh really costs Rs 5.25 lakh through its lifetime of 60 months.
That works out to an effective cost of Rs 8,750 per month or Rs
5.84 per km (mileage of 1,500 km a month) to own and operate.
Both figures are based on the assumption that the car is sold
after five years and the loan costs 9 per cent.
The Alto is among the cheapest cars to own
and run in India, with only the Maruti 800 cheaper. As you move
up the value chain, cars become more expensive. Once you move
to B-segment cars such as the Hyundai Santro or Maruti Wagon-R,
your loan amount goes up, fuel economy comes down and cost of
spares rises. Using the same formula, the TCO of these cars would
be around Rs 8.75 lakh through a five-year life.
However, and here's the crucial thing, you
will get back more when you sell a Santro or Wagon-R. You can
safely assume that a used Santro Xing will fetch Rs 2.25 lakh
in five years, which brings the TCO of this car down to about
Rs 6.50 lakh. That works out to roughly Rs 7.22 per km. As you
move up to the Hyundai Accents or Ford Fiestas, ownership costs
explode to Rs 8.5-9 per km.
Second Helping
Does your old car look hot on the resale
stakes? |
Buyers here are just beginning
to understand the importance of resale value, says Vinay
Sanghi, Managing Director, Automart India, one of the country's
largest organised second-hand car retailers. Just how important
resale value is can be seen from this illustration: Assume
one person buys a car for Rs 6 lakh, while another spends
Rs 7 lakh on his. At the end of three years, the first owner
sells his car for Rs 2 lakh whereas the latter is able to
get Rs 4 lakh for his. Effectively, therefore, it means
the first person spent Rs 1 lakh extra in running his car.
According to Sanghi, a car that loses less than 18-20
per cent of its value on an annualised basis over a three-year
period can be regarded as having a good resale value. Some
critical factors contribute to this, among them maintenance,
fuel economy, performance and, critically, the car's 'brand
perception'. In fact, cars can gain or lose in the perception
stakes over time (any owner of an old Opel will testify
to just how much value brands can lose). As of now, the
Maruti stable still leads in terms of value retention. Sanghi
lists the top four vehicles in terms of resale value today:
Maruti 800: This 20-year-old is hardly exciting,
but is cheap to run and maintain. Although the 800 leads,
all Maruti cars retain value well.
Hyundai Santro: With great performance, good mileage
and an established brand, the Santro sells well.
Honda City: Even though the old model has been
discontinued, a Rs 7 lakh Honda City bought in 1998 will
fetch upwards of Rs 2.5 lakh eight years down the line.
Great performance, low maintenance.
Mahindra Scorpio: A new model is on the roads,
but the old one still holds value excellently, thanks to
its efficient and powerful engine and ample interiors
|
Although the math we have used is basic,
it gives you a fair idea of a car's TCO. In fact, banks are beginning
to extend loans on the assured resale value. For example, the
Toyota-ICICI Bank Bullet scheme allows Corolla customers to pay
a 'bullet' amount at the end of the loan tenure and replace their
old car with a new one.
Says Ravi Bhatia, General Manager, Maruti
Udyog: "The concept of TCO is still very alien in India,
but consumers are beginning to look at it more closely. They are
not interested just in fuel economy; resale value and cost of
spares also play a role in buying decisions."
Cutting Back
Is there any way of reducing the TCO? Well,
discounts on MRP do make a difference but when a car is heavily
discounted, keep in mind that its resale value is probably weak
as well. However, during a slow month (such as the shradh period,
traditionally considered unlucky by most Indians), you could get
good discounts even on popular cars such as the Alto or Santro.
Haggling on your loan is another option, but with interest rates
heading up, your margin for negotiation is limited.
While keeping an eye on second-hand rates
helps, many cars in India today are too new to have arrived in
the used-car marts. In these cases, brand perception can play
a role. For example, Honda has a positive perception and this
should enhance the resale value of the Honda City when it enters
the second-hand market in a few years.
Knowing that the real cost of owning a car
could be almost Rs 2 lakh higher than its label price is a dampener.
But, the truth is nobody is really complaining-cars are not investments,
they are depreciating assets and nobody buys one to make money
(unless you buy a super-rare vintage, but that's another story).
The point is to use this knowledge to buy a car sensibly. Splurge
on your hot wheels, but splurge smart.
In
Our Sites
As infrastructure investment grows steadily,
construction stocks reap the benefits.
By Aman Malik
|
Buzzing action: Construction activity
is on at a furious pace across the country |
Look
around and you won't really have to labour hard to spot new buildings
or a flyover sprouting up. Indeed, construction activity is going
on at a furious pace unprecedented in the country. And construction
sector stocks look like they could deliver value over the medium
and long term.
What appears to have given impetus to the
flurry of activity is the government's new attitude. "The
government is taking on the role of facilitator and making a serious
effort to build up this space," says Ravi Sardana, Senior
Vice-President, ICICI Securities.
In February 2005, the central government
approved 100 per cent FDI in real estate through the automatic
route (subject to a minimum capitalisation of $10 million or Rs
44 crore for wholly-owned subsidiaries and $5 million or Rs 22
crore for joint ventures with Indian partners) with the liberty
to repatriate profits after three years, prompting players like
Emaar-mgf Land (JV between MGF Development of India and Dubai-based
Emaar Properties PJSC) to announce plans for an Indian foray.
Moreover, the government itself has earmarked
huge investments for the construction space and is encouraging
public-private investment synergies. In fact, the Planning Commission,
for the 11th Five Year Plan, has slotted 7 per cent of GDP on
infrastructure, up from the current 4-5 per cent.
In the private sector, companies are sitting
on future orders that are considerably larger than their existing
ones. "Firms with projects worth, say, Rs 200 crore have
booked Rs 500-1,000 crore projects," says a Delhi-based analyst.
Analysts are bullish on the sector and contend
that it is the right time to enter, provided you can stay put
for the medium to long term. Companies involved in highways construction
seem the most promising, but those operating in spaces like urban
infrastructure and irrigation also look strong.
While choosing stocks, analysts advise caution.
The average investor should stay away from small players and look
for companies that have instituted high-quality management systems.
Among large companies, Larsen & Toubro seems to be a solid
bet. In the mid-cap space, you could consider stocks such as Simplex
Infrastructures, Era Constructions, Nagarjuna Construction Company,
IVRCL, and Hindustan Construction.
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